TT-SEA Posted June 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: I don't think Tim cares if it rains in December and January lol. Those months are kind of supposed to be very wet. June is completely different. And in a dry Dec/Jan most of us are just going to be sitting under inversions 90% of the time anyway. Pretty difficult to get an extended sunny pattern in those months, and even in the occasion that you do the days are 8 hours long anyway. This. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: The funny thing is that the SW flow has really kept temps up recently and it hasn't been notably cool at all. Even Flatiron UHI oasis OLM is running slightly warmer than average month to date so far Definitely a much nicer way to be in a rainy pattern. If we have to have rain almost every day this is the way to do it. Although tomorrow and Friday get pretty ridiculous again. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Up to 72 in North Bend now... warmer than I expected. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 24 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Yeah it isn't looking that good for the central US in terms of drought. At the same time though, I hope that ridge doesn't retrograde too much and give us too much heat. Is the drought situation that bad there? Seems like they have been getting a decent amount of rain lately. SW into Colorado seems to be the worst right now. I just looked at Tulsa and they are running about average for precip year to date. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 17 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Yeah it isn't looking that good for the central US in terms of drought. At the same time though, I hope that ridge doesn't retrograde too much and give us too much heat. Don’t think it’ll retrograde much, at least through this month. Will have to watch the MJO in July, if there’s a substantial wave into the West-Pacific it could temporarily retrograde westward. But that’s big “if”, and the background state hasn’t been favorable for prolonged MJO excursions there. So it would be very quick if it happened. Also, since we’ll likely be developing a west-based -ENSO signature (with the eastern waters warming relative to the cooling western waters) the MJO isn’t favored to hang around in the WPAC for very long going forward. The slow climb to warmer/drier in the PNW follows ENSO climo and mirrors the heavier La Niña summers with the canonical -PMM/retracted IPWP. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Week-2 is going to dry out soil moisture across much of the CONUS. Trying to figure a way this doesn’t trigger a feedback loop and perpetuate this pattern, but there aren’t any substantial MJOs projected in guidance for at least a month. Cringey. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Interesting to note that this recent pattern has led to warming off the water off the West Coast with SW flow ahead of the permanent trough over the GOA. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 FWIW the GEM is wetter than the GFS too. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 My neighbors gutter grass has been enjoying the rain. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 (edited) This looks like a lot of rain for places that could certainly use it. Edited June 8, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew 7 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Canadian vs ECMWF vs GFS. One of them sticks out like a sore thumb. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Canadian vs ECMWF vs GFS. One of them sticks out like a sore thumb. That’s borderline criminal. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Getting into the range where the GFS will probably make a significant correction within the next few cycles. At which point it’ll (hopefully) be back on track. That error with the ridge off Baja California is throwing off the rest of the run. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Temps this month have been in the goldilocks zone. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Temps this month have been in the goldilocks zone. Yeah, these temperatures are really comfortable. Not too hot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Yeah, these temperatures are really comfortable. Not too hot. And half the days have been dry. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: And half the days have been dry. Yeah here they have been mostly dry except Saturday and Sunday. It would be better if the rain doesn't keep falling on weekends though! Otherwise I've been enjoying the weather this month. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted June 8, 2022 Report Share Posted June 8, 2022 Looking forward to a rather damp graduation this weekend at UW?! We'll be dry under cover at Husky Stadium, but if my daughter is sitting on the field, she may need to revisit her outfit of choice!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 31 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said: Looking forward to a rather damp graduation this weekend at UW?! We'll be dry under cover at Husky Stadium, but if my daughter is sitting on the field, she may need to revisit her outfit of choice!! Decent chance its dry in Seattle on Saturday afternoon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Definitely a much nicer way to be in a rainy pattern. If we have to have rain almost every day this is the way to do it. Although tomorrow and Friday get pretty ridiculous again. Hawaii has rain showers every day, but they can be refreshing rather than freezing cold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: That’s borderline criminal. Nobody lives in the 546 circle. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 69/54 today…was pretty nice with some sunshine this afternoon. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 45 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Decent chance its dry in Seattle on Saturday afternoon. That would be great but I'm not holding my breath. Our Friday festivities will most likely be impacted though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 19 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 69/54 today…was pretty nice with some sunshine this afternoon. Pretty spectacular evening over here on the west side. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 1 minute ago, T-Town said: Pretty spectacular evening over here on the west side. Here too... had dinner on the deck. A rare event this year so far. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post T-Town Posted June 9, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 Some good clouds tonight. 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 I enjoyed my disarrono on the rocks ON my patio 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 I had diarrhea in my backyard. 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 Dewpoints in the 60's at my place a lot of this week so far. Definitely felt the mug. I'd much prefer drier heat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 Here it comes: 2 1 1 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I had diarrhea in my backyard. Same. Disarrono is actually Italian for diarrhea 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Here too... had dinner on the deck. A rare event this year so far. Had a steak gathering the other day on the back porch. Very nice weather, just after the last thunderstorms left the area. 2 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 Interesting how tomorrow has become the really wet day. Most runs earlier had tomorrow still being dry. Now Friday-Sunday don't look too wet... in western WA at least. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Interesting how tomorrow has become the really wet day. Most runs earlier had tomorrow still being dry. Now Friday-Sunday don't look too wet... in western WA at least. It's so dry that my 7" guess on monthly rain is about to be blown out before the 15th. Darn this drought! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said: Had a steak gathering the other day on the back porch. Very nice weather, just after the last thunderstorms left the area. Did you send pics to Greta? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 77/59 day today. Partly to mostly cloudy and mild. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 8 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Is the drought situation that bad there? Seems like they have been getting a decent amount of rain lately. SW into Colorado seems to be the worst right now. I just looked at Tulsa and they are running about average for precip year to date. Oh yeah you're right about the rain they've been getting recently, so I think I'm wrong. Maybe some possible drought development looking at some of the forecasted precip anomalies for the summer? I'm not fully sure though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 Consensus seems to be building for a very damp weekend up here. GFS gives us about 2.5" EURO going with about 3.25" by late Sunday night. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Interesting how tomorrow has become the really wet day. Most runs earlier had tomorrow still being dry. Now Friday-Sunday don't look too wet... in western WA at least. Indeed. This run is much better for the weekend. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted June 9, 2022 Report Share Posted June 9, 2022 The GFS has some colder / drier looking troughs coming up for week two. Some pretty ridiculous minus temp anoms being shown, and then some possible warmth. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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i will personally make sure this happens
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