ShawniganLake Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 How’s the euro looking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: How’s the euro looking. Lower sun angles at 192 hours… 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 It’s a great night for sadists 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Friday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Saturday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Sunday: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Monday: The cooldown isn't until Tuesday on this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 The ECMWF is frustrating. Instead of bringing that open wave inland late this week, it cuts it off and keeps it offshore. Just that one thing messes up the progression the other models are showing. A major outlier....at least for now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 49 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Last night's extended 00z GEFS shows it more strongly... WTF....it flashes so fast you can't make heads or tails of it. 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Monday: The cooldown isn't until Tuesday on this run Never mind Tuesday is just a break and then the heat comes back on Wednesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Monday: The cooldown isn't until Tuesday on this run It's a total outlier though. Even the JMA is the same as all the other models. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Just now, Doiinko said: Never mind Tuesday is just a break and then the heat comes back on Wednesday If the EPS sticks to its guns tonight it's not likely to happen. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: If the EPS sticks to its guns tonight it's not likely to happen. Let's hope so, a cool start to August would be nice 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 EPS says the operational ECMWF is full of it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Doiinko said: Let's hope so, a cool start to August would be nice We actually have a shot at very cool. We shall see. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Some big temperature differences in PDX Metro at midnight. 78 still at Forest Grove and Scappoose but only 61 nearby in Vernonia. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: WTF....it flashes so fast you can't make heads or tails of it. That’s because in his previous comment he made a mentioned about 0c advancing in the Arctic circle. That should be the focus of this map and it clearly showed it. In other words… winter is on its way. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Now even a bigger difference, at 2am Vernonia is down to 56 with Forest Grove still at 76 and Scappoose at 77. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 21 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Now even a bigger difference, at 2am Vernonia is down to 56 with Forest Grove still at 76 and Scappoose at 77. I wonder what's making Forest Grove/Scappoose so warm? Downsloping? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 41 minutes ago, Doiinko said: I wonder what's making Forest Grove/Scappoose so warm? Downsloping? Possibly, maybe the opposite of cold air damming aka Forest Grove Effect we see in the winter time. This time warmer air seems to be banked up against the east slopes of the Coast Range and West Hills/Tualatin Mountains. Still 75 in Forest Grove and Scappoose but down to 54 now in Vernonia. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Possibly, maybe the opposite of cold air damming aka Forest Grove Effect we see in the winter time. This time warmer air seems to be banked up against the east slopes of the Coast Range and West Hills/Tualatin Mountains. Still 75 in Forest Grove and Scappoose but down to 54 now in Vernonia. My area seems to be around 68-70 right now from some weather stations there. About the same as PDX. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 What was the GFS on during Jan 2020?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 hour ago, Doiinko said: My area seems to be around 68-70 right now from some weather stations there. About the same as PDX. As of 5am, Vernonia down to 51 now while Forest Grove still at 72 and Scappoose at 73. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Operational Euro is still way off on its own with delaying the cool down. But I feel like enough individual runs have shown it that it should be given at least a little weight. 4 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 North wind kept SEA warmer overnight... got down to 55 in North Bend where its protected from the north wind. The 00Z ECMWF showed solid marine layer intrusions every morning starting on Wednesday. And shows the WA coast is stuck in the low clouds the rest of the run after tomorrow. There aren't too many really hot days in Seattle that start out with the marine layer this far inland... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Made it all the way down to 61 here after a 91/55 day yesterday. Today should be the first run at triple digits in parts of the metro. 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 This does look similar to last July and August... going to be much warmer in the EPSL than in Seattle this week with weak onshore flow as opposed to offshore flow. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 6 hours ago, snow_wizard said: WTF....it flashes so fast you can't make heads or tails of it. Just pay attention to the high Arctic... Look at how the freezing contour overtakes the North Pole and the rest of the Arctic Ocean! A sign of the changing seasons... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 20 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Just pay attention to the high Arctic... Look at how the freezing contour overtakes the North Pole and the rest of the Arctic Ocean! A sign of the changing seasons... That's what will happen to the entirety of OR and WA next January 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Meatyorologist Posted July 25, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Synopsis time???!!? Uh, shut up, yeah it is. Got a beautiful and hot one on tap today. A strengthening ridge overhead has kept the marine layer at bay overnight and let crystal clear skies remain, save for a few patches of radiation fog. Local pressure gradients last night allowed for some easterlies through the North Bend gap, preventing exposed locations from cooling below 60F, and warming the lower column. This will act as a better springboard for temperatures, and could lead to an overperformance on highs this afternoon, which should land somewhere on either side of 90F under brilliant sunshine. Welcome to pretty much the entire week. Tomorrow and Wednesday, temperatures should peak on the westside, as heighs aloft peak and descent maximizes through a thoroughly warmed column. Temperatures each morning should be consistently held in the 60s and even a few low 70s as moisture steadily increases due to evaporation. Highs will reach somewhere within the range of 95F or so with more, you guessed it, clear skies. During the afternoon and evenings early this week, local westerlies caused by E-W pressure gradients from the cold Puget Sound and warmer foothills will modulate temperatures over the metro area, preventing us from seriously contending with triple digits, but not saving us from getting very hot in the evening, or helping us cool off at night. Wednesday night into Thursday morning a minor trough axis will slide through, forcing in a marine push and signaling an end to the worst of the heatwave. Mind you, highs will still rise well into the 80s, potentially near 90F in some favored spots, but not after some marine stratus burnoff and lows clipping into the 50s again. Friday should be something close to a carbon copy of Thursday. Looking ahead towards the weekend, we see a model split. Some retain or even restrengthen the ridge, bringing about another brief period of 90F weather and an elimination of cloudcover; while others relax and gradually break down the ridge, allowing temperatures to fall back down to or even below average, with a much better established marine presence. Early peek at next week shows below normal heights on most ensemble guidance, suggesting an opportunity for deeper troughing and the first real window for cooler than normal summer weather since early July. 11 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 9 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I created a thread for the meet up. No more lacking on my part Phil will likely be there since his proximity is relatively close. Let the stampede begin!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Got down to 59 this morning 66 currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Looks like the smoke is staying south of Eugene for now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Looks like the smoke is staying south of Eugene for now. Hopefully persistent onshore flow this week will keep the worst of it well to our south and east. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Looks like the smoke is staying south of Eugene for now. Also interesting how the GOES West satellite does not show the smoke nearly as well. I assume its an angle issue with this satellite being right overhead as opposed to looking at the West Coast from more of a side angle above. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Also interesting how the GOES West satellite does not show the smoke nearly as well. I assume its an angle issue with this satellite being right overhead as opposed to looking at the West Coast from more of a side angle above. Yup you can see it much better here 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 8 hours ago, Doiinko said: Monday: The cooldown isn't until Tuesday on this run No sweat. its the Euro. Tim says we can ignore it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 9 hours ago, Meatyorologist said: Last night's extended 00z GEFS shows it more strongly... Can that be faster? 1 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 SEA and BFI are 70F at 8:30... This is a good 9 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time. Guess we're rolling now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Another 5 years ago post. The day after those big lightning producers. I was greeted with mammatus. One in every 2 t'storms that year produced these. 6 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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