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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


The Blob

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1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Yup. The Euro holds that little piece of energy offshore pretty much the entire run which effectively keeps troughing from the north from fully breaking through. Seems like the most reasonable solution taking into account recent summer climo, sadly.

I’ll bet you dollars to donuts that ULL will progress inland and not hang out offshore.

There’s very little deterministic/ens or analog support for that. 

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

So the operational euro and its control run look very different at 500mb. When that’s happened in the past it’s been indicative of inconsistency and probably a low confidence solution.

Something about this pattern is tripping up the Euro suite. But I think we’ll have clarity by 00z because the operational moved closer up the EPS mean with the ULL next week (though the EPS mean itself is all over the d**n place).

So we still have a shot at a cold second half of July?

I ran the numbers earlier... this month will likely end up in the top 10 and maybe even top 5 hottest Julys ever at SEA.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Three and a half months ago…

 

Looks very destructive!   

And much more tedious to get ready to go outside.   My biggest worry now is where did I leave my flip flops last time.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

So we still have a shot at a cold second half of July?

I ran the numbers earlier... this month will likely end up in the top 10 and maybe even top 5 hottest Julys ever at SEA.

What are you talking about?

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

The cold second half of July part?

Or the SEA data?

What does that have to do with my post?

Did you quote the wrong person?

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Just now, SnowWillarrive said:

When does peak heating occur? I assume over the next hour. 

Yeah, probably so...looking at yesterday we hit our peak temp a few times between 3 and 5.

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Just now, Phil said:

What does that have to do with my post?

Did you quote the wrong person?

he's poking fun at your 2nd half of july cool/troughy proclamations you were making from mid june thru early july

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

he's poking fun at your 2nd half of july cool/troughy proclamations you were making from mid june thru early july

Lol. Well if it ends up just being delayed by 10 days, how wrong was that prediction from a subseasonal standpoint?

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

Lol. Well if it ends up just being delayed by 10 days, how wrong was that prediction from a subseasonal standpoint?

I don't remember anyone thinking this could possibly end up a top 5 warm July at SEA... but here we are.    Top 10 is basically a lock now.     I certainly did not think it would be this warm. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Dj Khaled Another One GIFs | Tenor

United States one-hundred-dollar bill - Wikipedia

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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18Z GFS shows highs in the 60s in Seattle on Monday.

Of course its back to almost 80 again the next day... but 60s would be quite the crash.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Bouncing around 90 right now. At exactly 90 at the moment but was at 90.7

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

93°F at my home according to a nearby Wunderground station. Looks to be more like 90°F here where the office is in Gastown.

And YVR airport is at an even 80°F because YVR. Least representative official observing station of any metro area that I have ever lived in.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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