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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


The Blob

More original name title?  

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  1. 1. More original name title?

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    • Preferance Wars
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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

COVID numbers are actually much higher this year. However, most people have moved on. My Dad has been jabbed 4 times, but has COVID, unfortunately the vaccine turned out to be ineffective at preventing the virus. :(

I just meant the indoor restrictions are mostly gone especially compared to last year. Overall I agree but don’t want to get into the topic lol

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9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Heat tries to build back in early the following week.  Could be the GFS cutting things off too much as it sends the trough from the north out to sea. 

Yeah I see that….not really worried about +8 days out at this point though it’ll likely change as we all know. 

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6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Heat tries to build back in early the following week.  Could be the GFS cutting things off too much as it sends the trough from the north out to sea. 

I suspect you’re right. GFS loves to do that, and has been wrong every single time.

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I can’t believe this is still going so strong. Exceeding even my expectations.

No summer in the satellite era (and possibly since WWII) has seen trade winds like this. Really is unprecedented.

DBC0EE6A-B49C-4891-8062-6F407E98FB22.png

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In just 3 weeks, this surge of trades has obliterated the downwelling OKW that had taken months to reach the EPAC, and triggered a new upwelling wave with the snap of a finger. Easterly currents erupting across the equatorial Pacific now.

Can’t imagine what will happen towards the fall equinox as the ITCZ sinks southward and ENSO coupling increases even further along the equator.

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

In just 3 weeks, this surge of trades has obliterated the downwelling OKW that had taken months to reach the EPAC, and triggered a new upwelling wave with the snap of a finger. Easterly currents erupting across the equatorial Pacific now.

Can’t imagine what will happen towards the fall equinox as the ITCZ sinks southward and ENSO coupling increases even further along the equator.

 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Hmmmm ... but I bet he did something bad once...

88B20331-7793-4DB5-8665-BA4C371019DF.png

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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There’s a stupid amount of water in the air with this pattern. Tropics extend all the way up the east coast.

Also HOLY CRAP at those 2”+ PWATs in SW Arizona. :o That would be very unusual for them. Literally a gulf coast type airmass in the AZ desert.

756B3983-96BD-4A11-BB2D-D9ED24A26B6D.gif

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20 minutes ago, Phil said:

I can’t believe this is still going so strong. Exceeding even my expectations.

No summer in the satellite era (and possibly since WWII) has seen trade winds like this. Really is unprecedented.

DBC0EE6A-B49C-4891-8062-6F407E98FB22.png

Maybe that why Larry Cosgrove is in such denial it has cought everyone completely off guard that perhaps he doesn't want to admint he was wrong on this.besides that I can't understand  why he not seeing what everyone else is.seems strange to me 🤔.No harm to the guy just a bit confusing that all.

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Is Larry Cosgrove the DR Fauci of weather?

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Low of 49°F is prob one of the coldest in the nation this AM.

46°F here this morning headed for the upper 70’s.🥰

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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10 minutes ago, weatherfan2012 said:

Maybe that why Larry Cosgrove is in such denial it has cought everyone completely off guard that perhaps he doesn't want to admint he was wrong on this.besides that I can't understand  why he not seeing what everyone else is.seems strange to me 🤔.No harm to the guy just a bit confusing that all.

Everyone makes mistakes.

Forecasting long range weather/climate is basically knowing you’re going to be wrong, but if you keep your ratio of wrongness inside the boundaries of predictiveness it’s a win.

I reached the acceptance phase on this awhile back. Every now and then I’ll learn a new trick but for the most part it’s pattern recognition and luck, with a guarantee of being wrong at least 30% of the time.

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Revelling under this marine layer that I did not expect. Kind of taking it all in before the hellfire that's about to ensure.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Seems like the clouds today are in large part due to an upper level disturbance swinging through to the north.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Everyone makes mistakes.

Forecasting long range weather/climate is basically knowing you’re going to be wrong, but if you keep your ratio of wrongness inside the boundaries of predictiveness it’s a win.

I reached the acceptance phase on this awhile back. Every now and then I’ll learn a new trick but for the most part it’s pattern recognition and luck, with a guarantee of being wrong at least 30% of the time.

So true

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Sunny now. Let the hellfire commence. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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E35F8018-609D-400E-930D-12322A34CB4B.jpeg

on my ballgame deeds again 😈😈

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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40 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Perhaps that will help suppress temps a bit?

Already is! Just barely clearing off with difficulty at 1 here in Seattle. Still in the 60s.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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54 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sunny now. Let the hellfire commence. 

You may not see low clouds for another 150-something plus hours.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

You may not see low clouds for another 150-something plus hours.

Well we pretty much never saw them last July. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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