It sort of does, actually. Solid marine push as it treks north.
At least the CMC solution is physically possible. I’ll cut off my d**k if the GFS solution verifies.
Been saying this for awhile. 2024 will probably be the hottest summer on record for the lower-48. All forcing components are lining up in the worst way possible.
NOAA has been having a rough time lately. Horrible busts last winter on both the seasonal and subseasonal scales. Idk what their methodology is but it’s been failing them since the niño established.
IIRC they rely heavily on the IRI which is notoriously bad when seasonal/LF forcing components destructively interfere w/ canonical EOFs (example: strong niño in tandem with -PMM).
Recommended Posts
Posted by Phil,
i will personally make sure this happens
Recommended by Meatyorologist
10 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.