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June 2022 - Summer Begins


TT-SEA

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26 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We get it, Tim. Please get some sort of summer home down here in the south Willamette Valley in the spring. You would like it so much better from May-Jul esp.

Or this. https://www.charlestoncvb.com/beaches/isle-of-palms/

Take the plunge, Tim. You’ll be glad you did.

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14 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Got a great shot of Helen's while sitting in traffic.

20220622_172350.jpg

Is that really St. Helens? Where’s the blown out side?

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Not Nina related, but what is that construction going on as you are leaving Leavenworth on Hwy 2 up on the hill? 

Going east?  Stabilization of the hill to prevent rock falls.   Goal is to be done by July 4th.  I just take the North Road to get around it.  North Road is off Chumstick in town and parallels highway 2 and you can re-enter highway 2 in Peshastin. 

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Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Going east?  Stabilization of the hill to prevent rock falls.   Goal is to be done by July 4th.  I just take the North Road to get around it.  North Road is off Chumstick in town and parallels highway 2 and you can re-enter highway 2 in Peshastin. 

What’s the roller coaster thing going up that hill though like a huge metal cart track? Same thing?

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Is that really St. Helens? Where’s the blown out side?

The other (north) side.

Also hard to tell from the clouds in that pic but the top is basically decapitated from what it was pre-1980. Used to be a very perfect Fuji like cone, now it has a flat crater rim visible on the south and a crater from the north.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

What’s the roller coaster thing going up that hill though like a huge metal cart track? Same thing?

Its going to be one of those mountain coasters that you see in the Alps.  Controversial here.  Most don't mind the idea but don't like the location.  They will also have a climbing  wall.

image.png

https://www.wenatcheeworld.com/news/local/photos-tumwater-twister-taking-shape-in-leavenworth/article_270aa76e-c1b8-11ec-8b43-73b4047b5568.html

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Nice day here. 76/57 spread but it wouldn’t surprise me if we went a bit lower by midnight. The high hit early and it’s been steadily cooling on NW winds the rest of the afternoon, down to 68 now. Our 7/10/08 redux is working out nicely so far.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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48 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Still all-in on this next winter. Nina plus unpredictable Tongva influence. Deck is stacked for us and we are due for a major Arctic blast in SW Oregon. Our last one was in Jan 2017.

The deck seems about as perfectly stacked as it gets for this early on if you want 22-23 to be cold and snowy in the northwestern US.

Hopefully Tonga amplifies it as well like it possibly amplified the cold pattern we saw between mid-April and mid-May.

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32 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

If I worked nights and still had to sit in traffic….I wouldn’t work nights

I only have traffic on the 205, once I'm on the 84 I'm good.

29 minutes ago, Phil said:

Is that really St. Helens? Where’s the blown out side?

I'm south of Helen's.

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22 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Its going to be one of those mountain coasters that you see in the Alps.  Controversial here.  Most don't mind the idea but don't like the location.  They will also have a climbing  wall.

image.png

https://www.wenatcheeworld.com/news/local/photos-tumwater-twister-taking-shape-in-leavenworth/article_270aa76e-c1b8-11ec-8b43-73b4047b5568.html

Ahhh gotcha! That is what I meant, sorry I didn’t explain the location very well. It looked like some sort of a ride thing but I didn’t think that was actually going to be one. Wow

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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58 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Beautiful blue skies here with golden sunshine!

6F1BE254-1013-4F5E-B673-04C8F6B97A5F.jpeg

I don't see any golden there... 😡

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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22 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Some great trends on the long range remodels today too. A heatwave is a lot more tolerable if it’s confined to 2-3 days and bookended by cooler weather. In fact I’d even go so far as to say it sounds kind of enjoyable.

Ok Tim. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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12z euro was ready to drop the hammer on us just after it ended ;)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

12z euro was ready to drop the hammer on us just after it ended ;)

Not really.   Control run looked the same at 240 hours and ended up like this 4 days later...

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-7195200.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not really.   Control run looked the same at 240 hours and ended up like this 4 days later...

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-7195200.png

image.gif

Heights rising offshore, fairly deep trough sliding along the coast of AK and BC. In winter this would be an eye catcher. I didn't see the control run myself but I think anyone who's tracked weather here knows this look. These are GIFs that would make Jim quite happy around DJF.

The control run shows one of the many ways it can go wrong but is also probably different in some subtle way which makes it end up the way it does.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not really.   Control run looked the same at 240 hours and ended up like this 4 days later...

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-7195200.png

Actually there were pretty distinct differences w/ the NPAC high.

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Just now, Phil said:

Actually there were pretty distinct differences w/ the NPAC high.

As I figured....

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

image.gif

Heights rising offshore, fairly deep trough sliding along the coast of AK and BC. In winter this would be an eye catcher. I didn't see the control run myself but I think anyone who's tracked weather here knows this look. These are GIFs that would make Jim quite happy around DJF.

The control run shows one of the many ways it can go wrong but is also probably different in some subtle way which makes it end up the way it does.

Likely a moot point... the 00Z run will probably be very different at 240 hours.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Likely a moot point... the 00Z run will probably be very different at 240 hours.

Either way your meet up with patriot front should stay dry. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Salem posted 84

today. 77 here on the hill.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Special Weather Statement

Alert: ...FIRST HEAT WAVE OF THE SEASON EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON...

Summer weather is expected to begin in earnest across much of southwest Washington and northwest Oregon this Friday, continuing through the weekend. For inland valleys, temperatures will reach well into the 80s Friday, possibly even reaching the lower 90s in some locations. Further warming will make afternoon temperatures in the 90s more widespread in the inland valleys over the weekend. Offshore flow will bring sunny skies and warm temperatures all the way to the coast, where highs will be in the 70s and 80s this weekend. Gradual cooling begins Monday with inland valleys reaching the upper 80s to low 90s, and coastal locations topping out in the 60s and 70s.

With the hot weather expected, now is a good time to make sure you and your neighbors have a way to deal with the heat. If you have fans or air conditioning, now is a good time to make sure those systems are operating properly.

Given a much-above normal snowpack in the Cascades, rivers are running cold and fast, and will continue to do so this weekend. Nearly every year, people die in rivers in southwest Washington and northwest Oregon due to cold water shock during the season`s first heat wave. Hot temperatures can make the cool water seem tempting, but river temperatures in the 40s and 50s can easily result in cold water shock that can kill in minutes.

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Monday is cooler and the crash is stronger on the 00z.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Going east?  Stabilization of the hill to prevent rock falls.   Goal is to be done by July 4th.  I just take the North Road to get around it.  North Road is off Chumstick in town and parallels highway 2 and you can re-enter highway 2 in Peshastin. 

That’s a more beautiful drive at sunset too. 

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1 minute ago, The Blob said:

Almost 100 pages for this month!

And it all wouldn't have been possible without one specific user!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Hellz ya GFS

gets convective in the LR too, particularly in the mountains

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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13 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

And it all wouldn't have been possible without one specific user!

Very true!   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I wanted to see what the GFS looked like last week for this coming weekend.   This is what it showed just 6 days ago for this coming Saturday at 228 hours.   Second image is what it shows now for the same day.    😀 

gfs_z500a_namer_39 (2).png

gfs_z500a_namer_13.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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