It sort of does, actually. Solid marine push as it treks north.
At least the CMC solution is physically possible. I’ll cut off my d**k if the GFS solution verifies.
Here is the CIPS analogs, which are similar to the SPC.
At least for my area, it looks like mostly long straight hodographs, which will favor splitting storms. Lapse rates are excellent and the temperatures aloft are cool so large hail is probably the biggest hazard. It looks like an initial discrete supercell phase near or just east of here, following by a transition to QLCS stuff. Should be a potentially fun event at least.
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 43/27 there was no rain/snowfall it was yet another windy day with the highest wind gust of 35 MPH out of the W. The sun was out 96% of the time. For today the average H/L is 50/31 the record high of 82 was set in 1910 and the record low of 6 was set in 1970. The most rainfall of 0.83” was in 1973 the most snowfall of 7.5” was in 1954 the most on the ground was 8” in 1970. Last year the H/L was 39/23 and there was 0.6” of snowfall.
There is a lot of frost this morning and the overnight low here was a cold 21 and at the current time it is 23 with clear skies.
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Posted by Phil,
i will personally make sure this happens
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