On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[Cloud]

10 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Pretty crazy both how long this heatwave has been and the humidity / lack of cooling at night. I find a few days in the 90s with dry air somewhat enjoyable, but a week long slog of sweaty lows in the 60s is pretty brutal.

Also pretty nuts how quickly the Mon-Thurs forecast has flipped from “lots of marine influence with good chance of rain Wed and Thurs” to “only a slight drop off in temps Mon and Tues with very slight chance of rain on Thurs.”

The excessive heat warning that was put out at the beginning of this heatwave last Monday had it ended at 9pm Friday…. Then Saturday…. Then tonight. Today should set a new record for consecutive 90s. 

[snow_wizard]

Amazing how the cutoff low just ruins everything.  That stupid little thing absorbs an Eastern Pacific hurricane a bit later and then reeks further havoc on our pattern in week two.  Pretty much write off a cool August before it begins.

[MWG]

Currently 82F with unhealthy air quality. It's definitely worse than yesterday. Still long way for October heck I'll even take late September at this point 

[RentonHill]

Running about the same as yesterday. hawt

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Cloud said:

The excessive heat warning that was put out at the beginning of this heatwave last Monday had it ended at 9pm Friday…. Then Saturday…. Then tonight. Today should set a new record for consecutive 90s. 

Yeah....I know there was 5 in a row in July 1941 in Seattle.  The longest streak I know of.  Could be a later one also.

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Yeah....I know there was 5 in a row in July 1941 in Seattle.  The longest streak I know of.  Could be a later one also.

July 2015 also had 5 days in a row at 90 or above

[T-Town]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Yeah....I know there was 5 in a row in July 1941 in Seattle.  The longest streak I know of.  Could be a later one also.

This is the third time for five in a row at seatac. Will be the first for six in a row if they reach 90 today. 
 

 

[Cloud]

 

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Yeah....I know there was 5 in a row in July 1941 in Seattle.  The longest streak I know of.  Could be a later one also.

SEA has 3 of these instances.  ‘41, ‘81, 2015. 

[Cloud]

An example of how fast our summer escalated just for this month. 70% of our times above 80 has been in July. 
 

note: Scott Sistek is behind this account. 

[BLI snowman]

13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

There's got to be a happy medium somewhere.  This year went from one extreme to the other.  I guess the wild swings might bode well going forward.

I am bummed about our summers.  They are 90% of why our glaciers are melting.  No question that at least for now the raging 4CH has become normal.  FWIW there is evidence from distant past precip records in the SW that aspect is cyclical.

From a 500mb perspective, we've basically become part of the desert SW from July 15 to August 20. Without any of the benefits from the monsoon.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

From a 500mb perspective, we've basically become part of the desert SW from July 15 to August 20. Without any of the benefits from the monsoon.

Meteorological fall is in just over a month!

[Cloud]

The GFS just want to throw us in the gauntlet thru mid-Aug. 

RIP 2022 August? 

[Deweydog]

13 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Wouldn't that cause more westerlies at the sfc tho?

Nah, it leads to more of a propensity for offshore flow. Or at least flatter thermal gradients overall. It’s the primary reason, with all things being equal, that the average highs on the coast remain at their peak for much longer than inland valley locations.  For example, Astoria’s seasonal max is 69 and remains there until 9/11.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

We're fuckked.

A clipper to our east in late August is gonna burn a lot, I have a bad feeling.

[snow_wizard]

20 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

From a 500mb perspective, we've basically become part of the desert SW from July 15 to August 20. Without any of the benefits from the monsoon.

This is probably why our autumn crashes have been so pronounced in recent years.  Once that 4CH gives out it just plunges.  I am seriously wondering if a cool summer is even possible anymore.  June can be cool as we saw this year, but sometimes the 4CH doesn't get it's act together in time to make that month torch.

[TT-SEA]

36 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Amazing how the cutoff low just ruins everything.  That stupid little thing absorbs an Eastern Pacific hurricane a bit later and then reeks further havoc on our pattern in week two.  Pretty much write off a cool August before it begins.

The ULL is not driving the pattern.   The pattern is driving the ULL.   It's a warm pattern.    

[snow_wizard]

SEA is running 6 behind yesterday at this time, but I think they still make 90.

As for cool weather this week.  The latest EPS still showed 4 days in the 70s.  I guess that's better than nothing.

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We're fuckked.

A clipper to our east in late August is gonna burn a lot, I have a bad feeling.

Late summer clippers can certainly be bad, and there's a high chance for one this year.

[BLI snowman]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This is probably why our autumn crashes have been so pronounced in recent years.  Once that 4CH gives out it just plunges.  I am seriously wondering if a cool summer is even possible anymore.  June can be cool as we saw this year, but sometimes the 4CH doesn't get it's act together in time to make that month torch.

June may not have been a total torch but it certainly wasn't cool.

[TT-SEA]

77 degrees and sunny here in Minnesota.  Perfection.   Everything is lush green although they say it's been a dry summer.   We left North Bend at 7:30 a.m. yesterday and arrived at 9 a.m. CDT here so 23.5 hour trip with two stops for sit down meals 

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

77 degrees and sunny here in Minnesota.  Perfection.   Everything is lush green although they say it's been a dry summer.   We left North Bend at 7:30 a.m. yesterday and arrived at 9 a.m. CDT here so 23.5 hour trip with two stops for sit down meals 

Wow, that’s all business. Why drive instead of fly?  Family tradition?

[Dave]

EUG had been understating what the conditions here are really like. "Mostly clear". More like very hazy and has been for the last day and a half. Thankfully, the smoke hasn't filtered down to the surface yet.

[Deweydog]

One thing to note is the fact that AK and the WGOA continue to get pounded with a continuation of this pattern…

Even the heat dome of last June was at least partially the downwind result of a historically strong system in the GOA a few days prior.

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Wow, that’s all business. Why drive instead of fly?  Family tradition?

Definitely a tradition of almost 20 years now.  And we have 4 drivers at this point so it's not bad.   I got about 6 hours of sleep last night and feel good.

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely a tradition of almost 20 years now.  And we have 4 drivers at this point so it's not bad.   I got about 6 hours of sleep last night and feel good.

That’s awesome. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely a tradition of almost 20 years now.  And we have 4 drivers at this point so it's not bad.   I got about 6 hours of sleep last night and feel good.

I'm such a backseat driver I could never sleep while someone else was driving. 

[Cloud]

10 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

One thing to note is the fact that AK and the WGOA continue to get pounded with a continuation of this pattern…

Even the heat dome of last June was at least partially the downwind result of a historically strong system in the GOA a few days prior.

Didn’t we experienced a similar pattern couple winters ago in the early winter with a semi-permanent Aleutian low? A pattern that didn’t break until late winter. Except this is now in the summertime? 

[FroYoBro]

14 minutes ago, Dave said:

EUG had been understating what the conditions here are really like. "Mostly clear". More like very hazy and has been for the last day and a half. Thankfully, the smoke hasn't filtered down to the surface yet.

I even notice a little bit of haze up here today. Not bad yet though. 

[T-Town]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm such a backseat driver I could never sleep while someone else was driving. 

I’m the same way. I envy people who can sleep in the car and especially on planes. I may doze for a few minutes but I never really sleep. 

[MossMan]

Had forgotten about this until I was digging in the back of the freezer while looking for something!

[Cloud]

SEA up to 81.
79 at home

Renton 83. 
 

Should easily crack the 90s egg today for a new record 

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Had forgotten about this until I was digging in the back of the freezer while looking for something!

Melting it off to cool down?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Had forgotten about this until I was digging in the back of the freezer while looking for something!

I wonder if anyone in Eugene has one from 1990?

[TacomaWx]

80 degrees…ready for this to be done been a long a** week. 

[Doinko]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Had forgotten about this until I was digging in the back of the freezer while looking for something!

PDX recorded an inch of snow with that event, I don't remember it, it might've been more of an north/east metro thing maybe.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

PDX recorded an inch of snow with that event, I don't remember it, it might've been more of an north/east metro thing maybe.

We had a couple inches, it was a lovely surprise since I didn’t think we were going to get anything. We were still at our old place about 20min from our current location. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Florida is an awful place to live.  

We are having 80 degrees with light rain and it feels good. 

[RentonHill]

oh god euro. make it stop i wanna get off this ride

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Indeed.  If you run them at night and turn them off during the day they work really good.  I have been putting a fan outside my patio screen door at night and that works even better.  Dropped to 61 here last night which really made it effective.

I have an electronic indoor/outdoor thermometer and I keep a close eye on it mornings and evenings. As soon as the outside temperature is cooler, I open the windows and set up the fans. As soon as that ceases to be the case, I close up.

[Anti Marine Layer]

6 hours ago, Phil said:

Summer is a lost cause until Yellowstone blows and saves us.

Solid trough/cooler than avg airmass and we still couldn’t drop below 73°F last night. Thought we had a real chance but..failsauce.

Off to FL.  

Why not to AK?