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June 2022 - Summer Begins


TT-SEA

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16 minutes ago, T-Town said:

69 here. Getting a little yard work in before it gets too warm. 

Just hit 70 at 10am…although I think the temps may cap out a bit later this afternoon when the north winds off the sound get going. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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24 minutes ago, Phil said:

Have fun in the 66 degree water! 🌊 

😀

Your estimate keeps going up!   So the buoy said 69 and now you are vehemently arguing with me now about 3 degrees at a lake on the other side of the country from you!  

It will be over 70 by later this afternoon.    And into the low 70s by tomorrow and Monday.   Might even get to 75 by Monday evening.   And when we are able to comfortably enjoy swimming then summer has finally started.    That is going to happen today.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

😀

Your estimate keeps going up!   So the buoy said 69 and now you are vehemently arguing with me now about 3 degrees at a lake on the side of the country from you!  

It will be over 70 by later this afternoon.    And into the low 70s by tomorrow and Monday.   Might even get to 75 by Monday evening.   And when we are able to comfortably enjoy swimming then summer has finally started.   

66.6°F.

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10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We’re long overdue for some decent thunderstorms…some areas got some earlier this month but I’m talking about a big regional outbreak. Hopefully we get lots of them this summer. 

Saaly the NWS mentioned that only the GFS operational and 11 members showed thunderstorm chances while nothing else did. I'm hoping the GFS is right but it's the GFS...

Edit: After the heatwave at least

 

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SEA is up to 74 at 10 a.m.

I am guessing that the high of 78 there that the 00Z ECMWF showed for today might be juuuust a bit low.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I went to Vegas last May. It was kind of boring. I blame Covid. Did see a woman jogging topless wearing a diaper.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z GEM is different than its 00Z run for next weekend... so I expect the ECMWF will look different as well.

Unfortunately those changes are not really good for Sunday but it is warmer and drier for Monday.    But that is just timing inside a broad trough.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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PDX has hit 100 degrees in June in these years:
1942, 1982, 1992, 2006. 2008, 2016, 2017, 2021, and possibly 2022. A lot less common than I thought because of recent years, must've been nice to be able to go 40 years without hitting 100 in June!

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23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I went to Vegas last May. It was kind of boring. I blame Covid. Did see a woman jogging topless wearing a diaper.

I used to love Vegas when I could drink all day and half the night, wake up the next day and just drink my way past my hangover and do it all again. Father time has stepped in and those days are over. 

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SEA is at 78 at 11 a.m.

According to the ECMWF we have reached the high for the day.   Might be a bad day for the Europeans.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF shows some rain now for Tuesday into Wednesday.    Looks like that ULL is trending faster as the time approaches.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Why aren't you on the lake yet?

My son is leaving now with the boat... going out with his friends and then we are meeting him at 2.  

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12Z ECMWF is similar to the GEM in lifting the ULL into WA by next Sunday and Monday.    Its actually a little warmer for the 4th than its 00Z run... but only because the ULL lifts north a little faster.   Certainly could be a rainy 4th in western WA.

At face value... the 12Z ECMWF shows it being partly cloudy and around 70 in Seattle on the 4th with rain staying to the west.     But that would be threading the needle with that set up.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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If this verifies it’d likely be the strongest trade wind burst ever observed in the satellite era in the month of June. 😱

C186BFFE-BA45-4431-A534-D180E1FD10AF.png05D9EA92-1269-4192-A87E-0E37404BFBD4.png

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49 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows some rain now for Tuesday into Wednesday.    Looks like that ULL is trending faster as the time approaches.

Looking forward to a little rain after the heatwave hopefully it materializes. Looks nice again afterwards but not hot. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is at 78 at 11 a.m.

According to the ECMWF we have reached the high for the day.   Might be a bad day for the Europeans.

It's going to verify around 7-10F too cold. Bad, bad day for them for sure.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Already the first 80F day of the year for KSEA on the noon update. Should have no problem reaching 85F, probably a high around 87F

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

If this verifies it’d likely be the strongest trade wind burst ever observed in the satellite era in the month of June. 😱

C186BFFE-BA45-4431-A534-D180E1FD10AF.png05D9EA92-1269-4192-A87E-0E37404BFBD4.png

It will be interesting to see what effects it has on the ENSO region SSTAs.     Eric Snodgrass from Ag Weather talked about this in his latest update and said its a very impressive burst but it will probably have a negligible impact on SSTAs because of the warm sub-surface temps.    I know you refuted this theory.    I guess we will know in early July.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Lots of 40+ mph gusts this morning in the foothills which is getting into the top tier range for mid season-ish downslopes. Things are drying out fast.

Good thing this isn't happening in August or September and we just had that rain a bit ago, but if things continue to dry out fast like this then it could be bad later on.

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