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June 2022 - Summer Begins


TT-SEA

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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26 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

It's mostly attributed to how shallow the water depth is. Doesn't take much directional heating to have an impact. I think its average depth (for a 7 mile long lake) is something like 58 feet.

I agree.   This is such a silly debate.   I know that buoy temp is accurate.   And I know how warm the water gets because we are there all the time. 

And obviously its not just based on the average temp or it would never get to 75... the average temp at SEA in July is 65.    But that lake is always at or above 75 in July and August every year.    It warms up fast and stays warm all summer.    Its just how it works there.   Been going there for 20 years.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I will be enjoying this heatwave on Sand Island (Columbia River across from Halloween town I think).   Primitive campground with daughter and grandson.   I’m assuming we will be in the water a lot! 
Enjoy all and stay safe out there! 
 

55* with a NNW breeze 

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Just checking out the ensembles this morning, I think there is a chance we see our next heat spike around July 10th. Signal starting to emerge. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Already up to 61 this morning after a low of 52. Looks like SLE hit 54 and has now SOARED to 66. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

I'm awake now.

Mi dos

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The 06Z GFS was pretty nice for the holiday weekend... but lots of model variability still.     By tomorrow it should be locking in and I suspect it won't be as nice as this shows:

 

gfs-deterministic-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-6136800 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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There’s been several runs the last few days that show a narrow area of precip over my area…would be noice. Also total rainfall through day 10 some convective stuff it looks like. 

45F40C94-64E9-4837-ABCC-33A142D4D8FB.jpeg

315CCB71-9346-4D88-944A-8DA36517DDEA.jpeg

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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We’re -1.8 for June as of yesterday…if the euro verifies we will end the month right at or just slightly below average not bad. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Tim is right about Lake Sammamish. It’s a fantastic lake for swimming and is always impressively warm in the Summer.

I follow that buoy data closely because I spend a ton of time in the Summer swimming and boating and like to nerd out about it. Sammamish is always 3-4 degrees warmer than Lake Washington because it’s smaller, calmer, shallower, and sees slightly warmer air temps being further East.

The strength of the sun and calmness of the lake allow the water temp to easily exceed average temperatures during the Summer and it is often near 80 degrees during our warmer Summers despite air temps being lower than that like 85+% of the time.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Tim is right about Lake Sammamish. It’s a fantastic lake for swimming and is always impressively warm in the Summer.

I follow that buoy data closely because I spend a ton of time in the Summer swimming and boating and like thinners out about it. Sammamish is always 3-4 degrees warmer than Lake Washington because it’s smaller, calmer, shallower, and sees slightly warmer air temps being further East.

The strength of the sun and calmness of the lake allow the water temp to easily exceed average temperatures during the Summer and it is often near 80 degrees during our warmer Summers despite air temps being lower than that like 85+% of the time.

There have been a few occasions in the last few years when were out there on days in the mid to upper 70s with a water temp of 80... actually warmer than the air.     Obviously the residual effect of hot weather previously.   We would joke that if you want to warm up just jump in the water.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

How's everyone been? Work has been crazy so that's where I've been.

Yesterday was the last day of school for me. Was a pretty rough year for a lot of reasons but Summers as a teacher always make up for it. Really looking forward to recharging!

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

How's everyone been? Work has been crazy so that's where I've been.

Was just talking about you the other day and how I missed meeting you this February 😂. Wish I had gotten to meet you shoulda checked my phone! Maybe someday this summer if you’re not busy I’ll go out to gold mountain again. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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10 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Yesterday was the last day of school for me. Was a pretty rough year for a lot of reasons but Summers as a teacher always make up for it. Really looking forward to recharging!

Do start after Labor Day?   That should be a state law... starting school in August is just wrong! 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I mentioned it to randy 2 years ago, I have a sweet little 93 Bayliner with 100 hrs on boat and 20 hrs on new built up 4.3 v6, with new manifolds, alternator,  pumps basically everything is new. I rebuilt out drive also. I have 2 props. The boat is almost in perfect condition except for a couple spots on the seats. It's a 23ft cuddy cabin. Does 57 mph on GPS. Factory hp was 185 and this engine is about 325. I'll get some pics after I clean it up. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Was just talking about you the other day and how I missed meeting you this February 😂. Wish I had gotten to meet you shoulda checked my phone! Maybe someday this summer if you’re not busy I’ll go out to gold mountain again. 

Just let me know man, takes me 5 minutes to get there.  

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Just let me know man, takes me 5 minutes to get there.  

Either pull up in that bad*as gold scooter or don’t pull up at all 😂😂

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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44 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Tim is right about Lake Sammamish. It’s a fantastic lake for swimming and is always impressively warm in the Summer.

I follow that buoy data closely because I spend a ton of time in the Summer swimming and boating and like to nerd out about it. Sammamish is always 3-4 degrees warmer than Lake Washington because it’s smaller, calmer, shallower, and sees slightly warmer air temps being further East.

The strength of the sun and calmness of the lake allow the water temp to easily exceed average temperatures during the Summer and it is often near 80 degrees during our warmer Summers despite air temps being lower than that like 85+% of the time.

Exceeding the avg temp is fine. Exceeding it by 10+ degrees is another thing entirely.

There’s literally nothing you could to convince me of that, short of live streaming a measurement with a high quality sensor. Would require basically zero wind and no new runoff.

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12Z GFS for the Friday - Monday period next week over the holiday weekend shows 84, 86, 75, 79 at SEA.    That would be great but still too much variability to count on it quite yet.   

GFS also shows what looks like a thunderstorm outbreak over the Seattle area on Saturday evening as a weak trough lifts to the NE across WA.     

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Exceeding the average temp is one thing. Exceeding it by 10+ degrees is another thing entirely.

There’s literally nothing you could to convince me of that, short of live streaming a measurement with a high quality sensor. Would require basically zero wind and no new runoff.

Dude... I literally don't care what you say about this from 3,000 miles away.  I know that lake very well and so does @bainbridgekid 

And we are going in a couple hours and will be in that lake this afternoon and again tomorrow.   My wife and daughter refuse to swim in cold water.    But it won't be an issue because the water temp will be in the low 70s later today.   👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Dude... I literally don't care what you say about this from 3,000 miles away.  I know that lake very well and so does @bainbridgekid 

And my family will be in that lake this afternoon and again tomorrow.   My wife and daughter refuse to swim in cold water.    But it won't be an issue because the water temp will be in the low 70s later today.   👍

Have fun in the 66 degree water. 😎 🌊 🍻 

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GFS for the Friday - Monday period next week over the holiday weekend shows 84, 86, 75, 79 at SEA.    That would be great but still too much variability to count on it quite yet.   

GFS also shows what looks like a thunderstorm outbreak over the Seattle area on Saturday evening as a weak trough lifts to the NE across WA.     

 

We’re long overdue for some decent thunderstorms…some areas got some earlier this month but I’m talking about a big regional outbreak. Hopefully we get lots of them this summer. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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