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June 2022 - Summer Begins


TT-SEA

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Euro really wants to break the June rainfall record here. Would put us at 3.5” by mid month…record is 2.42” in 2012 IMBY. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I believe it. I know Silverton had over 70" in 1996. Looking at the data for Tim's area, it was drier up there than down here. His location got about 88" of precip which is just barely above average. 

Also to note... 2020 was the 3rd wettest calendar year in his area. Though 2019 featured well below normal precip there. The past decade has largely been at or above normal rainfall wise in his neck of the woods. Wettest year on record for Tim's area was 1933, followed by 1990 and then 2020. Coldest year by far was 1955. 

Warmest year was 1934 for Tim as well, barely nudging out 1958 and 2015 by 0.1F. 

You don't say?   I had no idea that the last decade has been wet up here.  😃

Side note on 2019... very dry spring and then a consistently wet summer so even though it was a dry year overall we never needed to water that summer.    But we definitely needed to water in 2020 which was the 3rd wettest year in history.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Euro really wants to break the June rainfall record here. Would put us at 3.5” by mid month…record is 2.42” in 2012 IMBY. 

Seems like no matter what W. Washington has a lot more rain on the way. Down here it’s a little more in doubt. We are in decent shape no matter what though. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Seems like no matter what W. Washington has a lot more rain on the way. Down here it’s a little more in doubt. We are in decent shape no matter what though. 

As long as it’s not hot n dry until October…which I don’t feel like will happen this year. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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32 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I believe it. I know Silverton had over 70" in 1996. Looking at the data for Tim's area, it was drier up there than down here. His location got about 88" of precip which is just barely above average. 

Also to note... 2020 was the 3rd wettest calendar year in his area. Though 2019 featured well below normal precip there. The past decade has largely been at or above normal rainfall wise in his neck of the woods. Wettest year on record for Tim's area was 1933, followed by 1990 and then 2020. Coldest year by far was 1955. 

Warmest year was 1934 for Tim as well, barely nudging out 1958 and 2015 by 0.1F. 

No real surprise that 1996-97 was the snowiest year in Bozeman on record as well with 158". It was also the wettest with 28.73" of precip.

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I forget how the rest of that summer turned out. 

2C6B6D24-8E78-4D08-9C36-3493A1EE1431.jpeg

June 2010 definitely improved during the second half of the month.   Then a wet and chilly first part of July... and then a heat wave.    And another heat wave in August.     2010 started out horribly but really dried out the rest of the summer.    Unfortunately that was also marine layer type summer in between the heat waves.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Another soaker this morning! Currently 45F with 0.27" in the bucket so far today.

Exactly 1" on the month and 10.33" since April 1st.

Screen Shot 2022-06-06 at 9.27.30 AM.png

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

June 2010 definitely improved during the second half of the month.   Then a wet and chilly first part of July... and then a heat wave.    And another heat wave in August.     2010 started out horribly but really dried out the rest of the summer.    Unfortunately that was also marine layer type summer in between the heat waves.    

The last 2 years we dried out in the second half of June just fine despite the wet starts. Would be pretty unusual if we keep up the rate of rainfall we’ve got into early July. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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7 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Might get some gaudy CAPE values in your area later this summer…. Eastern protracted 4CH means an overwhelming EML presence.

But will it be capped? Need to ride the edge of the ridge without getting stuck underneath it. 😬 

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The PRISM data is nice though as it helps with fact checking Tim. It was funny to see that April was the 38th wettest, but on the other hand, it was still above average, and PRISM verifies 2020 being an extremely wet year there, and most of the past 10 being above the historical average. My takeaway is that Tim's posts are pretty accurate, though the historical context of months/events is often embellished. Though not always, as for instance 2020 was a historically wet year. 

  • scream 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I just ran the 500mb loop for May-July 2011 and it was so much more blocky.  

This is the June 1-15 composite... pretty much the opposite of this year across the North Pacific.

compday.Pfh6Ul4XWl.gif

Different MJO timing in 2011 (this year is slower).

But we come into alignment with 2011’s p1/2 around mid-June, so might see more NPAC blocking/less zonal flow starting around thaf time.

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SLE up to 1.09" on the month. Doesn't sound like much, but they only average a little over 1.5". 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The PRISM data is nice though as it helps with fact checking Tim. It was funny to see that April was the 38th wettest, but on the other hand, it was still above average, and PRISM verifies 2020 being an extremely wet year there, and most of the past 10 being above the historical average. My takeaway is that Tim's posts are pretty accurate, though the historical context of months/events is often embellished. Though not always, as for instance 2020 was a historically wet year. 

The issue I have since late March is the persistence of the rain... not the totals.    As I have mentioned many times.    It has rained at the Cedar Lake station on 65 out of the last 68 days.   That is extremely rare even in the dead of winter.  That is a station that averages 180 dry days per year and there should have been about 20-25 more dry days since late March in a normal year.   That would make a huge difference.     You will never see me be upset by a very wet month with all the rain focused on a couple days (e.g. Feb 2022).    I don't judge the weather patterns based on total rain.     Not sure how else I can explain it.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The issue I have since late March is the persistence of the rain... not the totals.    As I have mentioned many times.    It has rained at the Cedar Lake station on 65 out of the last 68 days.   That is extremely rare even in the dead of winter.  That is a station that averages 180 dry days per year and there should have been about 20-25 more dry days since late March in a normal year.   That would make a huge difference.     You will never see me be upset by a very wet month with all the rain focused on a couple days (e.g. Feb 2022).    I don't judge the weather patterns based on total rain.     Not sure how else I can explain it.    

Makes sense. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The issue I have since late March is the persistence of the rain... not the totals.    As I have mentioned many times.    It has rained at the Cedar Lake station on 65 out of the last 68 days.   That is extremely rare even in the dead of winter.  That is a station that averages 180 dry days per year and there should have been about 20-25 more dry days since late March in a normal year.   That would make a huge difference.     You will never see me be upset by a very wet month with all the rain focused on a couple days (e.g. Feb 2022).    I don't judge the weather patterns based on total rain.     Not sure how else I can explain it.    

If it makes you feel any better, it has rained 33 out of the last 40 days in Bozeman and we average 250 dry days on average. So it's not just you!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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1 minute ago, Kayla said:

If it makes you feel any better, it has rained 33 out of the last 40 days in Bozeman and we average 250 dry days on average. So it's not just you!

That does make me feet a little better.    You are usually my "it could always be worse" friend.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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15 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Andrew,  Fox12 is down the street from you. Now is your chance to be on TV.

Oh? What's going on?!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12z GFS looks a little wetter for southern areas again, through next weekend.

Was just going to mention this. We definitely count our blessings this time of year, but we will not count our chickens before they hatch.

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_23.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I know 1981 isn't an ENSO match but it does have a lot of similarities to this year. I would be just fine if this summer played out similarly. 

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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4 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I know 1981 isn't an ENSO match but it does have a lot of similarities to this year. I would be just fine if this summer played out similarly. 

I would too!   It flipped around mid June and barely rained at all from then through the middle of September. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I know 1981 isn't an ENSO match but it does have a lot of similarities to this year. I would be just fine if this summer played out similarly. 

Ugh

 

16 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Go down there and find out! 

I'm at work. Probably a puff piece for their morning show. 

 

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

GFS having cutoff problems again. Sigh.

It is cutoff season. More cutoffs than Tobias Funke. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It is cutoff season. More cutoffs than Tobias Funke. 

It ain’t gonna happen like that, though.

(Talking about D8-9 over the NE-Pacific).

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2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hmmmm... 96’ was pretty much the wettest year on record everywhere in W. Oregon. Looks like 1937 was a very wet year too. 

Yeah, 1996 had 72" of rain in downtown Portland. Several floods that year, of course there was the big February event but the November 18-19 storm brought significant flooding as well throughout western OR, as did the late December event although that one was more severe over northern CA and southern OR. A lot of those patterns that year were from suppressed jets with OR and southern WA getting the precip while northern WA and BC were a lot colder and drier.

1882 was pretty wild as well. Downtown Portland had 67", including the amazing December 12-13 storm that dropped 7.66" in 24 hours. I've been checking out historic newspapers from that week and as you would expect it sounds like it was a total disaster with every small stream going completely ballistic.

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3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Meanwhile the sun is shining fully here and the month is running warm so far to date.

Junuary indeed!

There are 3 different ways June can be mockingly be referred to as Junuary.    Cold and wet, warm and wet, cold and dry.

Cold and/or rain remind people of our normal winter weather.   For better or worse.   We live in a place that is frequently rainy all winter.   So any time there is frequent rain in the summer it will remind people of winter.  That is not true in places like Montana and Minnesota where rain is associated with summer.   We are doing the warm and wet version so far this month.   SEA is running 400% of normal rainfall for June.     

Of course most Junes will fit that bill at some point so its a running joke almost every year.   And it ties back to the old adage in the PNW that summer does not really start until July 5th.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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23 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, 1996 had 72" of rain in downtown Portland. Several floods that year, of course there was the big February event but the November 18-19 storm brought significant flooding as well throughout western OR, as did the late December event although that one was more severe over northern CA and southern OR. A lot of those patterns that year were from suppressed jets with OR and southern WA getting the precip while northern WA and BC were a lot colder and drier.

1882 was pretty wild as well. Downtown Portland had 67", including the amazing December 12-13 storm that dropped 7.66" in 24 hours. I've been checking out historic newspapers from that week and as you would expect it sounds like it was a total disaster with every small stream going completely ballistic.

Seems like my location is wetter than PDX but drier than Downtown according to PRISM data for that year and in general.

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

There are 3 different ways June can be mockingly be referred to as Junuary.    Cold and wet, warm and wet, cold and dry.

Cold and/or rain remind people of our normal winter weather.   For better or worse.   We live in a place that is frequently rainy all winter.   So any time there is frequent rain in the summer it will remind people of winter.  That is not true in places like Montana and Minnesota where rain is associated with summer.   We are doing the warm and wet version so far this month.   SEA is running 400% of normal rainfall for June.     

Of course most Junes will fit that bill at some point so its a running joke almost every year.   And it ties back to the old adage in the PNW that summer does not really start until July 5th.     

Having the two hottest Junes ever (by a country mile) here in the last 7 years has been just brutal for summer lovers.

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11 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Seems like my location is wetter than PDX but drier than Downtown according to PRISM data for that year and in general.

PRISM data really isn't exact at all so I wouldn't take it as gospel. Precip in particular varies a lot over short distances so any approximation based on a station a few miles away is still going to have some room for error.

PDX and that area around it pretty consistently runs the driest of anywhere in the metro, though, so I'm sure your area is wetter than them.

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