TT-SEA Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 44 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Anyways, it's running much cooler than I expected today. Clouds are much more stubborn. Sometimes ridging aloft can prevent sufficient mixing for marine layer erosion. ECMWF has insisted for several days that the clearing would take place around 3 or 4 p.m. today in the Seattle area. My son is going out with friends on the boat this evening and has been pestering for precise timing since about Friday. He texted me at noon telling me it was not going to happen and I was wrong and I said it will be totally different by 4. And it is. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 31 minutes ago, Phil said: You’d have to show that the pattern would somehow respond differently now to the same stimuli than it did even a few years ago. I don’t see any reason that would be the case. For us I think it's nothing more than the 4CH has been more dominant in recent years. I have a feeling that's a cyclical thing. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: For us I think it's nothing more than the 4CH has been more dominant in recent years. I have a feeling that's a cyclical thing. In that case, the drought erupting across the southern plains won’t help with the 4CH situation. 2019 was the last summer with a weak 4CH. Might need a niño to change things up again. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: ECMWF has insisted for several days that the clearing would take place around 3 or 4 p.m. today in the Seattle area. My son is going out with friends on the boat this evening and has been pestering for precise timing since about Friday. He texted me at noon telling me it was not going to happen and I was wrong and I said it will be totally different by 4. And it is. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: All the credit goes to the ECMWF cloud maps... hard to beat. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 Ridiculous. 2 1 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 Looks pretty nice in T Town for the next week or so. Beyond that looks kinda warm but hopefully we can keep the temp and duration within reason. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 It’s coming! Oh and the In-Laws just arrived from Arizona to break in the brand new RV parking spot I added. Oh and I’m buying a new (18yr old) to me jetski later this week, that should seal the deal for a hot rest of the summer!! 6 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 18, 2022 Report Share Posted July 18, 2022 32 minutes ago, Phil said: Ridiculous. Been there done that. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Well... IBR Chris thinks we'll see 100-105 to close out June. He's riding the hideous 12z EPS. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well... IBR Chris thinks we'll see 100-105 to close out June. He's riding the hideous 12z EPS. That’s a gutsy call for 11 months out. 1 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well... IBR Chris thinks we'll see 100-105 to close out June. He's riding the hideous 12z EPS. At least that’s almost an entire year away. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 July 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Late June is always awful so easy call. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 32 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Beautiful Poulsbo... perfect out here. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Nice evening. 72F now. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: ECMWF has insisted for several days that the clearing would take place around 3 or 4 p.m. today in the Seattle area. My son is going out with friends on the boat this evening and has been pestering for precise timing since about Friday. He texted me at noon telling me it was not going to happen and I was wrong and I said it will be totally different by 4. And it is. Conventionally I've found that timing is usually brought back by a bit, and mixing usually occurs earlier than forecast. Sometimes it goes the other way, like today and Saturday. Euro verified well indeed. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 48 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well... IBR Chris thinks we'll see 100-105 to close out June. He's riding the hideous 12z EPS. NBM peaks in the mid 90s. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 I was laying down by the pool in the 109 degree heat. Probably caused me to confuse June with July. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Some hot temperatures are starting to appear on Everett's long range forecasts. Over a week out, but still, never like seeing that. A few 80s. The PNW is a cool spot in a country that is hot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 71/54 today. Very pleasant. Todays our 12th consecutive dry day here…probably no more rainfall this month so hopefully something in august after the likely heat. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Wow. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Some hot temperatures are starting to appear on Everett's long range forecasts. Over a week out, but still, never like seeing that. A few 80s. The PNW is a cool spot in a country that is hot. The northern PNW for sure. Comparing the northern and southern PNW is kind of like comparing northern and southern France. Particularly in the summer, they are basically two completely different regions. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 GFS vs. EURO! So here are forecast maps showing the PEAK predicted heat for Wednesday the 27th, 2022. We will see who is more accurate. GFS or EURO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Yard is looking summery. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 3 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I was just wondering why he posted a laugh emoji when I said this summer has been fine from a heat perspective. Emojis mean nothing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, T-Town said: Yard is looking summery. You can kinda see Anderson island and where my family’s property is from there very nice view you got. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 For those of you like me who enjoy sunny and cool weather in the summer, Victoria by the water would be tough to beat. It’s supposed to be highs in upper 60s to low 70s with full sun at our campsite on the Saanich Peninsula the remainder of the week. For some reason marine layer formation seems difficult here. At home, we have the Chehalis Gap to thank for the low clouds, but what stops low clouds from forming on southern VI? Seems like they would just come in through the Strait since nothing is blocking them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, MV_snow said: For those of you like me who enjoy sunny and cool weather in the summer, Victoria by the water would be tough to beat. It’s supposed to be highs in upper 60s to low 70s with full sun at our campsite on the Saanich Peninsula the remainder of the week. For some reason marine layer formation seems difficult here. At home, we have the Chehalis Gap to thank for the low clouds, but what stops low clouds from forming on southern VI? Seems like they would just come in through the Strait since nothing is blocking them. The significant mountain ranges to the south and west probably have something to do with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: The significant mountain ranges to the south and west probably have something to do with it. They are totally open from the West. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Incredible 72/54 day here today. Tonight will be crisp with the clear skies. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Julio putting on a show in LA. 63 homers in the first two rounds and he’s onto the finals. Feels like a superstar’s coming out party. 7 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, MV_snow said: For those of you like me who enjoy sunny and cool weather in the summer, Victoria by the water would be tough to beat. It’s supposed to be highs in upper 60s to low 70s with full sun at our campsite on the Saanich Peninsula the remainder of the week. For some reason marine layer formation seems difficult here. At home, we have the Chehalis Gap to thank for the low clouds, but what stops low clouds from forming on southern VI? Seems like they would just come in through the Strait since nothing is blocking them. The south end of Vancouver Island gets extreme inversions due to how cold the Strait of Juan de Fuca is. No low clouds needed to keep that going when within a few miles of the water. It might the wind that prevents low clouds from forming as easily. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: They are totally open from the West. Yeah, that’s what I don’t get. Do marine layers travel SW to NE or something? Could see them being blocked by the Olympics in that case, but what about straight west? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Julio putting on a show in LA. 63 homers in the first two rounds and he’s onto the finals. Feels like a superstar’s coming out party. Yeah. Pretty fun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 19 minutes ago, MV_snow said: For those of you like me who enjoy sunny and cool weather in the summer, Victoria by the water would be tough to beat. It’s supposed to be highs in upper 60s to low 70s with full sun at our campsite on the Saanich Peninsula the remainder of the week. For some reason marine layer formation seems difficult here. At home, we have the Chehalis Gap to thank for the low clouds, but what stops low clouds from forming on southern VI? Seems like they would just come in through the Strait since nothing is blocking them. Poulsbo/Bainbridge is similar in terms of clearing out quickly even during troughing and staying pleasant. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 42 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: You can kinda see Anderson island and where my family’s property is from there very nice view you got. Thanks! Yeah we can see the ferry terminal. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 Nome setting long standing records with this mammoth trough, not even sitting in its center. Not to sound like Bastardi but this is kind of an equal and opposite phenomena to the European heat wave right now. Fleeting, though, and I'm sure there will be plenty more unanswered all time record heat waves all across the globe to come... 6 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 19, 2022 Report Share Posted July 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Nome setting long standing records with this mammoth trough, not even sitting in its center. Not to sound like Bastardi but this is kind of an equal and opposite phenomena to the European heat wave right now. Fleeting, though, and I'm sure there will be plenty more unanswered all time record heat waves all across the globe to come... I get the feeling we will hit 4 consecutive +90 days later this month…definitely atleast 3. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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