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June 2022 - Summer Begins


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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

I really thought the Columbia would flood pretty seriously this year.  Maybe all of the dams prevented it, but a lot of dams were there in 1948 and it was bad.  Must have been a gradual enough melt off here to avoid it.

  1. A lot of dams have been built on the Columbia since 1948.
  2. We’re not out of the woods yet; there’s still a lot of snow yet to melt in B.C.
  3. Speaking of B.C., the Fraser has no dams, and could very well flood. I was down by the Fraser yesterday afternoon, and the water is very high and swift right now.
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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Just about froze my butt off working outside for a couple of hours.  56 with wind is pretty chilly in June.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 14.1"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 15

Lows 32 or below = 53

Highs 32 or below = 5

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 23

 

 

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33 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

There have been five 70+ days at SEA so far this month. None in the 50s...they even squeezed up to 60 today. 😉

57 yesterday.  A nice -13 departure.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 14.1"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 15

Lows 32 or below = 53

Highs 32 or below = 5

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 23

 

 

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  • Longtimer

SLE only managed 60 today. Average is 74.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I didn't realize we were +2.8F departure on the month. What a difference 60 miles makes.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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-7.9°F departure from average at KSEA yesterday, and a -7.5°F departure today.

Low of 48°F this morning is the coldest of the month thus far and the first 40s as well.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

No.    Phil won't allow it.   

Its supposed to be in the 50s all summer so we can barely tell the seasons apart.   40s in the winter... 50s in the summer.   Perfection.  ;)

Tropical forcing on the EPS weeklies still favors a window of warmer temperatures in early July w/ upper level divergence briefly reaching the West-Pacific, if you care to know. But it doesn’t look very durable.

That late July signal IO forcing/WPAC subsidence signal though..major yikes for the Central US. 😬 Going to be some massive torching across the Plains/Midwest during the second half of July (fits the pool of unfiltered low pass analogs for that period as well).

4E50C1DD-A5CA-44F1-BAF1-2E4328882708.png

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Tropical forcing on the EPS weeklies still favors a window of warmer temperatures in early July w/ upper level divergence briefly reaching the West-Pacific, if you care to know. But it doesn’t look very durable.

That late July signal IO forcing/WPAC subsidence signal though..major yikes for the Central US. 😬 Going to be some massive torching across the Plains/Midwest during the second half of July (fits the pool of unfiltered low pass analogs for that period as well).

4E50C1DD-A5CA-44F1-BAF1-2E4328882708.png

Whatchu thinking about july up here? general progression? early thoughts? nothing set in stone of course but you've been fairly on point thus far this spring

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Whatchu thinking about july up here? general progression? early thoughts? nothing set in stone of course but you've been fairly on point thus far this spring

I suspect the first part of the month will be the warmest relative to average, with a cooler pattern mid/late month, based on the evolution of tropical convection/GWO and analog pools.

Not a high confidence forecast by any means, but at least there are clean intraseasonal cycles this year. 

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  • Longtimer

2011 really torched in the southern plains. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Snowy in the Blues today. 

349094F0-64AE-448E-AD56-DE9197A87E0A.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

I suspect the first part of the month will be the warmest relative to average, with a cooler pattern mid/late month, based on the evolution of tropical convection/GWO and analog pools.

Not a high confidence forecast by any means, but at least there are clean intraseasonal cycles this year. 

image.jpeg

Searched up what GWO meant... some of y'all be making stuff up at this point :lol:

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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  • Longtimer

Since it was too windy to be on the river we ran to Leavenworth this afternoon for a bit… Was lovely there, looked like showers up on the hill though. 

446A0E59-02E5-4069-843E-0A9CDC4E2774.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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44 minutes ago, Phil said:

I suspect the first part of the month will be the warmest relative to average, with a cooler pattern mid/late month, based on the evolution of tropical convection/GWO and analog pools.

Not a high confidence forecast by any means, but at least there are clean intraseasonal cycles this year. 

The last half of July being mostly dry is nearly a given here.  Temps will be the big question.  Lots of reason to think it will lean cool.

  • scream 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 14.1"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 15

Lows 32 or below = 53

Highs 32 or below = 5

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 23

 

 

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Geeze.  Currently 50s at Mosses Lake and 40s in the Spokane area.  That is some big time cold for this time of year.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 14.1"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 15

Lows 32 or below = 53

Highs 32 or below = 5

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 23

 

 

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3 hours ago, Doiinko said:

My area seems to be subject to locally stronger east winds when they downslope off of the West Hills, so it can get decently windy. Not sure if it warms enough to be a detriment in snow/ZR events but it's an interesting thing.

You should come out to Troutdale when it's windy. I remember going to the Fairview Fred Meyers in January 2017 when it hit 11 that night. 50mph winds and my phone said it felt like -5.

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  • Longtimer
Posted (edited)

Yet another nice day to be outside, bbq'ed some steaks and made some baked taters for dinner, love not having oppressive heat yet!!  Although, I do love me some oppressive heat at times every summer that brings it!!

Edited by GHweatherChris
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1 minute ago, The Blob said:

You should come out to Troutdale when it's windy. I remember going to the Fairview Fred Meyers in January 2017 when it hit 11 that night. 50mph winds and my phone said it felt like -5.

That would be a bit much for me! January 2017 was also pretty windy here (not close to Troutdale though), the snow drifted all over the place. Would be kind of cool to see a wind sensor in this area.

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4 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

That would be a bit much for me! January 2017 was also pretty windy here (not close to Troutdale though), the snow drifted all over the place. Would be kind of cool to see a wind sensor in this area.

https://www.wunderground.com/history/weekly/us/or/portland/KPDX/date/2017-1-10
This weather station seems to have recorded a gust up to 40mph but it could be in a sheltered location/not accurate.

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3 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

https://www.wunderground.com/history/weekly/us/or/portland/KPDX/date/2017-1-10
This weather station seems to have recorded a gust up to 40mph but it could be in a sheltered location/not accurate.

I was going of whatever app I was using at the time. Still, cold and 40mph and it was coming in around the door frame of my apartment. 

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Walla walla has seen a ton of rain. I’ve noticed they always seem to be in the bullseye recently.29F9162E-BD9B-4119-967E-7020B6D86A2F.thumb.png.b3dd80d2b73ed63c86b4b287390ee8b6.pngEAC68CCE-F64A-4DFF-A942-549CA49F01CA.thumb.png.a89954df3ee49fb34a7e982d45f7ab7f.png

sweat sweating GIF

your battery... 😵

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

sweat sweating GIF

your battery... 😵

Omg I know I used to be a battery nazi but I upgraded my phone and it lasts like half a day on low battery. It’s amazing. My old iPhone 8 would go from 20 to dead in like 10 minutes. 

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8 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Oops I just realized I didn't even use the correct station in the link

Couldn't find the proper station but I remember the NWS forecasting gusts in the 35 mph range in February. Definitely nothing like east Portland or areas near the Gorge but still interesting.

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12 hours ago, Kayla said:

Yellowstone river is running at historic levels this morning. Currently at 13.2ft near Gardiner which is nearly 2ft higher than the previous record set back in June 1918. The Gallatin river near me is at its highest level since 1974.

The northern Yellowstone entrance is blocked off since this bridge washed away.

Screen Shot 2022-06-13 at 9.33.51 AM.png

What is this doing to the snowpack there?  What about over towards Missoula?

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11 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Almost seven years ago I got this pic of Ricky and tiger walking the barren landscape that was the PNW in 2015

062CFF7A-C262-498C-8AF9-10BADB554B4D.thumb.jpeg.f8fabeb2eb1ca3c4a3a8bb090f9b50d6.jpeg

My sales director played there yesterday or today, is playing  at the course in Gearhart (I think that's where it is) today or tomorrow, then playing 3 days in Bandon.  I'm guessing its a lot greener for him now that it was in your picture.

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10 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Couldn't find the proper station but I remember the NWS forecasting gusts in the 35 mph range in February. Definitely nothing like east Portland or areas near the Gorge but still interesting.

cgw_wssfc.32.0000.gif
Here's the WRF GFS forecast from February 2021, shows a bit of a stronger wind downwind of the West Hills and Chehalem Mountain, which is pretty interesting. 

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40 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Yet another nice day to be outside, bbq'ed some steaks and made some baked taters for dinner, love not having oppressive heat yet!!  Although, I do love me some oppressive heat at times every summer that brings it!!

Yes... Aberdeen WA is infamous for oppressive heat.   Charleston SC and Aberdeen WA.   You are getting very lucky this summer.    Every post lately feels like you are being held hostage and reading notes at gunpoint.    You are bad at trolling.   But it is good comedy.   😀

its-fine-im-fine-everything-is-fine (1).jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... Aberdeen WA is infamous for oppressive heat.   Charleston SC and Aberdeen WA.   You are getting very lucky this summer.    Every post feels like you are being held hostage and reading notes at gunpoint.    You are bad at trolling.   😀

its-fine-im-fine-everything-is-fine (1).jpg

Isle of Palms looks pretty summery. Tim weather!

265D0CC7-9317-47CB-AFF6-238CEF7C622A.jpeg

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Just now, Phil said:

Isle of Palms looks pretty summery. Tim weather!

265D0CC7-9317-47CB-AFF6-238CEF7C622A.jpeg

Aberdeen WA is somehow escaping it this year!!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, Phil said:

Strike that, they’re getting fog/mist at the moment.

NOT Tim weather. But pretty tropical!

38946335-88F6-4D89-98F7-8D27F7B3D3EF.jpeg

Fog?   Screw that!   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Jason Day would later collapse from the heat in that barren land 😱

To be fair... that is a golf course built on sand.   If it ever dries out for a few days this year it will be all brown again.   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

I don’t think the GFS has any idea what to do with this pattern. Looks totally bonkers.

It looks pretty much like the ECMWF early next week.    Bonkers.

 

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5769600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5769600.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

To be fair... that is a golf course built on sand.   If it ever dries out for a few days this year it will be all brown again.   😀

It is a fun course to play though !  Can’t wait for the brothers to come up for our annual game. 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It looks pretty much like the ECMWF early next week.    Bonkers.

 

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5769600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5769600.png

That’s the inflection point, after which it goes off the rails over the Pacific.

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1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

It is a fun course to play though !  Can’t wait for the brothers to come up for our annual game. 

How much does it cost for 18?

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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