On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[TacomaWx]

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

Way too hot EFF THIS

 

Atleast the gfs usually runs too warm anyways. Probably 3-5 degrees too warm and I wouldn’t worry about those 90s at the end of the run just yet. 

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Atleast the gfs usually runs too warm anyways. Probably 3-5 degrees too warm and I wouldn’t worry about those 90s at the end of the run just yet. 

Ya, thankfully it shows a big drop at the end, hopefully the start of a much cooler pattern

[Cloud]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Ya, thankfully it shows a big drop at the end, hopefully the start of a much cooler pattern

We're really gonna do this for the last frame? 

[RentonHill]

6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

We're really gonna do this for the last frame? 

[Timmy Supercell]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

We're really gonna do this for the last frame? 

It's probably just a front passes through Phil's place end of July. 

We're in derecho season now.

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It's probably just a front passes through Phil's place end of July. 

We're in derecho season now.

ummm SICK profile picture man. Now you really get to see actual Supercells!! When are you and Phillip doing the inaugural West of the Rockies forum East Coast meetup/potluck?

[Kayla]

Currently raining and 62 degrees here at 1:30 in the afternoon! We've been really fortunate with well timed rain/storms with so much SW flow keeping everything green and lush while keeping the real heat just to our east. Seems like everyday this month we have been under some sort of a severe risk for storms. Pretty incredible stormy stretch and already record breaking for July according to the NWS. Looking pretty likely that we'll surpass 2008 for the most severe issued storms since 1986.

High mark for the summer is still just 87F. We might finally reach 90 on Sunday before cooling back down early next week. Just beautiful summer weather.

[Phishy Wx]

oh Joy

 

 

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

oh Joy

 

 

The MJO transit is messing this up, right @Phil??

[Cloud]

As Phil mentioned. The UK is about to experience what we went through last June with *hottest heat ever on record. 

*If this ends up verifying

 

[Cloud]

26 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Rude! 

[Kayla]

9 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

oh Joy

 

 

I feel like the EPS has been overestimating the western extent of the heat for a while now. It also doesn't seem to have a good grasp on the west's high terrain so color me skeptical. With that all said, I wouldn't be surprised if it torches the last week of July.

[Timmy Supercell]

23 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

ummm SICK profile picture man. Now you really get to see actual Supercells!! When are you and Phillip doing the inaugural West of the Rockies forum East Coast meetup/potluck?

It has to be hotdogs or I call this thing off! 

[RentonHill]

[Cloud]

16 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

oh Joy

 

 

How do you guys feel about him hashtagging climate change for a one off event?

 

/troll. 

[AlTahoe]

2 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Regionally, I think it stacked up to a few of the greater Novembers. 1955, 1985, and 2010 were all big ones in Klamath Falls. I feel like a piece of the puzzle wasn't there, but the setup could have been good for Portland. 

The kind of snow and cold that is more typical of early January occurred down there when I was moving there, and I just narrowly missed the whole thing. At least one record low temperature was set that month and still stands (-4 on 11/24/2010). 

Nov 2010 was epic in Tahoe. 48" on the ground with a record low temp of -8F on Thanksgiving day! 

[Timmy Supercell]

9 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Notice the deeper reds split around my area. 

[Phil]

17 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

The MJO transit is messing this up, right @Phil??

I don’t like when the EPS disagrees with me.

I don’t think it’ll get that warm in the PNW, and would even expect a cool pattern more than a warm one during that timeframe. But we’ll see.

[Phil]

16 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I feel like the EPS has been overestimating the western extent of the heat for a while now. It also doesn't seem to have a good grasp on the west's high terrain so color me skeptical. With that all said, I wouldn't be surprised if it torches the last week of July.

Agree with this. Looks suspicious to me.

But the EPS is the gold standard of numerical guidance, so it should always be given some degree of weight.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

*925mb temps* approaching 110°F over the Plains. Dafuk.

Ben Noll posted this ECMWF/UKMET "Superblend" rainfall anomaly map yesterday for August to October. Seems like there's going to be no let up for the Plains and it will remain drier than normal there the next few months. Looks slightly wetter than normal here west of the Cascades with the wettest anomalies up into the BC Coast.

 

[ShawniganLake]

Seeing some rain showers pass through here today. 🌧 

[bainbridgekid]

47 minutes ago, Cloud said:

As Phil mentioned. The UK is about to experience what we went through last June with *hottest heat ever on record. 

*If this ends up verifying

 

I was in Paris Summer 2019 when it was 113 degrees there. Absolute insanity without AC.

[NWbyNW]

It's the scheduled hot one here for today in Everett.  They had originally said a high of 77F, but walked it back to 76F.  Well it is 76F now and I am sure it could go hotter.  Everything's lush green and flowers are still blooming.  I can't believe how long they've been blooming.  My blueberries are doing mediocre this year, but my strawberries have been bountiful.  Tomatoes soon too. 

 

 

[Cloud]

Getting some rain off of the coast and V.I. as a system is clipping by. 

[Jbolin]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Getting some rain off of the coast and V.I. as a system is clipping by. 

Most of this likely won't reach the ground, it's quite dry around 700-800mb

[TacomaWx]

10 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

It's the scheduled hot one here for today in Everett.  They had originally said a high of 77F, but walked it back to 76F.  Well it is 76F now and I am sure it could go hotter.  Everything's lush green and flowers are still blooming.  I can't believe how long they've been blooming.  My blueberries are doing mediocre this year, but my strawberries have been bountiful.  Tomatoes soon too. 

 

 

Wow warmer there than here just 73. Usually the other way around. 

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, JBolin said:

Most of this likely won't reach the ground, it's quite dry around 700-800mb

Thanks Tim. 

[Cloud]

8 minutes ago, JBolin said:

Most of this likely won't reach the ground, it's quite dry around 700-800mb

It’s raining in Victoria and Clallam Bay. 

[NWbyNW]

10 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Wow warmer there than here just 73. Usually the other way around. 

I don't know what has happened. ;D  lol.  Wanna trade?  

[Jbolin]

6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

It’s raining in Victoria and Clallam Bay. 

If it rains here in the central sound, I'll punch myself in the face and post it here

[Cloud]

Just now, JBolin said:

If it rains here in the central sound, I'll punch myself in the face and post it here

Never said anything about the central sound... so I think you're quite safe!

[Omegaraptor]

4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The work ethic in this nation has been destroyed. 

Haven’t mentioned this before but I just got a job with the City of Lake Oswego. It will be a parks and recreation role so for the most part it is outdoor work which I am very happy about. It actually pays pretty well for an entry level / college student job. The catch is the work day begins at 6:30, and I live in Tigard so I will probably have to be in the car by 6 every morning. Fine by me. Going to bed at 10 is underrated anyway.

[Jbolin]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Never said anything about the central sound... so I think you're quite safe!

Exactly 

[TT-SEA]

Nice day.    Actually finished work early and out on Lake Sammamish now with the family.   82 degrees out here... 81 in North Bend.

[Omegaraptor]

57 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I was in Paris Summer 2019 when it was 113 degrees there. Absolute insanity without AC.

I was in Germany on Christmas 2010. It was magical.

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

*925mb temps* approaching 110°F over the Plains. Dafuk.

I mean... Isn't that just the surface there? Or even below the ground? Honestly it's pretty weird they have 925mb temps across the high terrain. Do they extrapolate downward via the wet adiabatic rate, or something like that?

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It has to be hotdogs or I call this thing off! 

Apply at Amazon and I'll get you one!

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Cloud said:

How do you guys feel about him hashtagging climate change for a one off event?

 

/troll. 

He's a pretty respected scientist in the climate community.  Has a great blog to.  Stanford Phd

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Kayla said:

Currently raining and 62 degrees here at 1:30 in the afternoon! We've been really fortunate with well timed rain/storms with so much SW flow keeping everything green and lush while keeping the real heat just to our east. Seems like everyday this month we have been under some sort of a severe risk for storms. Pretty incredible stormy stretch and already record breaking for July according to the NWS. Looking pretty likely that we'll surpass 2008 for the most severe issued storms since 1986.

High mark for the summer is still just 87F. We might finally reach 90 on Sunday before cooling back down early next week. Just beautiful summer weather.

I don't think you understand how much I envy the weather you've had. Severe risks every day? I haven't seen more than one lightning bolt since last August!

[Phil]

5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I mean... Isn't that just the surface there? Or even below the ground? Honestly it's pretty weird they have 925mb temps across the high terrain. Do they extrapolate downward via the wet adiabatic rate, or something like that?

925mb pressure level is still well above the surface there.