June 2022 - Summer Begins

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Oasis!

Low 70s in an oasis.   40s and 50s in the summer is sad.

[Phil]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Low 70s in an oasis.   40s and 50s in the summer is sad.

What model is showing 40s? That’s Barrow Alaska type stuff.

[Requiem]

If we weren't doing absolutely great regarding fuel moistures right now, I'd imagine this weekend would potentially be a fire weather concern. Relatively strong (but not nearly as strong as September 2020 by any means) and dry downslope winds off of the Cascades would create pretty rapid fire spread it not for all the wet soil. Shades of the event that spread the Eagle Creek Fire back in 2017.

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

What model is showing 40s? That’s Barrow Alaska type stuff.

I said 40s and 50s... which is technically what it shows for next Wednesday.

 

[Blizzard777]

Beautiful 70* out!

Interesting walk earlier this morning in the drizzle with perpetual steam rising from the cement everywhere.  Kind of cool! 
 

Reach 79* yesterday and I did get a little sun burn

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Beautiful 70* out!

Interesting walk earlier this morning in the drizzle with perpetual steam rising from the cement everywhere.  Kind of cool! 
 

Reach 79* yesterday and I did get a little sun burn

SEA just jumped from 62 to 68... summer is making a come back!  

[NWbyNW]

I was really pulling to get some showers today, but alas, it was dry here in my spot.  62F, feels lovely.  Just prepping for the furnace that will torch blow our region.  Got weather alerts today as well.  I really dislike getting those.  Hope everyone enjoyed the day!  

My car's battery died!  I'm stranded! Hooray! 

[Phil]

 

[Phil]

La Niña gave the EPS a big FU this year.

[Phil]

Actually not just the EPS. Outperformed every single model.

Makes me suspicious Tonga may have played a role. Because this was a catastrophic failure.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

49 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I said 40s and 50s... which is technically what it shows for next Wednesday.

 

That's a solid 10-15 degrees below normal down here too. BRING IT.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

So we should not expect ENSO above normal by the end of the year as the CFSv2 says? lol

[Phil]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

So we should not expect ENSO above normal by the end of the year as the CFSv2 says? lol

Loooooool.

[TT-SEA]

ENSO was crashing during the summer of 1988.  

It was a long wait that fall and winter for something wintry... it was finally delivered in February.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

25 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

At first I thought he was talking about you!

[Phil]

13 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

At first I thought he was talking about you!

Ha I’m no Dr. Klotsbach. Our first names are spelled the same, though! 

[TT-SEA]

Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country.    Very exciting for them.    PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country.  

[Meatyorologist]

lol

[Doinko]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country.    Very exciting for them.    PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country.  

2010-2011 and 2016-2017 were Niñas and good for CA, so there's still hope for them!

[Meatyorologist]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country.    Very exciting for them.    PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country.  

I was just mentioning this the other day... These -ENSO patterns that favor the PNW often torch other parts of the country. Still will root for them though, because it gives us the wetter/cooler than normal weather I like, plus there will always be another +ENSO regime to take over eventually within the next two years.

3rd year -ENSO/+QBO is a great combination to have this winter. We'll certainly see snow again, given that 1933-34 is the only -ENSO winter to not have any.

[Kayla]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country.    Very exciting for them.    PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country.  

Good lord...don't you have 80's and 90's coming up this weekend?! Enjoy it and be present!

It's going to be in the 60's here this weekend which not surprisingly still feels like summer!

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Good lord...don't you have 80's and 90's coming up this weekend?! Enjoy it and be present!

It's going to be in the 60's here this weekend which not surprisingly still feels like summer!

I am sure the next 3 months will be great and it's probably good news for winter too.  Not about our weather at all.   I just think it's funny to be virtue signaling and praying for something that probably screws the places that need a Nino in a bad way.

[Doinko]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I was just mentioning this the other day... These -ENSO patterns that favor the PNW often torch other parts of the country. Still will root for them though, because it gives us the wetter/cooler than normal weather I like, plus there will always be another +ENSO regime to take over eventually within the next two years.

3rd year -ENSO/+QBO is a great combination to have this winter. We'll certainly see snow again, given that 1933-34 is the only -ENSO winter to not have any.

At PDX there have been some almost 0 years with a La Nina, 2007/08 only had a trace at PDX but I'm pretty sure most of the metro area had some snow at some point. 2000-01 also only had 0.1 inches here. I doubt that'll happen next winter though (and hope).

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Cfs v2 is not exactly screaming for a Nino lately.   Seems to be in on a Nina.

[Phil]

That’s a clean beat. And ouch with the humidity down there.

 

[AlTahoe]

Rode from the house to high meadow via cold creek today after work. In the middle of cold creek trail is an area of ferns which is rare for Tahoe. Today I noticed that all of them had black wilted tips, almost like they were burned. We haven't had any heat waves so it must have been the unusual cold spells we have had the last few weekends. First time I have seen it in 10 years. 

[Omegaraptor]

16 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s a clean beat. And ouch with the humidity down there.

 

At least RH was only 18% when it hit 105. Dew point was 53.

[Phil]

7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

At least RH was only 18% when it hit 105. Dew point was 53.

That could definitely be worse.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

19 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s a clean beat. And ouch with the humidity down there.

 

Hopefully we don't follow what happened the following winter in 1925. Both PDX and SEA got 0" of snow. I'm not worried though because that was an El Nino winter.

[MossMan]

45 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Cfs v2 is not exactly screaming for a Nino lately.   Seems to be in on a Nina.

Not Nina related, but what is that construction going on as you are leaving Leavenworth on Hwy 2 up on the hill? 

[MossMan]

68/53 on the day. 
Currently 63 and SUNNY!!! 

.01” on the day, 4.86” for the month, 33.62” for the year. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Maybe if I met Jesse in person and didn't know he was Jesse we would become good friends. Kind of like the "You've Got Mail" movie, except it would not be a romantic relationship of course.

[Anti Marine Layer]

54 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Rode from the house to high meadow via cold creek today after work. In the middle of cold creek trail is an area of ferns which is rare for Tahoe. Today I noticed that all of them had black wilted tips, almost like they were burned. We haven't had any heat waves so it must have been the unusual cold spells we have had the last few weekends. First time I have seen it in 10 years. 

You got the monsoonal moisture. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country.    Very exciting for them.    PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country.  

We get it, Tim. Please get some sort of summer home down here in the south Willamette Valley in the spring. You would like it so much better from May-Jul esp.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still all-in on this next winter. Nina plus unpredictable Tongva influence. Deck is stacked for us and we are due for a major Arctic blast in SW Oregon. Our last one was in Jan 2017.

[Deweydog]

Beautiful blue skies here with golden sunshine!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Clouds increasing now. Beautiful evening. 

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We get it, Tim. Please get some sort of summer home down here in the south Willamette Valley in the spring. You would like it so much better from May-Jul esp.

No way... I can't wait to see a climo spring in my area now with rain on only half the days.   It's going to seem like Phoenix. 

[The Blob]

Got a great shot of Helen's while sitting in traffic.

[RentonHill]

11 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Got a great shot of Helen's while sitting in traffic.

If I worked nights and still had to sit in traffic….I wouldn’t work nights