TT-SEA Posted June 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Oasis! Low 70s in an oasis. 40s and 50s in the summer is sad. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Low 70s in an oasis. 40s and 50s in the summer is sad. What model is showing 40s? That’s Barrow Alaska type stuff. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 If we weren't doing absolutely great regarding fuel moistures right now, I'd imagine this weekend would potentially be a fire weather concern. Relatively strong (but not nearly as strong as September 2020 by any means) and dry downslope winds off of the Cascades would create pretty rapid fire spread it not for all the wet soil. Shades of the event that spread the Eagle Creek Fire back in 2017. 3 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 11 minutes ago, Phil said: What model is showing 40s? That’s Barrow Alaska type stuff. I said 40s and 50s... which is technically what it shows for next Wednesday. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 Beautiful 70* out! Interesting walk earlier this morning in the drizzle with perpetual steam rising from the cement everywhere. Kind of cool! Reach 79* yesterday and I did get a little sun burn 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Beautiful 70* out! Interesting walk earlier this morning in the drizzle with perpetual steam rising from the cement everywhere. Kind of cool! Reach 79* yesterday and I did get a little sun burn SEA just jumped from 62 to 68... summer is making a come back! 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 I was really pulling to get some showers today, but alas, it was dry here in my spot. 62F, feels lovely. Just prepping for the furnace that will torch blow our region. Got weather alerts today as well. I really dislike getting those. Hope everyone enjoyed the day! My car's battery died! I'm stranded! Hooray! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 La Niña gave the EPS a big FU this year. 4 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 22, 2022 Report Share Posted June 22, 2022 Actually not just the EPS. Outperformed every single model. Makes me suspicious Tonga may have played a role. Because this was a catastrophic failure. 5 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 49 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I said 40s and 50s... which is technically what it shows for next Wednesday. That's a solid 10-15 degrees below normal down here too. BRING IT. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, Phil said: So we should not expect ENSO above normal by the end of the year as the CFSv2 says? lol 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: So we should not expect ENSO above normal by the end of the year as the CFSv2 says? lol Loooooool. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 ENSO was crashing during the summer of 1988. It was a long wait that fall and winter for something wintry... it was finally delivered in February. 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 25 minutes ago, Phil said: At first I thought he was talking about you! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: At first I thought he was talking about you! Ha I’m no Dr. Klotsbach. Our first names are spelled the same, though! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country. Very exciting for them. PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country. 1 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 lol Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country. Very exciting for them. PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country. 2010-2011 and 2016-2017 were Niñas and good for CA, so there's still hope for them! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country. Very exciting for them. PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country. I was just mentioning this the other day... These -ENSO patterns that favor the PNW often torch other parts of the country. Still will root for them though, because it gives us the wetter/cooler than normal weather I like, plus there will always be another +ENSO regime to take over eventually within the next two years. 3rd year -ENSO/+QBO is a great combination to have this winter. We'll certainly see snow again, given that 1933-34 is the only -ENSO winter to not have any. 6 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country. Very exciting for them. PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country. Good lord...don't you have 80's and 90's coming up this weekend?! Enjoy it and be present! It's going to be in the 60's here this weekend which not surprisingly still feels like summer! 4 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kayla said: Good lord...don't you have 80's and 90's coming up this weekend?! Enjoy it and be present! It's going to be in the 60's here this weekend which not surprisingly still feels like summer! I am sure the next 3 months will be great and it's probably good news for winter too. Not about our weather at all. I just think it's funny to be virtue signaling and praying for something that probably screws the places that need a Nino in a bad way. 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I was just mentioning this the other day... These -ENSO patterns that favor the PNW often torch other parts of the country. Still will root for them though, because it gives us the wetter/cooler than normal weather I like, plus there will always be another +ENSO regime to take over eventually within the next two years. 3rd year -ENSO/+QBO is a great combination to have this winter. We'll certainly see snow again, given that 1933-34 is the only -ENSO winter to not have any. At PDX there have been some almost 0 years with a La Nina, 2007/08 only had a trace at PDX but I'm pretty sure most of the metro area had some snow at some point. 2000-01 also only had 0.1 inches here. I doubt that'll happen next winter though (and hope). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Cfs v2 is not exactly screaming for a Nino lately. Seems to be in on a Nina. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 That’s a clean beat. And ouch with the humidity down there. 3 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post AlTahoe Posted June 23, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Rode from the house to high meadow via cold creek today after work. In the middle of cold creek trail is an area of ferns which is rare for Tahoe. Today I noticed that all of them had black wilted tips, almost like they were burned. We haven't had any heat waves so it must have been the unusual cold spells we have had the last few weekends. First time I have seen it in 10 years. 9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 16 minutes ago, Phil said: That’s a clean beat. And ouch with the humidity down there. At least RH was only 18% when it hit 105. Dew point was 53. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: At least RH was only 18% when it hit 105. Dew point was 53. That could definitely be worse. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, Phil said: That’s a clean beat. And ouch with the humidity down there. Hopefully we don't follow what happened the following winter in 1925. Both PDX and SEA got 0" of snow. I'm not worried though because that was an El Nino winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 45 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Cfs v2 is not exactly screaming for a Nino lately. Seems to be in on a Nina. Not Nina related, but what is that construction going on as you are leaving Leavenworth on Hwy 2 up on the hill? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 68/53 on the day. Currently 63 and SUNNY!!! .01” on the day, 4.86” for the month, 33.62” for the year. 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Maybe if I met Jesse in person and didn't know he was Jesse we would become good friends. Kind of like the "You've Got Mail" movie, except it would not be a romantic relationship of course. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 54 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Rode from the house to high meadow via cold creek today after work. In the middle of cold creek trail is an area of ferns which is rare for Tahoe. Today I noticed that all of them had black wilted tips, almost like they were burned. We haven't had any heat waves so it must have been the unusual cold spells we have had the last few weekends. First time I have seen it in 10 years. You got the monsoonal moisture. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Have to say... going with another Nina is spectacular news for CA and the entire SW part of the country. Very exciting for them. PNW is in severe drought though so screw the rest of the country. We get it, Tim. Please get some sort of summer home down here in the south Willamette Valley in the spring. You would like it so much better from May-Jul esp. 8 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Still all-in on this next winter. Nina plus unpredictable Tongva influence. Deck is stacked for us and we are due for a major Arctic blast in SW Oregon. Our last one was in Jan 2017. 6 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Beautiful blue skies here with golden sunshine! 4 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Clouds increasing now. Beautiful evening. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: We get it, Tim. Please get some sort of summer home down here in the south Willamette Valley in the spring. You would like it so much better from May-Jul esp. No way... I can't wait to see a climo spring in my area now with rain on only half the days. It's going to seem like Phoenix. 1 1 1 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 Got a great shot of Helen's while sitting in traffic. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted June 23, 2022 Report Share Posted June 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, The Blob said: Got a great shot of Helen's while sitting in traffic. If I worked nights and still had to sit in traffic….I wouldn’t work nights 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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