Jump to content

On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


The Blob

More original name title?  

21 members have voted

  1. 1. More original name title?

    • Yes
      8
    • No
      4
    • Preferance Wars
      9

This poll is closed to new votes


Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12z Euro sure is stubborn with dropping us below 90 for highs. 
 

It shows us in the low to mid 90s over next weekend into Monday which is much more tolerable than 100, but still way slower with the cool down than other runs. Would get us close to a record for consecutive days above 90 at face value.

I feel as if the biosphere is better equipped to deal with prolonged 90s vs going well into the 100s again for a slightly shorter amount of time.

Unfortunately neither is good.

  • Like 2

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah the ensembles seem to crash this weekend while the latest control run keeps us hot through Sunday. Hopefully we can get into a troughy pattern in early august. Would be great if we can avoid a warm pattern at all again or delay it until the second half of august so the sun angles can start taking the edge off of another heatwave if it comes. 

A cool August would be a huge prize at this point.  At least it's possible the way things currently look.  CPC has equal chances for that month.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

A cool August would be a huge prize at this point.  At least it's possible the way things currently look.  CPC has equal chances for that month.

I think we will get another warm period sometime between 8/10-8/20 but nothing like this. Best case scenario probably a +1 or +2 month. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

And now Jim is posting about it so it definitely won’t happen.

You have gotten mean dude.  This climate can do it to you if you don't watch out.

I think the point where I realized I had to let it go (just a tiny bit) was in the early 2000s.  The lameness of the 1998 - 2001 La Nina damn near drove me over the edge.

  • Popcorn 1
  • Sad 1
  • Weenie 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

924BF500-035A-4BB7-80E1-314D755C3981.jpeg

73F, a slight breeze, and brilliantly sunny. I do miss the clouds but sometimes on days like these I see where Tim's weather preferences come from.

Too bad we'll be choking on 90F smoke come Thursday.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think we will get another warm period sometime between 8/10-8/20 but nothing like this. Best case scenario probably a +1 or +2 month. 

You have to go with persistence after 21 warm ones, but the possible very cool start might give us a chance.  I would call an average below 65.0 for SEA a win.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

924BF500-035A-4BB7-80E1-314D755C3981.jpeg

73F, a slight breeze, and brilliantly sunny. I do miss the clouds but sometimes on days like these I see where Tim's weather preferences come from.

Too bad we'll be choking on 90F smoke come Thursday.

I think days like yesterday and Friday are pretty much unbeatable unless we manage a day with full sun and temps something like 72/48.  

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The ECMWF gets there, but still way slower than other models.  Not sure what to make of the delay compared to the EPS.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pretty incredible when the GFS and ECMWF ensembles both have heights approaching 6000 over the GOA over a week out.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Already hotter than ** in a biscuit in twisp6ED9DB10-415C-4126-95B7-0D46BBC8A313.thumb.jpeg.a2155aded86012e82a7159c6d193e94a.jpeg

It could get REALLY hot on the east side with this pattern.  

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12z Euro sure is stubborn with dropping us below 90 for highs. 
 

It shows us in the low to mid 90s over next weekend into Monday which is much more tolerable than 100, but still way slower with the cool down than other runs. Would get us close to a record for consecutive days above 90 at face value.

Operational Euro looks like a massive outlier on the EPS mean, thankfully.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty incredible when the GFS and ECMWF ensembles both have heights approaching 6000 over the GOA over a week out.

Positive height anomalies well into the 590’s out around 40N aren’t too uncommon. Plus it’s stretch to consider that the GOA seeing as though it’s at the same latitude as Northern CA.

  • Like 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Phil said:

Euro and EPS are juuust a bit different. Lol

CB7C44C1-FA0C-4D27-9D67-885F8DC0D05C.gif

Red is better than blue for jetsking! 

  • Sun 2
  • Sick 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Red is better than blue for jetsking! 

You’d rather the water be red than blue? 🤔 

  • Sun 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2C095F28-0619-4905-901E-6A532E18C7EC.jpeg

Sometimes I go on baseball streaks. This is one of them.

When the tix are cheap, why not right?

  • Like 5
  • Excited 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

59 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I feel as if the biosphere is better equipped to deal with prolonged 90s vs going well into the 100s again for a slightly shorter amount of time.

Unfortunately neither is good.

At least heat waves peaking in the low 100s have been happening here the last 80 years or so. July 1941 was the first “modern” type heatwave in lots of ways. This one could end up similar if not a little lower on the top end. Similar from a humidity aspect too.

July 1941 in many ways represented a step change as far as what our climate is capable of with respect to heat, and we never really looked back. Got to wonder if June 2021 represented a similar step change.

  • Like 1
  • Windy 1
  • Weenie 1

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

EPS looks way better than the operational for breaking down the hot pattern by next weekend. Looks like the control run is in good agreement with the operational though so who knows. Wouldn’t surprise me to see the 90s hold through next Monday or so.

0724CB9D-4A53-479E-8DE7-0657844382DE.png

  • Like 1

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Heading down to southern Oregon and the coast with the herd. Nice day. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

EPS looks nice and faster than the operational.  

can't wait to see if the trough ends up as sharp as some models are showing.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Euro and EPS are juuust a bit different. Lol

CB7C44C1-FA0C-4D27-9D67-885F8DC0D05C.gif

Not sure what's up with the operational.  The model is far from perfect, although better than the GFS of course.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The hottest temperature the past three days has been 72F and we are almost at that high temperature today.  Currently 71F in Everett.  Clear, sunny skies. 

I've noticed this dry, sunny streak of weather has made all the plants explode in size.  Garden is overflowing with big green leaves.

For the most part, grass is still green almost everywhere I go in the north sound.  That will be changing soon. 

Screen Shot 2022-07-24 at 2.18.01 PM.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

The hottest temperature the past three days has been 72F and we are almost at that high temperature today.  Currently 71F in Everett.  Clear, sunny skies. 

I've noticed this dry, sunny streak of weather has made all the plants explode in size.  Garden is overflowing with big green leaves.

For the most part, grass is still green almost everywhere I go in the north sound.  That will be changing soon. 

Screen Shot 2022-07-24 at 2.18.01 PM.png

Pretty soon all the plants will be brown and dead. RIP

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, rsktkr said:

Those guys posing for your picture suck at posing for pictures.

Can't be as bad as the Mariners in the first half of this game lol.

Up to 91F. 73F inside currently.

  • Like 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Yearly occurrence in Southern California.

Also here in EWA. Everything was green until about a week ago.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...