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June 2022 - Summer Begins


TT-SEA

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Pretty crazy crash early Monday evening.  Some indicators show major instability during the transition, but moisture looks limited.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

So 00z GFS is going even hotter for Monday for Seattle/Renton/Kent areas. This is probably the hottest run yet with a 97. 

Lets just hope it’s running too warm. Lol

If it's anything like last summer it's too high.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty crazy crash early Monday evening.  Some indicators show major instability during the transition, but moisture looks limited.

Im definitely interested to be outside and experience this quick crash. I think it’ll feel quite good after the heat 

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17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty crazy crash early Monday evening.  Some indicators show major instability during the transition, but moisture looks limited.

Global scale models can underdo moisture, but it does generally seem lower than ideal.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

One reason I wanted to look back at September 2020 was the absolute freak of nature east wind event on Labor Day. I know it led to major destruction that personally affected a few of us on the forum but the wind event itself was pretty wild. One of the most extreme weather events I’ve ever witnessed. 

That one was insane.  A dry Candian cold front whipped up the winds and parched the atmosphere and then the smoke from hell.  The two cold days that were caused by the smoke (following a couple of low 90s) were just as freaky as the out of season east wind IMO.

That event was made even more memorable for me as I was ravaged by a really bad urinary tract infection that made me sicker than a dog during all of that.  2020 was simply a year from hell.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Euro is set to make the 4th of July extra cool and wet.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

One reason I wanted to look back at September 2020 was the absolute freak of nature east wind event on Labor Day. I know it led to major destruction that personally affected a few of us on the forum but the wind event itself was pretty wild. One of the most extreme weather events I’ve ever witnessed. 

Freakish east winds and wildfires in September, a damaging ice storm the following February, a heat wave from hell just four months later that smashed every record in the book, and even a rare April snowstorm for some less than a year after. 2020-2022 has been a strange stretch of some genuinely freak events. (Still, I don't think anything can top the heatwave)

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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It's Friday now... You know what that means!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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image.png

Massive improvement for convection Monday evening on the 06z.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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6 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

If it's anything like last summer it's too high.

I can still remember when it was spitting out those ridiculous readings in the 110s at this time last year. Obviously impossible west of the Cascades. Good thing that never verified!

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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7 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

One reason I wanted to look back at September 2020 was the absolute freak of nature east wind event on Labor Day. I know it led to major destruction that personally affected a few of us on the forum but the wind event itself was pretty wild. One of the most extreme weather events I’ve ever witnessed. 

That arctic cold front was what led to the 2nd earliest snow in Denver and record cold.  Temps went from the mid 90s Monday to snowfall Tuesday morning 

https://www.weather.gov/bou/Sept2020EarlySnow

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4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

That arctic cold front was what led to the 2nd earliest snow in Denver and record cold.  Temps went from the mid 90s Monday to snowfall Tuesday morning 

https://www.weather.gov/bou/Sept2020EarlySnow

These pics should permanently debunk the "ground is too warm" theory for accumulating snow.  101 degrees a couple days earlier to this...

DSRC_Sign.jpg

Ruler.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I can still remember when it was spitting out those ridiculous readings in the 110s at this time last year. Obviously impossible west of the Cascades. Good thing that never verified!

It was actually spitting out some 120's west of the Cascades.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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45 this morning. Refreshing.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Severe clear and 50 now. Ensemble means continue to look spectacular. I have no issues with normal summer weather.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

One reason I wanted to look back at September 2020 was the absolute freak of nature east wind event on Labor Day. I know it led to major destruction that personally affected a few of us on the forum but the wind event itself was pretty wild. One of the most extreme weather events I’ve ever witnessed. 

San Francisco had orange skies

image.png.a82fe5b1da8b1aab3688ebfdf97d0c6a.png

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We will see if we can hit 90 here Sunday or Monday…gonna be a close call. Should be somewhere between 88 and 91 on both days. Either way a 10-15 degrees cooler than late June last year which is still mind boggling. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Drop dead gorgeous morning out there. HOLY SHEET. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z GFS shifting everything farther west later next week into the weekend.    That huge trough north of the Great Lakes has been shifting west with each run lately... which in turns blocks the downstream progression a little bit more.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Last years heatwave

6/26 98/71

6/27 100/72

6/28 106/68

my prediction for this round

6/25 81/57

6/26 89/58

6/27 90/60

 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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11 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

One reason I wanted to look back at September 2020 was the absolute freak of nature east wind event on Labor Day. I know it led to major destruction that personally affected a few of us on the forum but the wind event itself was pretty wild. One of the most extreme weather events I’ve ever witnessed. 

That wind event had to have hit most on the forum. That was the last time I experienced a 60+ mph wind all the way down in Klamath Falls.

Within minutes of that wind, the smoke followed. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Lets just go with the 12Z GFS through the holiday weekend... lock it in.  

Its shows sunshine all 3 days with highs of 80, 80, 82 at SEA.

 

 

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Lets just go with the 12Z GFS through the holiday weekend... lock it in.  

Its shows sunshine all 3 days with highs of 80, 80, 82 at SEA.

 

 

 

Okay Timothy. Let's lock it in. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12z GFS looks way too deep with that EPAC hurricane. I think the CMC solution makes a lot more sense from that standpoint.

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The 12z GFS is also way too far SW with that trough/ULL next weekend, perhaps in part due to diabatic heating from that over-strengthened hurricane.

Again, easy to see.

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