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June 2022 - Summer Begins


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  • Longtimer

79/53 day here. Warmest day of the year so far but still waiting for the first 80.

Partly to mostly cloudy skies with some interesting clouds later in the afternoon. Saw a few flashes of lighting from the small cell that formed to our west around 9pm. Currently breezy and down to 66 as marine air moves in. Looking forward to some rain tomorrow.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Mark Nelsen mentioned that at SLE, this spring was warmer than most springs from 1950 to 1980. He mentions that there was a cool period at that time, but it's still interesting. I think KSEA had colder anomalies though.

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63F and pleasant out there. Pretty stars.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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9 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Mark Nelsen mentioned that at SLE, this spring was warmer than most springs from 1950 to 1980. He mentions that there was a cool period at that time, but it's still interesting. I think KSEA had colder anomalies though.

Up here KGEG registered a top 10 cold May and a top 10 cold April. June will likely be cooler than average, too. July and August, if history is any indication, will be pretty close to average. 1984, 1996, 2008, 2011, and 2012 were similar years.

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  • Longtimer
12 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Mark Nelsen mentioned that at SLE, this spring was warmer than most springs from 1950 to 1980. He mentions that there was a cool period at that time, but it's still interesting. I think KSEA had colder anomalies though.

SLE' s heat island expansion since the 80s is very noticeable. They used to be a pretty reliable spot for radiational cooling, so it's tough to compare to today.

March's warmth also did a lot to minimize meteorological spring's overall anomalies, for just April/May it was fairly impressive across the majority of the region.

 

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1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

SLE' s heat island expansion since the 80s is very noticeable. They used to be a pretty reliable spot for radiational cooling, so it's tough to compare to today.

March's warmth also did a lot to minimize meteorological spring's overall anomalies, for just April/May it was fairly impressive across the majority of the region.

 

Yeah that's true, I forgot for a second how different March was in comparison to April/May.

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57 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Power and water in this afternoon and the trench (mostly) filled in, in between the quick downpours this afternoon. Next up will be prepping where the RV pad is going to be…Whenever the rain stops again. Have I mentioned yet just how much I love my tractor? 
Currently 58 after a high of 72. 
.03” on the day, .20” for the month. 

2C2D9AA7-64A2-4A46-8732-7110C07CC26A.jpeg

53A04158-6319-48F2-AE1E-142C314D5EF4.jpeg

You do have a nice tractor. It's really quite versatile.

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  • Longtimer
33 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

SLE' s heat island expansion since the 80s is very noticeable. They used to be a pretty reliable spot for radiational cooling, so it's tough to compare to today.

March's warmth also did a lot to minimize meteorological spring's overall anomalies, for just April/May it was fairly impressive across the majority of the region.

 

Looking at their warm season records recently, there are really pretty much no record lows there in the warm season in the past 20 years, and very few since the mid-80s. Pretty simple explanation is Salem is twice as big as it was back then and its growth has moved out and past the airport. Working in pretty much the center of Salem, the city has a noticeable heat island, just judging by the car thermometer on the way in and out of work. 

Also the March point is a good one, SLE had a some of the weaker April/May departures for the region, though they were around -2F, factor in March though and the numbers are not all that impressive. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looking at their warm season records recently, there are really pretty much no record lows there in the warm season in the past 20 years, and very few since the mid-80s. Pretty simple explanation is Salem is twice as big as it was back then and its growth has moved out and past the airport. Working in pretty much the center of Salem, the city has a noticeable heat island, just judging by the car thermometer on the way in and out of work. 

Also the March point is a good one, SLE had a some of the weaker April/May departures for the region, though they were around -2F, factor in March though and the numbers are not all that impressive. 

It felt like the pattern just suddenly switched after that day in the 70s that we had, from mild and dry to cold and wet. 

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52 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

SLE' s heat island expansion since the 80s is very noticeable. They used to be a pretty reliable spot for radiational cooling, so it's tough to compare to today.

March's warmth also did a lot to minimize meteorological spring's overall anomalies, for just April/May it was fairly impressive across the majority of the region.

 

Although we were dew for an April/May like we just observed, we were also kind of dew for a regionally warm March, which has not happened since 2016.

The last several springs and especially last year set many people's (including quite a few of us here) expectations very high for sun and warmth in April and May, and lots of people kind of forgot springs like this were possible. Kind of a whiplash.

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1991, 1901, 1981, 1954, 1953, 1893, 1980, 1971, 1976, 2001, 1943, 1966, 1956, 1906, 2011, 2010, 1984, 1975, 2012, and 1942 are the 20 coldest Junes in Spokane history. I experienced 8/20 or 40% of them. 1991 sucked rocks and everything else.

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getting a little foggy at 60°F here. Storms strengthening and moving in from the south with this second wave.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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35723CAD-7A42-47D4-8C1A-77FDC6B06A0F.png

Noisy little storm to the east of the Hood Canal. @MR.SNOWMIZER might be getting a heck of a light show right now.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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After an underwhelming start to “round two”, radar is lighting up to the SW, and the sky is turning definitively more bubbly. Could be the beginnings of more lightning chances 

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Woke up to some heavy rain here a bit ago…haven’t seen any lightning yet. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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2 hours ago, Jginmartini said:

Quite a few strikes to my west as I’m watching the Nest cam

 

Lol I was passed out darn. Looks like we’ve still got a opportunity for storms here. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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  • Longtimer

Seems like the overnight models toned down the idea of heat next week. Especially the Euro and EPS. But the GFS has taken a small step in that direction as well.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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3977FD08-69F9-4FF0-92EE-4CD9CEDFADFC.png

After seeing flashes to the west all morning from distant storms, finally hearing some thunder as lifting enters the area.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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B813BF26-41EA-478A-A39D-FD4D631A0D70.jpeg

Also some beautiful striation along the base of these storms.

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  • Storm 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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9 hours ago, The Blob said:

There has been a "cold" going around work, took me out for a few days.

Even as a kid I don't believe I've gotten colds this late in the year. Maybe there are just different types spreading around now. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1CC5F178-DEBA-4E2F-ABAB-ADECECC67A4D.gif

Thank you, mother nature. I really needed that.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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We did not get lucky here unfortunately most of the storms were to the north or west of here. 0.16” since midnight and 0.19” so far this month. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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14 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We did not get lucky here unfortunately most of the storms were to the north or west of here. 0.16” since midnight and 0.19” so far this month. 

Maybe we'll see something on Sunday if we are lucky?

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  • Longtimer

FWIW the 06z GFS was quite moist. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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14 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Maybe we'll see something on Sunday if we are lucky?

We will see, bummer we missed out on a good opportunity the last 24 hours here. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Glad to see that some of you got some storms last night and this morning!

CPC has us under a marginal risk for severe storms out here today. CAPE doesn't look to be all that impressive (up to 1,000 J/kg) but still good enough for up to quarter inch hail. PWAT values around 1" should at least produce some very heavy rainfall. 

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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The excited react still disturbs me. What is that little guy doing? Writhing around like a worm? Why is it so fluid?!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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18 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We will see, bummer we missed out on a good opportunity the last 24 hours here. 

Yeah, I'm hoping for a good thunderstorm at some point this summer. I don't remember the last one here, but I did see a nice one when I was near Coeur d'Alene and Spokane in August 2021.

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4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

The excited react still disturbs me. What is that little guy doing? Writhing around like a worm? Why is it so fluid?!

Lack of a collarbone 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Just now, Doiinko said:

Yeah, I'm hoping for a good thunderstorm at some point this summer. I don't remember the last one here, but I did see a nice one when I was near Coeur d'Alene and Spokane in August 2021.

We’ve had a couple one hit wonders over the last 18 months but nothing decent since October 2020.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

We’ve had a couple one hit wonders over the last 18 months but nothing decent since October 2020.

I think I saw one in March 2021, that was just one strike though.

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  • Longtimer

Rumbles at 6am

Massive downpours at 7am.

Light rain and 55 now.

.31” so far on the day, .51” for the month. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Last year there weren't any very notable t'storms before I left southern Oregon. I'd say the last pretty good one happened 8/5/2020 over in KFalls. 

So that was a double downer for 2021, a record warm summer and a lackluster convective year to top it off. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Dire situation in WA state in terms of snowpack and water supply...   ;)

wa state snow.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Dire situation in WA state in terms of snowpack and water supply...   ;)

wa state snow.png

Klickitat 👀

I'm pretty sure the peak in snowpack (at least in Oregon) was higher last year than this year, but it all melted fast.

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1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

Klickitat 👀

I'm pretty sure the peak in snowpack (at least in Oregon) was higher last year than this year, but it all melted fast.

Maybe on Mount Hood.. in Jan/Feb '21. 

If you compared Springtime moisture to last year it easily beats it, even though mid-late Winter was drier than 2015. Miraculously this Spring happened to be the snowiest since 1933 over by Crater Lake and Klamath Falls. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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  • Longtimer

Wet is the understatement of the year so far! 
Another major downpour in progress. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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9 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

SLE' s heat island expansion since the 80s is very noticeable. They used to be a pretty reliable spot for radiational cooling, so it's tough to compare to today.

March's warmth also did a lot to minimize meteorological spring's overall anomalies, for just April/May it was fairly impressive across the majority of the region.

 

There has also been an N-S gradient in the below normal departures.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Dire situation in WA state in terms of snowpack and water supply...   ;)

wa state snow.png

Pretty sure nobody’s been sounding the alarm on drought since September 2021 in western WA.

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Dire situation in WA state in terms of snowpack and water supply...   ;)

wa state snow.png

It could actually become dire if we get a sudden, early heat wave.

At this stage, a run of dry weather with normal temperatures to get it melting (but not too quickly) is what we need.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It could actually become dire if we get a sudden, early heat wave.

At this stage, a run of dry weather with normal temperatures to get it melting (but not too quickly) is what we need.

I assume you mean with flooding... and you could be right.    But there is really nothing in the models that would indicate any heat at all.  

In fact... there does not even appear to be more than 1-2 days of dry weather in sight which is getting pretty strange at this point.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

I assume you mean with flooding... and you could be right.    But there is really nothing in the models that would indicate any heat at all.  

In fact... there does not even appear to be more than 1-2 days of dry weather in sight which is getting pretty strange at this point.

No heat… yet. I have lived in various parts of the PNW for 30+ years now. Not once has there been a summer without a heat wave. As such, I feel safe saying we will have at least one heat wave this summer. If it happens when there is still an abnormally high amount of snow in the mountains, there will be trouble.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

No heat… yet. I have lived in various parts of the PNW for 30+ years now. Not once has there been a summer without a heat wave. As such, I feel safe saying we will have at least one heat wave this summer. If it happens when there is still an abnormally high amount of snow in the mountains, there will be trouble.

Good point. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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