Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 7 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I don't pay for WB during the offseason but is the EC stuck there too? Nope, ran quickly on WB. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said: A fading regime's last dying breath? I certainly hope so. In theory niño-4/WPAC cooling should reduce the prospects of it sticking around, but we’ll see. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 I’m sweating. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 50 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I guess torching isn't being one upped quite as often as years prior. We have a serious problem if any year is trying to “one up” last year… let say even for the next decade. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 46 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I sincerely hope that last year is never 'one upped'. I keep getting the feeling it’s gonna over perform in terms of heat somehow. Really hoping we can keep this heatwave just upper 80s low 90s for a few days. I can live with that but once we start talking a few days 93-97 that’s no good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Just now, Cloud said: We have a serious problem if any year is trying to “one up” last year… let say even for the next decade. This century is more like it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Whatever happens in the near term the models are bullish on a retrogression / NW trough for early August. Can't wait to see how that actually plays out. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 9 hours ago, NWbyNW said: How does Crescent City always stay so cool? During the peak of this heat wave, the GFS shows Crescent City chilling at 57F-59F. Winds NW by NW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Everyone was frothing at the mouth the week before Christmas last year at how cold the models were looking…Dangerous cold that posed a risk to life and nature. We are in a similar situation now with the other side of the temperature scale but I see no frothing. C’MON!!! Like Matt I also like extremes as I find them very fascinating. I lost a few shrubs to the low single digit readings we had in late December but nobody seemed to care about that! If I were to say I lost some shrubs during last year’s heatwave people would have jumped all over that with a finger in my face saying “SEE…TOLD YOU! HEAT BAD!” At the end of the day it’s all about the preference! Do I want to see us ever top June 2021…Mostly no, however that extreme side of me has a different answer. Would I want to see a more extreme version of January 1950…The practical side of me says mostly no because of the MASSIVE amount of work it would take snow removal wise and the damage it would most likely cause to my house and property…But…That extreme side of me would say BRING IT!! Nice morning! 4 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Whatever happens in the near term the models are bullish on a retrogression / NW trough for early August. Can't wait to see how that actually plays out. EPS looks quicker in the retrogression than GEFS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: Everyone was frothing at the mouth the week before Christmas last year at how cold the models were looking…Dangerous cold that posed a risk to life and nature. We are in a similar situation now with the other side of the temperature scale but I see no frothing. C’MON!!! Like Matt I also like extremes as I find them very fascinating. I lost a few shrubs to the low single digit readings we had in late December but nobody seemed to care about that! If I were to say I lost some shrubs during last year’s heatwave people would have jumped all over that with a finger in my face saying “SEE…TOLD YOU! HEAT BAD!” At the end of the day it’s all about the preference! Do I want to see us ever top June 2021…Mostly no, however that extreme side of me has a different answer. Would I want to see a more extreme version of January 1950…The practical side of me says mostly no because of the MASSIVE amount of work it would take snow removal wise and the damage it would most likely cause to my house and property…But…That extreme side of me would say BRING IT!! Nice morning! PDX dropped to a record breaking low of 25 in December! 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: Everyone was frothing at the mouth the week before Christmas last year at how cold the models were looking…Dangerous cold that posed a risk to life and nature. We are in a similar situation now with the other side of the temperature scale but I see no frothing. C’MON!!! Like Matt I also like extremes as I find them very fascinating. I lost a few shrubs to the low single digit readings we had in late December but nobody seemed to care about that! If I were to say I lost some shrubs during last year’s heatwave people would have jumped all over that with a finger in my face saying “SEE…TOLD YOU! HEAT BAD!” At the end of the day it’s all about the preference! Do I want to see us ever top June 2021…Mostly no, however that extreme side of me has a different answer. Would I want to see a more extreme version of January 1950…The practical side of me says mostly no because of the MASSIVE amount of work it would take snow removal wise and the damage it would most likely cause to my house and property…But…That extreme side of me would say BRING IT!! Nice morning! I have the same thoughts if we ever beat the monthly snowfall record of Jan 1916 which currently stands at 238" Last Dec we had 110" and it was nightmare with delayed street plowing, power outages and an ice dam on my roof. But at the same time breaking the record with like a 250" month would be incredible. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 That upwelling wave is d**n impressive. One of the fastest rises in the 20°C isotherm depth ever recorded in July. Haven’t had a strong La Niña in tandem with +QBO and increasing solar since 2010/11, and that was one of the blockiest winters on record in the NH. Lots of great winters on that list, including 1949/50 and 1955/56. The cool niño-4/tropical WPAC is also reminiscent of 2010/11, as is the quiet WPAC tropical season. Has to be a top analog for 2022/23. 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: That upwelling wave is d**n impressive. One of the fastest rises in the 20°C isotherm depth ever recorded in July. Haven’t had a strong La Niña in tandem with +QBO and increasing solar since 2010/11, and that was one of the blockiest winters on record in the NH. Lots of great winters on that list, including 1949/50 and 1955/56. The cool niño-4/tropical WPAC is also reminiscent of 2010/11, as is the quiet WPAC tropical season. Has to be a top analog for 2022/23. 2010/11 was okay in the Willamette Valley for cold (only 1.8" of snow at PDX though) but I'd definitely prefer 1949/50 and 1955/56. I really hope we see a regionwide arctic blast though, even if it's dry. Dec 2013 was the last one to drop below -12c at 850mb at SLE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Phil said: That upwelling wave is d**n impressive. One of the fastest rises in the 20°C isotherm depth ever recorded in July. Haven’t had a strong La Niña in tandem with +QBO and increasing solar since 2010/11, and that was one of the blockiest winters on record in the NH. Lots of great winters on that list, including 1949/50 and 1955/56. The cool niño-4/tropical WPAC is also reminiscent of 2010/11, as is the quiet WPAC tropical season. Has to be a top analog for 2022/23. I liked 2010-11! Lovely events in November and February! 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Heatwave is showing up on the phone app now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Meant to post this pic the other day from Doc's Marina Grill on Eagle Harbor. We were actually there right after you posted this. What an awesome place to spend the summer! Is the boat you are working on in the background here? From the restaurant looking east you can actually see the tops of the buildings in downtown Seattle. But Bainbridge Island feels like a world away. Thanks Tim and actually yes that is the row of docks I am working at. I am having a great time. I walk by those tables everytime I go to the marina. Luckily for me this is 10 to 15 minute walk from my house. BTW order the El Portal burger at Docs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Randyc321 said: Thanks Tim and actually yes that is the row of docks I am working at. I am having a great time. I walk by those tables everytime I go to the marina. Luckily for me this is 10 to 15 minute walk from my house. BTW order the El Portal burger at Docs Too funny... I actually ordered the El Portal and it was awesome. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: I liked 2010-11! Lovely events in November and February! 10-11 was a good example that winters don't always blow their load early. The southern mountains had no shortage of snow going into Spring. Huge difference with this last winter, even though it had a snowy December like 2010, there was about 8-10 weeks it didn't snow from early January to mid-March where I used to live.. 4 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post AlTahoe Posted July 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 20 minutes ago, Phil said: That upwelling wave is d**n impressive. One of the fastest rises in the 20°C isotherm depth ever recorded in July. Haven’t had a strong La Niña in tandem with +QBO and increasing solar since 2010/11, and that was one of the blockiest winters on record in the NH. Lots of great winters on that list, including 1949/50 and 1955/56. The cool niño-4/tropical WPAC is also reminiscent of 2010/11, as is the quiet WPAC tropical season. Has to be a top analog for 2022/23. I will take another 2010-2011 please. 320" at my house. Snow over the powerlines at Donner Lake. 7 1 2 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 17 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Heatwave is showing up on the phone app now I just posted what I'm thinking right now in the contest thread. PDX: Sun-90 Mon-97 Tue-100 Wed-99 Thu-98 Fri-96 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: I just posted what I'm thinking right now in the contest thread. PDX: Sun-90 Mon-97 Tue-100 Wed-99 Thu-98 Fri-96 Those numbers are a lot more sensible than the 106 I went for lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 12z GFS is 7 degrees hotter for PDX on Monday than the 06z 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: This century is more like it. It's a warming climate, I wouldn't put anything passed the next decade tbh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Welp..this run is already putrid. Heat arriving 6 days from now. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 According to the NWS Portland AFD, there's a 35% chance of temps >105 and a 15% chance of temps >110... There's a higher chance of temps greater than 110 than highs lower than 90 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 11 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Ugh Still in Big D? EDIT: Nevermind, I see you're back in God's Country. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 32 minutes ago, Doiinko said: 12z GFS is 7 degrees hotter for PDX on Monday than the 06z Quicker with the heat than the 06 but also quicker to back the ridge to the west by next weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 What does the 12z gfs show Portland peaking at for a high? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: What does the 12z gfs show Portland peaking at for a high? 101 on Tuesday I think 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Another top 5 July unfolding for them? lol This is several top tier Julys since 2013. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said: Another top 5 July unfolding for them? lol This is several top tier Julys since 2013. Weather.com is forecasting 3 consecutive 100s at Sunriver! Getting to triple digits there is not common at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 70 after a low of 57 here. Definitely getting into the 80s later today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Looking like a 3-4 days of hot then we "cool" back down for a couple days then warms back up at the end of the run. But this is LR stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Weather.com is forecasting 3 consecutive 100s at Sunriver! Getting to triple digits there is not common at all. I bet they go years in a row topping around 98 or 96. Between 7/2/2013 - 6/27/2021 there were no triple digits at KLMT but there was usually a 99 every once in a while. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 21 minutes ago, Doiinko said: 101 on Tuesday I think Nice to see other models aren’t hopping on board with the extreme Euro from yesterday. I can handle that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 KOMO is going with 93 for next Tuesday, but then wrote in their extended forecast that Wed and Thur will also be near 90. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Reload!! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 Just now, FroYoBro said: Nice to see other models aren’t hopping on board with the extreme Euro from yesterday. I can handle that. Looks like the typical 100-102 heat wave that Portland gets a couple times a summer. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 20, 2022 Report Share Posted July 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, GobBluth said: Looks like the typical 100-102 heat wave that Portland gets a couple times a summer. 2012 even had one of those in early August. But that was the last year I can remember the hottest point occurring in that window. Summer was more often like that when I was a kid. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by MWG,
17 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by DareDuck,
18 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by Guest administrator,
0 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by Meatyorologist,
Recommended by Meatyorologist0 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.