SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Ugh 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: It’s pretty unheard of for the Northern California and southern Oregon coast to spike hot during mid summer. Coastal inversions couple with the massive thermal gradients make it almost impossible. Thank you. I'm not trying to be annoying, but do we know why it specifically happens there? Why not further north up the coast? Because it isn't unheard of to see 90's in Aberdeen or Forks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 It would be amazing to see a cool August. At least it's not out of the question the way things look right now. 3 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Ugh Bright side is anything that happens will be less atrocious than the heat you’re experiencing now. You’ll be pre-acclimated. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Ugh I will buy a kiddie pool and fill it with cold water. You are invited. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Thank you. I'm not trying to be annoying, but do we know why it specifically happens there? Why not further north up the coast? Because it isn't unheard of to see 90's in Aberdeen or Forks. I'm going to assume the post you were referring to was accurate, because of who posted it. My guess it's more possible in WA is because Canadian continental high pressure systems can more readily switch the flow to offshore in more northern areas. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Just now, NWbyNW said: Thank you. I'm not trying to be annoying, but do we know why it specifically happens there? Why not further north up the coast? Because it isn't unheard of to see 90's in Aberdeen or Forks. The more muted thermal gradient allows the thermal trough to take on more of a negative tilt, usually tracking with the 500mb ridge axis. This makes access to offshore flow increasingly easy as you head north from around Tillamook. Even then, it’s a little harder to come by during midsummer compared to “off-season” events. Then of course you have those where the Brookings Effect occurs and they absolutely bake for short spurts. 3 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Thank you @Deweydog and @snow_wizard very much! You are helping expand my knowledge! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The more muted thermal gradient allows the thermal trough to take on more of a negative tilt, usually tracking with the 500mb ridge axis. This makes access to offshore flow increasingly easy as you head north from around Tillamook. Even then, it’s a little harder to come by during midsummer compared to “off-season” events. Then of course you have those where the Brookings Effect occurs and they absolutely bake for short spurts. Your knowledge is impressive dude! 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 49 minutes ago, Phil said: CMC sort of caved to the Euro. Nice troll post but it worked and you made me look. Not really a cave to the Euro. Maybe hotter than it’s 12z run but it has temps peaking around 100 for a few days. A lot like the 00z GFS. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 00z GFs ensembles continue to look reasonable as well. Of course if the Euro comes in as hot as its 12z run in an hour I will consider all of this analysis moot. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Beautiful evening for patio lounging, especially with the smell of fresh paver sealer. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Nice troll post but it worked and you made me look. Not really a cave to the Euro. Maybe hotter than it’s 12z run but it has temps peaking around 100 for a few days. A lot like the 00z GFS. Baffin vortex pattern is back from the dead. 2013-18 regime reincarnated. 1 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 35 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The models are really looking interesting for early August. Might be a shot at some cool continental air making its way in. August is in 12 days, no models really even show that, and you’re completely ignoring the massive heat event between now and then. Seriously, are you high? 2 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 The 00z Euro seems to be stuck at hour 66 on pivotal, but viewing it on the official Euro site it appears that it has take a step back from the 12z run. Maybe a nod toward the GFS and GEM. 5 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: I spent all day thinking seriously about taking some time off next week for some jetsking and boating heatwave fun! I was not bothered by that. So everywhere else needs to get hot enough that their yards literally burn alive so you can enjoy the kind of temps Portland saw this afternoon. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 I don't pay for WB during the offseason but is the EC stuck there too? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 15 hours ago, Jginmartini said: I may need to do something like this or just drop tv since I’m seldom home currently. Comcast way to much money now Definitely should. I've heard nothing but good stuff about Ziply's fiber service so far, and they just came all the way into my area which is kinda shocking to me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 00z ECMWF slightly cooler but still very warm: PDX: 7/24: 90 7/25: 102 7/26: 104 7/27: 100 7/28: 94 7/29: 90 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 06z GFS has the heat come a bit later 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 hours ago, Doiinko said: 00z ECMWF slightly cooler but still very warm: PDX: 7/24: 90 7/25: 102 7/26: 104 7/27: 100 7/28: 94 7/29: 90 Because of course it is, now that I am about to escape the Southwest and return to the Northwest. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Summer mornings are the best. 58 degrees here. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 57 here this morning…thank god it sounds like the euro backed off there. Still not happy about the prospects of a streak of 90s but it’s certainly better than hitting 100 like last summer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Clear and 59 here this morning. Ended up topping out at 89 yesterday so at least no 90. I get up at 5 on work days and can definitely tell the sunrise has been getting later. It’s really noticeable this morning, the sun isn’t even above the foothills out there yet. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: 57 here this morning…thank god it sounds like the euro backed off there. Still not happy about the prospects of a streak of 90s but it’s certainly better than hitting 100 like last summer. EPS took a step back from the extreme heat too. Nice to see, let’s hope it sticks. 4 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 54 for a low here. Can also definitely tell the sun rises later now, over 20 minutes lost in the morning. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Early August arctic blast (average temps?) coming into focus too 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Early August arctic blast (average temps?) coming into focus too Straight up 1950s cool sunny pattern on tap 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 56 this morning. Back home. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 61 at Aurora. Nice morning here at the Lake Oswego jobsite. Actually is Aurora the best station to represent Lake Oswego? Seems like it’s the most similar microclimate but I could be wrong on that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 8 hours ago, Deweydog said: The more muted thermal gradient allows the thermal trough to take on more of a negative tilt, usually tracking with the 500mb ridge axis. This makes access to offshore flow increasingly easy as you head north from around Tillamook. Even then, it’s a little harder to come by during midsummer compared to “off-season” events. Then of course you have those where the Brookings Effect occurs and they absolutely bake for short spurts. Forks is also well inland. Hard to compare Forks to Brookings geographically. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 7 hours ago, Phil said: Baffin vortex pattern is back from the dead. 2013-18 regime reincarnated. A fading regime's last dying breath? Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 06z GFS neuters the heat. Wouldn't be shocked. But it's not really the magnitude I'm worried about, unless we're actually surpassing 100F again. It's that this heatwave feels just as inevitable as any other this last bastard of a decade, despite this being a La Niña coming after one of our genuinely colder Springs on record. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 This probably won't be an average summer in southern Oregon (even though June sounded like it was good). I noticed yesterday was the 9th day in a row over 90 at KLMT. Before last year, that's a pretty good stretch for that town. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 It seems less likely now that we have something even close to the ridiculousness of last year... the 00Z ECMWF toned it down as well and showed just 2 days in the 90s in Seattle. I envisioned all the models going crazy again after the 12Z ECMWF yesterday. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: It seems less likely now that we have something even close to the ridiculousness of last year... the 00Z ECMWF toned it down as well and showed just 2 days in the 90s in Seattle. I envisioned all the models going crazy again after the 12Z ECMWF yesterday. I guess torching isn't being one upped quite as often as years prior. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I guess torching isn't being one upped quite as often as years prior. I sincerely hope that last year is never 'one upped'. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Early August arctic blast (average temps?) coming into focus too I thought after me leaving you guys would get the most epic t'storm event in 15 years, these La Ninas are not doing great patterns for them. lol Last year was unimpressive too. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 On 7/18/2022 at 8:42 AM, Randyc321 said: The weather has been great. I am currently refurbishing an old sailing yacht (not mine, side job) in Eagle Harbor on the island. Best summer of my adult life so far. Meant to post this pic the other day from Doc's Marina Grill on Eagle Harbor. We were actually there right after you posted this. What an awesome place to spend the summer! Is the boat you are working on in the background here? From the restaurant looking east you can actually see the tops of the buildings in downtown Seattle. But Bainbridge Island feels like a world away. 8 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said: 61 at Aurora. Nice morning here at the Lake Oswego jobsite. Actually is Aurora the best station to represent Lake Oswego? Seems like it’s the most similar microclimate but I could be wrong on that. I would look at both HIO and UAO and take the middle ground, since it's kind of a mid-way point. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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