June 2022 - Summer Begins

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Doiinko said:

Maybe an active monsoon in Arizona.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

@TigerWoodsLibido Tomorrow will be a nearly all-day soaker while temps crash to around 50 during the afternoon. With cold pooling in the valley, there may be some of what the NWS biz likes to call "isentropic lift", where warm air rises along a plane of constant temperature, meaning Coast Range shadowing may be less of an issue tomorrow. Happens all the time in Vancouver BC.

You sure about that temp?   GFS and ECMWF show temps in the low 60s down there late tomorrow afternoon with the rain.

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You sure about that temp?   GFS and ECMWF show temps in the low 60s down there late tomorrow afternoon with the rain.

oops... was looking at sunday's system. still though, should be a cool+wet day down there on sun

even tomorrow's temps in the low-mid 60s is several degrees below normal this time of year

[Doinko]

26 minutes ago, quacksax said:

Hmm…mid June is a bit early. Isn’t it odd to simultaneously have above average precipitation in the PNW due to troughiness and above average precip in the southwest due to monsoonal moisture wrapping around the 4CH? Anecdotally, it always seemed like PNW troughing meant hot, dry, and windy in the southwest due high pressure being shoved too far south.

I think 2021 was a really good monsoon season there, and it was crazy warm here. 
Edit: Sorry, I misread what you said.

[smerfylicious]

Rain finally tapering off in Gold bar. Let's see what the damage is...

 

Temp range for the day: 53.8-61.9

Daily Rain totals: 1.58"

Monthly Rain total: 5.10"

[Meatyorologist]

[T-Town]

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We ended up with 0.79" yesterday and another 0.58" since midnight. A break in the action right now. 

[Phishy Wx]

hey you guys, I think it rained last night

[TacomaWaWx]

Wound up with 1.44” yesterday…up to 2.99” for the month. Nothing new since midnight low of 57 this morning. 

[Doinko]

0.54" at PDX yesterday and today.

[TT-SEA]

Some water year to date departures... just crazy wet.

SEA  +9.25

OLM  +11.20

BLI  +7.12

HQM  +13.23

UIL  +26.44

[TacomaWaWx]

The rainfall yesterday was well timed when it started from 6am-10pm roughly to set up a daily rainfall record. More rain coming tonight but obviously won’t be as extreme as yesterday. Still I do think there’s a chance this month could end up even wetter than May (3.95”) which would be really impressive. This month and the last 2 months all ended up wetter than March (2.68”). 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Up to 3.82" on the month. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Ended up with 1.19" yesterday.  I am at around 3.5" to about 3.75" for the month.  WHET!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like we are pretty much done with the rain until this evening. Should be heavy overnight and taper off around daybreak tomorrow. So daylight hours today and tomorrow should be mostly dry. Sunday might be a different story. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like we are pretty much done with the rain until this evening. Should be heavy overnight and taper off around daybreak tomorrow. So daylight hours today and tomorrow should be mostly dry. Sunday might be a different story. 

ECMWF shows another wave moving through western OR and WA this afternoon.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows another wave moving through western OR and WA this afternoon.

Mesoscale models show that being north of us. May not start raining again down here until 8-10pm. 

[Meatyorologist]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Some water year to date departures... just crazy wet.

SEA  +9.25

OLM  +11.20

BLI  +7.12

HQM  +13.23

UIL  +26.44

And that is despite the massive dry stretch from mid Jan to late Feb. A very streaky water year... Might gun for one of the wettest years on record at this rate. Hold on I can actually check that on xmACIS2...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

If you are north of Chehalis you have already seen the bulk of the rain you will see over the weekend. South of there, you have weathered round 1, there is another round coming tonight and then on Sunday morning, each one focused a bit further south. 

[Meatyorologist]

@TT-SEA 8th wettest start of all time at KSEA!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

And that is despite the massive dry stretch from mid Jan to late Feb. A very streaky water year... Might gun for one of the wettest years on record at this rate. Hold on I can actually check that on xmACIS2...

I think 2016-17 is probably out of reach, but we could potentially pas 2011-12 if we have a damp September. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

And that is despite the massive dry stretch from mid Jan to late Feb. A very streaky water year... Might gun for one of the wettest years on record at this rate. Hold on I can actually check that on xmACIS2...

Massive dry stretch?     Its been unusually wet for the last 8.5 months except for that 5-6 week stretch.    I would say the massive wet stretches have significantly outweighed that "massive dry stretch".    It can't always be very wet.  

[MossMan]

3.39” for the month. I sure hope that Andrew is correct when staying the rainfall is mostly done up north! 

[TT-SEA]

There is no data for June yet... but through the end of May the Cedar Lake station was +25.86 for the water year.   Juuuust a bit wetter than normal out here as well.  

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Massive dry stretch?     Its been unusually wet for the last 8.5 months except for that 5-6 week stretch.    I would say the massive wet stretches have significantly outweighed that "massive dry stretch".    It can't always be very wet.  

5 weeks of summer like dryness in the middle of the wet season is incredibly dry. Literally the driest such stretch ever recorded. Don't know what else to say.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We are now over 25" since April 1. +13.55 on the water year, that despite running a -8" departure January-March. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

5 weeks of summer like dryness in the middle of the wet season is incredibly dry. Literally the driest such stretch ever recorded. Don't know what else to say.

But it was surrounded by extremely wet periods.   And January and February actually ended up wetter than normal at SEA.    It would be almost impossible not to have some kind of dry spell to offset all the wet periods.   Not sure what else to say.   That short period does not even show up when looking at the monthly data for this water year.  

[Phishy Wx]

24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Some water year to date departures... just crazy wet.

SEA  +9.25

OLM  +11.20

BLI  +7.12

HQM  +13.23

UIL  +26.44

got a number for GEG?

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Mesoscale models show that being north of us. May not start raining again down here until 8-10pm. 

ECMWF shows it will be raining even down there by 2 or 3 p.m.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

But it was surrounded by extremely wet periods.   And January and February ended up wetter than normal at SEA.    It would be almost impossible not to have some kind of dry spell to offset all the wet periods.   Not sure what else to say.   That short period does not even show up when looking at the monthly data for this water year.  

That was my entire point, that the incredibly wet ytd numbers are especially impressive given that *record breaking* month long dry streak. Most other wet years were not given that kind of luxury. It gives special cadence to the incredible, persistent wetness of this Spring and now early Summer.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That was my entire point, that the incredibly wet ytd numbers are especially impressive given that *record breaking* month long dry streak. Most other wet years were not given that kind of luxury. It gives special cadence to the incredible, persistent wetness of this Spring and now early Summer.

I don't know... it seems like every wet year has a least a month off from the rain.     And it was not totally dry.   SEA had rain on 15 days in January and 11 days in February... and both months ended up significantly wetter than normal.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows it will be raining even down there by 2 or 3 p.m.

That would certainly be a blessing, but we shall see. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12z 3K NAM showing about 3" here through 5pm Sunday. You can see once you get north of about Kelso/Longview precip really tapers off. 

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I don't know... it seems like every wet year has a least a month off from the rain.     And it was not totally dry.   SEA had rain on 15 days in January and 11 days in February... and both months ended up significantly wetter than normal.   

You keep telling me this like I don't know it already... I'm the one who's been skimming through rainfall stats all year! 

Look at that graph again, 2022 is #1 for the driest such stretch on record. You can say it's cherrypicked. Sure, of course it is, that is the whole point. But that is a 43 day stretch. That's not an insignificant amount of time. That is nearly a one and a half month stretch that verified as the driest such period on record.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5pm the rain is still well north of my location. 

By 8pm light rain develops. 

By 11pm things are picking up. 

2am we are getting HAMMERED. 

[TacomaWaWx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

5pm the rain is still well north of my location. 

By 8pm light rain develops. 

By 11pm things are picking up. 

2am we are getting HAMMERED. 

We got absolutely nailed yesterday so no complaints on overall missing out the rest of the weekend…although it won’t be entirely dry up here. 

[GobBluth]

10 hours ago, Doiinko said:

Monsoons are going to get roaring early this year. 

[Skagit Weather]

32 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

@TT-SEA 8th wettest start of all time at KSEA!

And for the water year it's 5th wettest start of all time (at KSEA). Which to be honest is less than I was thinking based on all the hype. Yes, this level of wetness is unusual, but not super unprecedented (although June could end up unprecedented if it keeps raining). The precip could very well shut off any day now and the water year wouldn't end up particularly remarkable even if we picked up average rainfall for July-Sept.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We got absolutely nailed yesterday so no complaints on overall missing out the rest of the weekend…although it won’t be entirely dry up here. 

Bet by this time tomorrow morning I'll have already had a lot more rain than Tim with the event with another round coming on Sunday.