Phil Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It looks pretty much like the ECMWF early next week. Bonkers. That’s the inflection point, after which it goes off the rails over the Pacific. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Jginmartini said: It is a fun course to play though ! Can’t wait for the brothers to come up for our annual game. How much does it cost for 18? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecasts/display_special_product_versions.php?sid=pqr&pil=pns Looks like my area only picked around 1.3 inches of rain with the AR, the eastern suburbs picked up more than double of that. Definitely stronger shadowing than usual off of the coast range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Phil said: That’s the point where it goes off the rails over the Pacific. Maybe... but there will some elements that are correct and other models eventually follow. Like the trough this week... it does actually get close to cutting off. The GFS was wrong as usual but it was not totally out in left field. I use the GFS for trends. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, Phil said: Strike that, they’re getting fog/mist at the moment. NOT Tim weather. But pretty tropical! Muggy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Maybe... but there will some elements that are correct and other models eventually follow. Like the trough this week... it does actually get close to cutting off. The GFS was wrong as usual but it was not totally out in left field. I use the GFS for trends. I use ensemble blends for trends. Blends being the key word since both the GEPS and GEFS tend to be under-dispersed. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 53F and mostly cloudy. Nice out there. Only got up to 64F. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 5 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Snowy in the Blues today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Chilly evening down to 51 here. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 00z GFS is a huge outlier from its own ensemble mean. Shocker. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: 00z GFS is a huge outlier from its own ensemble mean. Shocker. I would imagine that after day 7 or 8... most of the ensemble members are normally outliers from the mean. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 A little summer snowstorm tonight for the town of Elkford BC 9 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: A little summer snowstorm tonight for the town of Elkford BC They could have used some of that from February 12 to 28, 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I would imagine that after day 7 or 8... most of the ensemble members are normally outliers from the mean. The divergence is pretty stark given the GEFS is relatively under-dispersed. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: They could have used some of that from February 12 to 28, 2010 Elkford hosted the Olympics? Impressive. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 I see KGEG had a high of 49 through 5 p.m. but has since jumped up to 51. Spokane has also picked up just about the normal rainfall for the entire month of June since the rain started yesterday evening. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Elkford hosted the Olympics? Impressive. Same system might have brought snow to Whistler, which I remember having a deficiency. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Same system might have brought snow to Whistler, which I remember having a deficiency. I doubt whistler had a shortage of snow. The north shore mountains of Vancouver did though. And they had a lot of the freestyle and snowboard events there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 1.37" of rain today. Blew past 7.5" for the month. I looked around on prism and couldn't find a June in the past 20 years this wet in Gold Bar. I'll have to look all the way back to see if there's ever been a June this wet here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 minute ago, smerfylicious said: 1.37" of rain today. Blew past 7.5" for the month. I looked around on prism and couldn't find a June in the past 20 years this wet in Gold Bar. I'll have to look all the way back to see if there's ever been a June this wet here. We are to 3rd wettest now. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Yes... Aberdeen WA is infamous for oppressive heat. Charleston SC and Aberdeen WA. You are getting very lucky this summer. Every post lately feels like you are being held hostage and reading notes at gunpoint. You are bad at trolling. But it is good comedy. Tangibly, weather wise, it has been a nice spring and early start to summer, sorry that you are suffering and feel like you need project on me for no reason. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We are to 3rd wettest now. One more system like this and I'm knocking on 10" for the month. Here's hoping there's a respite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Tangibly, weather wise, it has been a nice spring and early start to summer, sorry that you are suffering and feel like you need project on me for no reason. So you’re not a hostage at gun point reading off weather preferences? 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: One more system like this and I'm knocking on 10" for the month. Here's hoping there's a respite. Kind of seems like we are done, but who knows. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Kind of seems like we are done, but who knows. New euro is wet up here. This would probably put us at #1 at sea tac. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 It was a pretty nice day here. Partly sunny and breezy. A bit cool but at least it was dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Another trough late in the run on the euro. Gfs does not agree gets pretty toasty late in the run…but I’d bet on the euro. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Final totals on the euro. Pretty chilly for this time of year through and through on this run. Already been a week since we’ve hit 70 and if this verifies we will be waiting awhile longer…also breaking the June rainfall record. Mean temp this month has already came back down from earlier. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Pretty disappointing to see the weekend looking wetter tonight. Very short window for good weather this year now. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Okay...! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Christ almighty 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Christ almighty Not going to happen. The EPS has been insistent on a relatively dry, but decidedly cool pattern for week 2. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 2010 had 2 major heat waves (highs well into the 90s) in July and August, one a piece. But each of those heatwaves were separated by cool, oceanic weather, in addition to being quite brief, making each heatwave feel more 'earned' and less of an assault on the senses. In fact, despite the two major heatwaves and a few other quite warm days, both July and August ended up two or more degrees below their modern averages thanks to the very extended chilly stretches in between. Then of course five years later we saw one long heatwave called JAS. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Not going to happen. The EPS has been insistent on a relatively dry, but decidedly cool pattern for week 2. I am aware. Just not very fun to look at! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 The ECMWF operational shows EPO and PNA both -3 at the end of the run. That doesn't scream wet, but certainly favors well below normal temps. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Phil and I talked about this being the year for locking into a major cool regime quite a while ago. No doubt we are seeing it. I'm just waiting for the more enjoyable NW flow incarnation to arrive. Possible the table is being set for a great cold season. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 26 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Christ almighty Looks like some nice summer weather to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Looks like some nice summer weather to me. It's not just the magnitude, it's the duration. GFS develops this extended heatwave for a week. I wouldn't even be revolted by a day or two in the 90s, but keep it at just that -- a day or two! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2022 Report Share Posted June 14, 2022 Crystal clear out there tonight. The moon looks super Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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i will personally make sure this happens
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