Jump to content
The Weather Forums

June 2022 - Summer Begins


Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

The GFS even shows 100, well it had to end at some point!

I’d be really surprised if it gets that hot. My guess is low to mid 80s in Seattle and low 90s down there…but it’s a ways out. 

  • Like 2

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Well at least maybe this means September/October aren't a lock for being bone dry now. 

There is something to this... it really does seem like it follows consistent patterns.   I was thinking the same thing when it became clear that we transition in late June instead of July.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

There is something to this... it really does seem like it follows consistent patterns.   I was thinking the same thing when it became clear that we transition in late June.

Yeah in 2011 and 2012 it took longer to transition which lead to the “Indian summers” with warm Septembers. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Is your home higher up than Silverton?

Yes. Downton Silverton is about 250' asl. So about 1350' higher. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
  • Thanks 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
28 minutes ago, Phil said:

Apparently Tulip Trees do well in the PNW? How many are growing up there?

https://meyersign.com/2020/06/tales-from-the-magic-skagit-a-tulip-poplar-grows-in-mount-vernon-pt-2/

Yes, they do really well. My dad has one, but it got absolutely destroyed in the February 2021 ice storm. 

  • Sad 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yes, they do really well. My dad has one, but it got absolutely destroyed in the February 2021 ice storm. 

Ice storms are the worst. We were without power for a week after the one in 1999. Somehow I still remember that. :lol: 

  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
1 hour ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Anyone watch Downton Abbey?

No 

  • Excited 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bozeman hit 90F for the first time this year on Friday out ahead of the trough. 85F here. Fortunately it was a one and done kind of thing and nothing above the 70's is in the forecast.

Things are turning real wet again tonight into tomorrow with 1-2" of rainfall expected with highs only in the 40's.

  • Like 4
  • Storm 1
  • scream 2

Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It was bound to happen but at least the AC is coming up a bit later this year. With skyrocketing gas prices I’m happy with this… saved some money on electricity bill May/June with the cooler weather.  
 

It’ll be going up this week.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Cloud said:

It was bound to happen but at least the AC is coming up a bit later this year. With skyrocketing gas prices I’m happy with this… saved some money on electricity bill May/June with the cooler weather.  
 

It’ll be going up this week.

I’m not sure you’ll even need it next week. It’ll probably be warm but not hot. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I’m not sure you’ll even need it next week. It’ll probably be warm but not hot. 

My tolerance these days is 80. So it’ll be going up regardless. I ain’t waiting for hot 😂 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

My tolerance these days is 80. So it’ll be going up regardless. I ain’t waiting for hot 😂 

80s gonna feel hot as sh*t haven’t hit 80 since 9/9/21 here. 

  • Like 2

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We’re running -2.4 for June right now with an average temp of 58.0. If the euro verifies we will be close to average in terms of temps but well above average precipitation. Overall we should be in a much better spot moving into July than we were in last year. 

  • Like 2

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Geez gfs going with a high of 96 early next week. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen. Likely way overdone anyways. 

  • scream 1

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Geez gfs going with a high of 96 early next week. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen. Likely way overdone anyways. 

This comment seems eerily similar to some about a week out from the hellfire stretch last June.

  • Thanks 1
  • Sick 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Some of these numbers getting spat out are excessive, but the heatwave signal is legit. Going to be a shock to the system if one of the first days above 73F this year is in the 90s. 😬

1955 also did this but on a much shorter timescale, hitting 96F in early June then crashing hard.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

This comment seems eerily similar to some about a week out from the hellfire stretch last June.

Main difference is that there's no signal for that kind of heat anywhere on the coast. This time last year the GFS was being mocked for spitting out 120s in NorCal. Barely 110 there this time, plus weaker forcing offshore.

Fortunately, maximum potential temperatures this go around seem to be under three digits in the Sound, and well under 116 (🤮) in the Willamette Valley.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

GFS operational is less of a warm outlier with each run. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

If the Willamette Valley hits 100 our climate officially sucks and has no hope. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

For the layman who might get caught up in the hyperbole, there’s no meaningful similarities between the pattern shown a week from now and last June’s hellfire.

  • Like 6
  • Sun 1
  • scream 1
  • Weenie 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

At this point it looks like a 2 day heat spike. We'll see where that goes...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Main difference is that there's no signal for that kind of heat anywhere on the coast. This time last year the GFS was being mocked for spitting out 120s in NorCal. Barely 110 there this time, plus weaker forcing offshore.

Fortunately, maximum potential temperatures this go around seem to be under three digits in the Sound, and well under 116 (🤮) in the Willamette Valley.

I am trying to will it in to existence, I would find it hilarious if this the all or nothing summer, nothing but rain and cool temps with just brief interludes of oppressive unlikeable heat and then right back to rain and cool temps over an over again, would be funny.

  • lol 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

At this point it looks like a 2 day heat spike. We'll see where that goes...

Crashes to a more pleasant +2 to +5 kind of weather pattern afterwards, probably closer to average and lower in the uber range

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

I am trying to will it in to existence, I would find it hilarious if this the all or nothing summer, nothing but rain and cool temps with just brief interludes of oppressive unlikeable heat and then right back to rain and cool temps over an over again, would be funny.

#2010ing

  • Thanks 1
  • Confused 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Crashes to a more pleasant +2 to +5 kind of weather pattern afterwards, probably closer to average and lower in the uber range

Setting the table nicely for #no90july.

  • Popcorn 1
  • Snow 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

For the layman who might get caught up in the hyperbole, there’s no meaningful similarities between the pattern shown a week from now and last June’s hellfire.

Phoenix sees it all the time.

One time in Arizona I saw a big Shell sign with a missing S. Gas prices were less hellish though at that time.

  • Troll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I am trying to will it in to existence, I would find it hilarious if this the all or nothing summer, nothing but rain and cool temps with just brief interludes of oppressive unlikeable heat and then right back to rain and cool temps over an over again, would be funny.

I kinda like seasonal extremes as long as it’s not a constant theme throughout the summer. We had a 1 day heat spike in august 2020 where we hit 97 and crashed afterwards that was kinda fun. 

  • Like 3

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I am trying to will it in to existence, I would find it hilarious if this the all or nothing summer, nothing but rain and cool temps with just brief interludes of oppressive unlikeable heat and then right back to rain and cool temps over an over again, would be funny.

That would actually be pretty funny... just nothing but extremes.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

For the layman who might get caught up in the hyperbole, there’s no meaningful similarities between the pattern shown a week from now and last June’s hellfire.

Lol’ing at some of the commentary in here tonight. It’s going to hit 90 for like 2 days.

Heck, your July prediction at PDX might actually verify. No big heat signal in any of the extended ensemble clusters now.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
21 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lol’ing at some of the commentary in here tonight. It’s going to hit 90 for like 2 days.

Heck, your July prediction at PDX might actually verify. No big heat signal in any of the extended ensemble clusters now.

It’s a bold call, but with what looks to be a dominant central US ridge and some soil moisture spending cash, why not…

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

It’s a bold call, but with what looks to be a dominant central US ridge and some soil moisture spending cash, why not…

You can exchange four of your your earned Soil Moisture Tokens© for a prize of your choice from the main kiosk, including 5F off your next high temperature, a removal of one 90F day, or two free hot dogs.

  • Excited 1
  • Weenie 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

You can exchange four of your your earned Soil Moisture Tokens© for a prize of your choice from the main kiosk, including 5F off your next high temperature, a removal of one 90F day, or two free hot dogs.

How many more rainy days do we need to be able to cash in for two sub-65 degree late July highs and the giant stuffed downvote hanging high behind the pimple-faced counter attendant?

  • lol 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Phil said:

Apparently Tulip Trees do well in the PNW? How many are growing up there?

https://meyersign.com/2020/06/tales-from-the-magic-skagit-a-tulip-poplar-grows-in-mount-vernon-pt-2/

Interesting. I've passed that tree dozens of times and never thought much about it. Obviously I don't pay enough attention to trees.

  • Like 1

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00Z ECMWF looks similar to its 12Z run.   It would be favorable timing to get that ULL through here mid week before the weekend of the 4th.    

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Welp, if the GFS is to be believed, then the NFL players will finally be showing up...

  • Sad 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The nicest day of the year thus far will be on Tuesday, the solstice. Sunny with highs in the mid-upper 70s. Nice to see the sun at it's highest point of the year.

  • Like 1
  • Sun 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

image.png

Certainly loving this trend for Wednesday. Deep marine layer with highs in the upper 50s.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...