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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


The Blob

More original name title?  

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Ugh

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

It’s pretty unheard of for the Northern California and southern Oregon coast to spike hot during mid summer.  Coastal inversions couple with the massive thermal gradients make it almost impossible.

Thank you. I'm not trying to be annoying, but do we know why it specifically happens there?  Why not further north up the coast?  Because it isn't unheard of to see 90's in Aberdeen or Forks. 

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It would be amazing to see a cool August.  At least it's not out of the question the way things look right now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Ugh

Bright side is anything that happens will be less atrocious than the heat you’re experiencing now. You’ll be pre-acclimated. 💪 

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9 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Thank you. I'm not trying to be annoying, but do we know why it specifically happens there?  Why not further north up the coast?  Because it isn't unheard of to see 90's in Aberdeen or Forks. 

I'm going to assume the post you were referring to was accurate, because of who posted it.  My guess it's more possible in WA is because Canadian continental high pressure systems can more readily switch the flow to offshore in more northern areas.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, NWbyNW said:

Thank you. I'm not trying to be annoying, but do we know why it specifically happens there?  Why not further north up the coast?  Because it isn't unheard of to see 90's in Aberdeen or Forks. 

The more muted thermal gradient allows the thermal trough to take on more of a negative tilt, usually tracking with the 500mb ridge axis. This makes access to offshore flow increasingly easy as you head north from around Tillamook. Even then, it’s a little harder to come by during midsummer compared to “off-season” events. Then of course you have those where the Brookings Effect occurs and they absolutely bake for short spurts.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

The more muted thermal gradient allows the thermal trough to take on more of a negative tilt, usually tracking with the 500mb ridge axis. This makes access to offshore flow increasingly easy as you head north from around Tillamook. Even then, it’s a little harder to come by during midsummer compared to “off-season” events. Then of course you have those where the Brookings Effect occurs and they absolutely bake for short spurts.

Your knowledge is impressive dude!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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49 minutes ago, Phil said:

CMC sort of caved to the Euro. 😬 

Nice troll post but it worked and you made me look. Not really a cave to the Euro. Maybe hotter than it’s 12z run but it has temps peaking around 100 for a few days. A lot like the 00z GFS.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Nice troll post but it worked and you made me look. Not really a cave to the Euro. Maybe hotter than it’s 12z run but it has temps peaking around 100 for a few days. A lot like the 00z GFS.

Baffin vortex pattern is back from the dead.

2013-18 regime reincarnated.

1A708AB3-4211-4760-913B-31B96D46806C.png

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35 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The models are really looking interesting for early August.  Might be a shot at some cool continental air making its way in.

August is in 12 days, no models really even show that, and you’re completely ignoring the massive heat event between now and then. Seriously, are you high?

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

I spent all day thinking seriously about taking some time off next week for some jetsking and boating heatwave fun! I was not bothered by that. 

So everywhere else needs to get hot enough that their yards literally burn alive so you can enjoy the kind of temps Portland saw this afternoon.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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I don't pay for WB during the offseason but is the EC stuck there too?

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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15 hours ago, Jginmartini said:

I may need to do something like this or just drop tv since I’m seldom home currently. Comcast way to much money now 

Definitely should. I've heard nothing but good stuff about Ziply's fiber service so far, and they just came all the way into my area which is kinda shocking to me.

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Clear and 59 here this morning. Ended up topping out at 89 yesterday so at least no 90.

I get up at 5 on work days and can definitely tell the sunrise has been getting later. It’s really noticeable this morning, the sun isn’t even above the foothills out there yet. 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

57 here this morning…thank god it sounds like the euro backed off there. Still not happy about the prospects of a streak of 90s but it’s certainly better than hitting 100 like last summer. 

EPS took a step back from the extreme heat too. Nice to see, let’s hope it sticks. 

9ECFACDE-1D83-4DBA-92DC-82C059B1F6BB.png

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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56 this morning. Back home.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 hours ago, Deweydog said:

The more muted thermal gradient allows the thermal trough to take on more of a negative tilt, usually tracking with the 500mb ridge axis. This makes access to offshore flow increasingly easy as you head north from around Tillamook. Even then, it’s a little harder to come by during midsummer compared to “off-season” events. Then of course you have those where the Brookings Effect occurs and they absolutely bake for short spurts.

Forks is also well inland. Hard to compare Forks to Brookings geographically.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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7 hours ago, Phil said:

Baffin vortex pattern is back from the dead.

2013-18 regime reincarnated.

1A708AB3-4211-4760-913B-31B96D46806C.png

A fading regime's last dying breath?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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06z GFS neuters the heat. Wouldn't be shocked.

But it's not really the magnitude I'm worried about, unless we're actually surpassing 100F again. It's that this heatwave feels just as inevitable as any other this last bastard of a decade, despite this being a La Niña coming after one of our genuinely colder Springs on record.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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This probably won't be an average summer in southern Oregon (even though June sounded like it was good).

I noticed yesterday was the 9th day in a row over 90 at KLMT. Before last year, that's a pretty good stretch for that town.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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It seems less likely now that we have something even close to the ridiculousness of last year... the 00Z ECMWF toned it down as well and showed just 2 days in the 90s in Seattle.   I envisioned all the models going crazy again after the 12Z ECMWF yesterday.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

It seems less likely now that we have something even close to the ridiculousness of last year... the 00Z ECMWF toned it down as well and showed just 2 days in the 90s in Seattle.   I envisioned all the models going crazy again after the 12Z ECMWF yesterday.    

I guess torching isn't being one upped quite as often as years prior.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I guess torching isn't being one upped quite as often as years prior.

I sincerely hope that last year is never 'one upped'.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Early August arctic blast (average temps?) coming into focus too 

I thought after me leaving you guys would get the most epic t'storm event in 15 years, these La Ninas are not doing great patterns for them. lol Last year was unimpressive too. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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On 7/18/2022 at 8:42 AM, Randyc321 said:

The weather has been great.  I am currently refurbishing an old sailing yacht (not mine, side job) in Eagle Harbor on the island.  Best summer of my adult life so far.

Meant to post this pic the other day from Doc's Marina Grill on Eagle Harbor.   We were actually there right after you posted this.   What an awesome place to spend the summer!  Is the boat you are working on in the background here?   

From the restaurant looking east you can actually see the tops of the buildings in downtown Seattle.    But Bainbridge Island feels like a world away.  

20220719_151131.jpg

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1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

61 at Aurora. Nice morning here at the Lake Oswego jobsite.

Actually is Aurora the best station to represent Lake Oswego? Seems like it’s the most similar microclimate but I could be wrong on that.

I would look at both HIO and UAO and take the middle ground, since it's kind of a mid-way point.

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