Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 1 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 12z Euro is actually pretty nice until the last two days of the run. Let’s see if we can keep pushing the heat back. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Back home... lovely 4th here. 4 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Partly sunny and 66 here after a cool low of 52. Should be heading for upper 70s today. Perfect weather for the 4th. 64 here, very pleasant, should get to around 70. Definitely not the type of weather someone should run away from. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 There definitely seems to be a trend to retrograde that hott central US ridge westward toward the middle of the month. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: I thought you weren’t celebrating the 4th until America was a “theocratic Christian nation” again I should have stayed home. We had dueling pro life and pro choice marchers. Seriously wtf can we just enjoy a parade without this crap? Nice weather though! 1 1 1 1 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 That didn't quite come out right. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I should have stayed home. We had dueling pro life and pro choice marchers. Seriously wtf can we just enjoy a parade without this crap? Nice weather though! That really sucks. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Back home... lovely 4th here. Looking a lot better than yesterday's refrigerator weather there. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I should have stayed home. We had dueling pro life and pro choice marchers. Seriously wtf can we just enjoy a parade without this crap? Nice weather though! Yeah would be nice to just enjoy the 4th without dueling political stuff just for one day. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 26 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: There definitely seems to be a trend to retrograde that hott central US ridge westward toward the middle of the month. I told u, mid-month heat spike incoming. Good news is it’s the last hurrah of this subseasonal pattern state (which has favored ridging in NW Canada). Everything basically reverses late July into August. 3 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Just now, Phil said: I told u, mid-month heat spike incoming. Good news is it’s the last hurrah of this subseasonal pattern state (which has favored ridging in NW Canada). Everything basically reverses late July into August. Never doubted it. I too have been talking about a mid month heat spike for awhile now. Ensembles have been rock solid. 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: Never doubted it. I too have been talking about a mid month heat spike for awhile now. Ensembles have been rock solid. Yeah the last 10 days could easily have ended up much warmer than they were. Guidance has been neutering the WPAC MJO/AAM rise (niña base state underestimated) with time, which may explain some of it. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Should have no problem getting into the low 70s out here today... 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 43 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Back home... lovely 4th here. Green filter!! 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Should have no problem getting into the low 70s out here today... Is that a CLOUD??!? 4 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 37 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I should have stayed home. We had dueling pro life and pro choice marchers. Seriously wtf can we just enjoy a parade without this crap? Nice weather though! No sniper fire I assume, so that’s a win. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, Phil said: Yeah the last 10 days could easily have ended up much warmer than they were. Guidance has been neutering the WPAC MJO/AAM rise (niña base state underestimated) with time, which may explain some of it. Yeah, seems like there have been a couple junctures since the last heatwave were things could have easily evolved a lot warmer if energy had set up a little farther offshore. That includes next week which seems to be trending a bit lower with heights/eastward with cutoff energy at the moment. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: No sniper fire I assume, so that’s a win. True. Hope we survive the fireworks tonight. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Is that a CLOUD??!? Pretty heavenly on the deck right now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: True. Hope we survive the fireworks tonight. Yeah... probably not even worth going. My son just said UW is overrun with protesters wearing black. Guess their message is America sucks. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... probably not even worth going. My son just said UW is overrun with protesters wearing black. Guess their message is America sucks. This is why I don’t go out in public anymore . I’m gonna watch the fireworks show down on the waterfront tonight but it’ll be from my friends house up the hill and not down right on the water. 66 now should be a good night. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 On 7/3/2022 at 12:10 PM, Cascadia_Wx said: Now post the maps for the last ten June’s before that. June was definitely due for some balancing out. Still doesn't make June 2022 "average", as Phil said. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: June was definitely due for some balancing out. Still doesn't make June 2022 "average", as Phil said. Remove that AR event and it was pretty close to average. And temperatures were right around average. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Nicest day so far here. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: Remove that AR event and it was pretty close to average. And temperatures were right around average. But the AR event happened tho. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Remove that AR event and it was pretty close to average. And temperatures were right around average. Remove that heatwave towards end of the month and they would have been below average... 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Just now, Front Ranger said: Remove that heatwave towards end of the month and they would have been below average... Remove the last week of June 2021 and it was a chilly wet month. Remove the last week of December last year and there was no snow in Seattle. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Remove that heatwave towards end of the month and they would have been below average... Context of the convo you reference was that June was “miserable”. I said it wasn’t too far removed from climo, minus that AR event earlier in the month. You just like to argue for the sake of arguing. 2 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Context of the convo you reference was that June was “miserable”. I said it wasn’t too far removed from climo, minus that AR event earlier in the month. You just like to argue for the sake of arguing. Welcome to the forum, I am Chris, good to see a new member. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 HAPPY INDEPENDENCE DAY! Hope everyone is enjoying their freedom this fourth of July. I can see from some of the great photos above, we have a vast array or events going on! So great to see! Parades, relaxing at home, BBQs, etc. To keep this weather related, it is 66F and partly sunny. Parks and beaches are becoming packed with people. Enjoy a funny patriotic ad below. Take care everyone! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 12z EPS. Looking like the mid July heat event has potential to be a hefty one in terms of duration. 2 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 That big long heat wave concerns me if it comes true. Still my long range forecast is looking pretty wonderful. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 There it is... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 19 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: 12z EPS. Looking like the mid July heat event has potential to be a hefty one in terms of duration. it will get watered down, give it a few more days 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 New EPS weeklies even more bullish on the shift in tropical forcing around the dateline. Looks like it happens ~ July 20th, verbatim. Ignore the 500mb look on the ensemble means right now. That will come into focus later. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 1 minute ago, The Swamp said: it will get watered down, give it a few more days True. Almost impossible to get hot in the summer around here 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 3 hours ago, T-Town said: I can’t imagine how horrible you would feel after eating 63 hot dogs. On the bright side, he won't have to eat for the next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 Was 68 earlier down to 63 now NW wind kicked in. Not much in the way of precip today in the area besides some rain showers over the kitsap peninsula. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 4, 2022 Report Share Posted July 4, 2022 30 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: 12z EPS. Looking like the mid July heat event has potential to be a hefty one in terms of duration. 5 pack of 90s. Pretty normal in these times. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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