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June 2022 - Summer Begins


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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

.16” so far on the day, 3.59” for the month. 
Drizzle and 53. 🤢🤢🤮

Still down with the norovirus?

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some ridiculous T-storm outbreaks on the 06z. Won't happen, it will be cooler and less dynamic than what the operational showed, still a massive outlier for next weekend, which looks cool and showery, not hot followed by a massive convective explosion. 

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

I don't mind it if those are our two options, though.

Either way, more whet coming.

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12 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Now at 2.66" on the month. Monthly record at PDX is 4.27" from 2010, still some potential for that to go down.

Another record is that Hillsboro will break the record for latest 80 degree day on record since they've only hit 77 so far. The record is June 12th I think (also 2010).

 

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8 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Another record is that Hillsboro will break the record for latest 80 degree day on record since they've only hit 77 so far. The record is June 12th I think (also 2010).

 

PDX seems to be among the only spots in the metro that has eclipsed 80+. Still at 78 for the maximum here.

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7 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Downtown also hit 80, and the closest weather station to me hit 79. And no 80s really in sight.

If the GFS's cutoff fetish is realized a stray couple of 80+ days would be in the cards. Volatile pattern. 12z continues the theme but looks pretty wonky.

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4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Portland and Salem have now clinched wetter than normal water years. 

What's MFR/LMT looking like? I feel like their last wetter than normal water year was 16-17. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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.70 inches of rain last night in our gauge. A lot for my area.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Just now, Doiinko said:

image.png.7f8201fe83e4a2f7af41ce76034d7f8e.png

Thanks to that flatline from January through early March, they're still below even after a wet late season. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

If the GFS's cutoff fetish is realized a stray couple of 80+ days would be in the cards. Volatile pattern. 12z continues the theme but looks pretty wonky.

It’s one of the most chronic biases I’ve ever seen in a model. Comparable to the old Euro’s ULL bias in the SW US, but at least that was confined to one place...the GFS bias is everywhere.

I’ve also noticed it cutting off and over-amplifying eastern troughs in the medium/long range as well. I got swindled by it initially, since I wasn’t aware of said tendency at the time. 😒 Now I know better.

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Just now, Phil said:

It’s one of the most chronic biases I’ve ever seen in a model. Comparable to the old Euro’s ULL bias in the SW US, but at least that was confined to one place...the GFS bias is everywhere.

I’ve also noticed it cutting off and over-amplifying eastern troughs in the medium/long range as well. I got swindled by it initially, since I wasn’t aware of said tendency at the time. 😒 Now I know better.

Looks like a cool Saturday in Bethesda. 

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63F and mostly steady rain. We've had 0.59" so far today. 2.14" on the month.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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0.26” today. I once again foolishly thought it would actually dry out a bit, but it’s been raining all morning with nothing over us on the radar. 5.76” on the month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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29 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Looks like a cool Saturday in Bethesda. 

I’m out enjoying it as we speak. Might be our last sub-80°F high until September.

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Check out the Washington county donut hole...

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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NE Oregon getting pummeled with heavy rain this morning. Roseburg also picked up 0.56" in the past 6 hours with the southern remnants of the AR. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The ensembles show upper level temps staying generally below normal the rest of the month. Next weekend still has the potential to trend a lot wetter. Also some signs late in the GFS ensembles we could see some late June troughing. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

It’s one of the most chronic biases I’ve ever seen in a model. Comparable to the old Euro’s ULL bias in the SW US, but at least that was confined to one place...the GFS bias is everywhere.

I’ve also noticed it cutting off and over-amplifying eastern troughs in the medium/long range as well. I got swindled by it initially, since I wasn’t aware of said tendency at the time. 😒 Now I know better.

I had questions about this last model upgrade even before they released it.  I think the last incarnation was better.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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42 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The ensembles show upper level temps staying generally below normal the rest of the month. Next weekend still has the potential to trend a lot wetter. Also some signs late in the GFS ensembles we could see some late June troughing. 

Looks like next weekend has a good shot at one nice day at least.  It has to happen some time. 

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Not bad a day... looks like 1 week to go until more summer-like weather.   As Jim said... it has to happen eventually.

20220611_121844.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

On a personal note I finally feel ready to share some very sad news I got a week ago.  One of my best friends, who I have known for 40 years, committed suicide last weekend.  He just up and disappeared, and two days later his wife received word he had shot himself at a hospital parking lot in Boise.

Just so totally out of character.  Even when he disappeared I feared the worst, because even that was such an extreme thing for him.  His wife thinks some of it has to do with the pandemic and extreme unrest the country is suffering right now.  

It's been a very rough week for his friends, family, and myself.  It took me a week to even be able to post it here.

So sorry to hear this... how horrible.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TonyP said:

Is it at all possible that the SO2 ejected by Hunga Tunga et. Al. This past year or so is having any effect on the current cold regime we are experiencing? 

My guess is that it triggered a resurgence in the Nina and that is leading to this our current situation as Ninas are prone to do.   If you look at the SSTA map... most of the water around the Earth is warm and seemingly getting warmer.   There might be a flip side in terms of our weather eventually.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TonyP said:

Is it at all possible that the SO2 ejected by Hunga Tunga et. Al. This past year or so is having any effect on the current cold regime we are experiencing? 

I personally do not believe so. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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20 minutes ago, TonyP said:

Is it at all possible that the SO2 ejected by Hunga Tunga et. Al. This past year or so is having any effect on the current cold regime we are experiencing? 

Not necessarily the SO^2 (there wasn’t much of that) but as Tim said, the H2O and vast array of other ejecta appears to have altered the global circulation and re-intensified the La Niña.

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It’s pouring again. Everything is so green and alive!

5417C39E-2D6D-4FDF-A4D9-722D4363734E.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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