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June 2022 - Summer Begins


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  • Longtimer

I'm not celebrating the 4th again anyway until we are living in a theocratic Christian nation. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm not celebrating the 4th again anyway until we are living in a theocratic Christian nation. 

I am thinking about taking off the 5th and 6th and pretending its a holiday weekend.   👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So you would not approve if its still pouring rain in the South Sound during the evening?    Places to the north won't be as lucky as you.   😀

Well I just enjoy whatever life throws at me…besides +90 degree heat. Definitely love getting as much rain as we can get from May-September since the default is dry…but i definitely also love fireworks on the 4th. Should be able to get the best of both this year! 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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21 minutes ago, Phil said:

They say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over again and expecting a different result.

This is the 3rd time I’ve predicted a prolonged warmup this spring/summer and each time it’s ended up being a few days then back to cool. 😂

Clearly something is different this year. The same intraseasonal cycles in the tropics that have roasted the PNW since 2013 have not done so in 2022. 

Volcanic 'winter' FTW!

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It's been a while since the last super rainy Independence Day. Bring it on!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Got him!!!

😀

Fraud Hoax GIF

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its going to be very noticeable to everyone in Seattle on a holiday.    And I would bet $1,000 that there will be a Cliff Mass blog post about solar radiation on Tuesday.   There are decent rainy days with sun breaks and then there is what is going to happen on Sunday and Monday which will be about as dark as it gets here in the summer.     I can spot this easily on the ECMWF surface maps with multiple thick cloud layers.   

It’s strange to me that the Euro cloud maps are so dense given it looks like the trough is just offshore. This usually doesn’t bring tons of low clouds in like a trough to our east would.

 

Good news is the 00z EPS looked like goldilocks weather after Monday. Hopefully many more days like today.

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18 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Forgot how nice Highway 22 through East Salem and Stayton is with the rolling hills. Much more scenic than flat I-5. No chemtrails today either.

Stayton in 2020 🤪

KQEMGA3EBREPNLB3RH3VVB5LIY.jpg

EhaNU9rVkAEpMNc.jpg

PZCRTY46DFGM7BGEJNRTQBFJ5M.jpg

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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8 minutes ago, Phil said:

North Bend looks beautiful today. Not sure what the issue is.

https://www.northbendweather.com/WWL-mobile.php

No issue today... summer perfection.   

Are we allowed to discuss what the models show in the future?   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
12 minutes ago, Phil said:

North Bend looks beautiful today. Not sure what the issue is.

https://www.northbendweather.com/WWL-mobile.php

It’s June 30th. Check back on July 4th. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, Omegaraptor said:

Well I’m about to get behind the wheel. See you in Sunriver. How many Tim posts can I expect until then? 

Trying to finish up work so I can get outside and enjoy the day!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Is that during the fires?

Yeah that was right after Labor Day. 

The air was bad too in southern Oregon but I don't think we had any blood red skies. More of a shade of brown in Klamath Falls.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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  • Longtimer
36 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Forgot how nice Highway 22 through East Salem and Stayton is with the rolling hills. Much more scenic than flat I-5. No chemtrails today either.

It is beautiful. Stayton is a nice town, though not as nice as Silverton. But they do have the NF Santiam River and some really nice city parks. Stayton got really hosed for snow in December 2008. I know on the 20th, Silverton had about 4-5" of snow and Stayton had nothing, as the snow line hung up along the Waldo Hills south of Silverton. Stayton did well in February 2011 though, and was about the northern edge of the decent accumulations in December 2013. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
16 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

You gonna go back to the puke emoji for instead of the winter storm? 

Thanks for the reminder! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer
22 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Stayton in 2020 🤪

KQEMGA3EBREPNLB3RH3VVB5LIY.jpg

EhaNU9rVkAEpMNc.jpg

PZCRTY46DFGM7BGEJNRTQBFJ5M.jpg

The Beachie Creek Fire burned quite a bit of the small town of Mehema, which is on the Santiam River about 7 miles east of Stayton, and basically due south of my location. Mehema/Lyons sit at the mouth of the Little NF Santiam canyon and the fire just roared out of there on that Tuesday after Labor Day and devoured the north and east side of the town. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's been a while since the last super rainy Independence Day. Bring it on!

Yeah or a really rainy July day. BLI hasn't picked up more than an inch of rain on a single July day since 7/20/93.

Speaking of that it's remarkable how much wetter BLI is than SEA during July. SEA has only seen 7 July days with more than 2/3" of rain (>0.66") while BLI has had 7 days with more than an inch and 19 days with more than 2/3".

BLI averages about 0.28" more than SEA in July. All of this shows the N/S gradient that gets even stronger once you get up into BC.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

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4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Yeah or a really rainy July day. BLI hasn't picked up more than an inch of rain on a single July day since 7/20/93.

Speaking of that it's remarkable how much wetter BLI is than SEA during July. SEA has only seen 7 July days with more than 2/3" of rain (>0.66") while BLI has had 7 days with more than an inch and 19 days with more than 2/3".

BLI averages about 0.28" more than SEA in July. All of this shows the N/S gradient that gets even stronger once you get up into BC.

BC also recorded a much colder winter iirc.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Yeah or a really rainy July day. BLI hasn't picked up more than an inch of rain on a single July day since 7/20/93.

Speaking of that it's remarkable how much wetter BLI is than SEA during July. SEA has only seen 7 July days with more than 2/3" of rain (>0.66") while BLI has had 7 days with more than an inch and 19 days with more than 2/3".

BLI averages about 0.28" more than SEA in July. All of this shows the N/S gradient that gets even stronger once you get up into BC.

Some of our wettest July days since 2005 (+0.33”) We’re due for some soaker July days haven’t had many in the last 10 years. 

7/5/05 0.37”

7/8/05 0.46”

7/17/07 0.37”

7/2/10  0.83”

7/16/11 0.38”

7/20/12 0.51”

7/23/14 0.53”

7/17/19 0.38”

 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

We lucked out down here. Doesn't look bad for you folks up there. Looks to be drying out.

I’m in the green. I want to be in the white. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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+0.33 days for august for fun. Little more common to get some soaking rains in the second half of august…but it’s been 3 years since a +0.33” rainfall in July or august so we’re due it looks like. 

8/20/08 0.64”

8/24/08 0.40”

8/29/09 0.34”

8/31/13 0.58”

8/12/14 0.59”

8/13/14 1.05”

8/30/14 0.37”

8/14/15 0.68”

8/29/15 1.19”

8/30/15 0.49”

8/10/19 0.48”

8/29/19 0.47”

 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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75 degrees and sunny.   We got to share in some of that perfect western Oregon summer weather today.     😎

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer

Outside getting some work done and noticed the lawn is already starting to turn brown in the sunny spots. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Outside getting some work done and noticed the lawn is already starting to turn brown in the sunny spots. 

yup that was us last week and the Irrigation went on over this past weekend.  Now having to turn up the irrigation times per zone. lawn is thirsty

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's an awesome home! 😎

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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New EPS weeklies are bullish on large scale subsidence enveloping the west-Pacific starting in late July.

Regardless of what the ensemble mean looks like across the middle latitudes, this strongly suggests to me that -PNA will be dominant during the 2nd half of summer with a protracted -dAAMt starting around the third week of July.

37069C9E-F84D-46CA-8012-F7AF8C412EDE.jpeg

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  • Longtimer
37 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Outside getting some work done and noticed the lawn is already starting to turn brown in the sunny spots. 

All that praying for nuthin…

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Really bullish on a cold winter in the West given descending westerly QBO and what looks to be a bonafide strong La Niña.

Not that it’ll happen, but verbatim this would be the year where, strictly on data, 1949/50 actually is an analog for once. 😅

Sucks for the Plains and SW US, though.

 

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Why must you tease us GFS... you just lead to disappointment.  

 

gfs-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-6979200 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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16 minutes ago, Phil said:

Really bullish on a cold winter in the West given descending westerly QBO and what looks to be a bonafide strong La Niña.

Not that it’ll happen, but verbatim this would be the year where, strictly on data, 1949/50 actually is an analog for once. 😅

Sucks for the Plains and SW US, though.

 

For simply referencing this as an analog, your impending ban hinges on a repeat.

Good luck!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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18z still way less wet than the Euro. Ten times less rain for Everett and eight times less for Seattle for example.

 

C62DAF53-C77B-4954-8DAC-C8F69C87FFC8.jpeg

B21B46B9-C4BE-42F2-8B1C-BB404D914781.jpeg

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

2021-22: 17.75"

-12/24: 0.5"

-12/26: 8.5"

-12/27: 1.5"

-12/29-30: 4"

-1/2: 2"

-1/5: 0.5"

-2/22: 0.25"

-2/24: 0.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

2020-21: 14.5”

 

 

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Bouncing between 76 and 77 under sunny skies with a few random puffy clouds.    Literally a perfect summer day in my opinion.   Would not change anything.    Got up at 5 a.m. with the sun and finished work early and now soaking up the sun. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7654EE2E-6AD6-42C1-A05F-8CE5901DF175.png

Okay now I'm real intrigued... 👀

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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14 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

18z still way less wet than the Euro. Ten times less rain for Everett and eight times less for Seattle for example.

 

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If i have to have a little rain or clouds on the 4th so that our potential heavy burn areas can get a good soaking, so be it. 

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3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

If i have to have a little rain or clouds on the 4th so that our potential heavy burn areas can get a good soaking, so be it. 

Everyone seems to have their own very specific preferences and agendas.    I will trade you Tuesday for Monday.   And double the soaking just for you!  Tuesday's weather moves to Monday and vice versa.   Sunny and pleasant 4th and heavy soaking rain on the 5th.   One day closer to the fall rains.   Do we have a deal?     Everyone wins.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Everyone seems to have their own very specific preferences and agendas.    I will trade you Tuesday for Monday.   The and double the soaking.   Tuesday's weather moves to Monday and vice versa.   Sunny and pleasant 4th and heavy soaking rain on the 5th.   One day closer to the fall rains.   Do we have a deal?     Everyone wins.  😀

Only a deal if you never use an emoji  ever again

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Only a deal if you never use an emoji  ever again

I am in... now make it happen.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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