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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


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7 minutes ago, Cloud said:

94 for SEA. Fell short of the record. 
 

I think the breeze kept things a bit cooler today. 

SEA jumped to 95 on the inter hour Obs. but may end up at 94 still. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

The worst is yet to come when the smoke starts up. Overall we got lucky last year with minimal smoke on the west side im doubtful that happens again. 

Yeah, we're going to have a long stretch of favorable winds with general southerly flow remaining in place aloft while those troughs dump and die off the coast.

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Posted (edited)

My dog is ready for fall. 

 

2DA07135-0E1F-41D2-ABFA-618258F52EDF.jpeg

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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The air quality visibility is pretty poor towards the Cascade's.  It looks horrible today and has all week. Air quality is moderate to unhealthy for sensitive groups throughout much of western Washington and Oregon. The peak of bad air is south King, Pierce and Lewis Counties. This is with no wildfire smoke in the air. It is forecasted to be worse tomorrow (Sunday).

Thankfully to the south, California's fires aren't producing a ton of smoke.  There is smoke being produced in fires in Central CA.  The big concern right now is the smoke being produced from fires in British Columbia with a major fire in Lytton producing lots of smoke, and a remote fire producing smoke north of Campbell River on the mainland.

DSCN0916.JPG

DSCN0917.JPG

Screen Shot 2022-07-30 at 5.18.05 PM.png

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52 minutes ago, James Jones said:

Models look absolutely awful today. Smokefest should start up pretty soon if they're close to correct. 

Incredible how all the models delayed and watered down the trough so drastically just 3-4 days out. Obviously these wandering ULLs are hard for the models to handle but it's still pretty remarkable.

 

The writing was on the wall for awhile with that one. Never a good sign to see a feature like that get continuously delayed and pushed back across most if not all guidance over a period of several days.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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24 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

The worst is yet to come when the smoke starts up. Overall we got lucky last year with minimal smoke on the west side im doubtful that happens again. 

You got lucky last year, we had a lot of smoke down this way. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The writing was on the wall for awhile with that one. Never a good sign to see a feature like that get continuously delayed and pushed back across most if not all guidance over a period of several days.

Kudos to the operational ECMWF for picking that up.

Man that’s a good f**king model.

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1 minute ago, James Jones said:

At least September has been reasonable. Really haven't had a torch since 2014, though 2020 probably would've been if not for the smokeversion. 

2020 was pretty warm, but would have been top 5 warm easily if not for the smoke.  

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You got lucky last year, we had a lot of smoke down this way. 

I thought it wasn’t terrible down there…but I guess everything doesn’t seem terrible compared to September 2020. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Kudos to the operational ECMWF for picking that up.

Man that’s a good f**king model.

The way the Euro was sticking to its guns run after run was enough to tell what was going to happen. It waffled and moved toward the GFS on a few runs but was way more consistent overall.

Hopefully PDX can sneak an 89 or something in at some point later next week before the next big dome of heat builds!!

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

2020 was pretty warm, but would have been top 5 warm easily if not for the smoke.  

It would have been near record if not record warm up this way based purely on upper level temps.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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5 minutes ago, James Jones said:

At least September has been reasonable. Really haven't had a torch since 2014, though 2020 probably would've been if not for the smokeversion. 

Been pretty reasonable but it's always a needle thread job for us given the carnage that's come before it. It doesn't take much additional insult on top of our festering open summer wound to inflict some pretty nasty damage by that point, a la September 2017.

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Pic from back seat as my sons are doing the driving now.    Beautiful Bozeman... 93 degrees per car and no smoke!  

20220730_183541.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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WILDFIRE UPDATE

NEW Known Wildfires started today! 7/30/22 

Washington - 6 (Six new fires broke out with two being controlled and the others having minimal chance of spreading. No major fires. Many fires put out in the past 24hrs, especially in southern WA.  Total is back to 18.) Total: 18

Oregon - 6 (Six new fires started, two have been put out, the rest are being monitored.  The major fire near Ontario has been downgraded as crews get the upper hand. Total increases by one since yesterday.  The real issue is the growth and spread of fires right on the Oregon-California border.) Total: 23

Idaho - 2 (One new fire north of Boise. The former three major fires in the state have been downgraded as crews have gotten the upper hand.  One is completely out. Total fires increased by two. ) Total: 10

British Columbia - 45 (An explosion of wildfires in BC continues to occur.  There are now two major fires as crews have lost containment of the Lytton fire.  We had warned a few days ago of possible fire spread from a small blaze fast near Okanogan Falls.  This fire has now become a large fire and is along Highway 3A.  Several smaller fires are now listed as "out of control" and their size will continue to grow in the coming days as winds will pick up.  BC is ground zero for fires spreading, smoke producing, and no crews putting fires out.  The total went up from sixty three to seventy one..) Total: 71 

SMOKE UPDATE

The only fires producing smoke with impacts are deep within the Bitterroot Range of Idaho.  No fires in Washington or Oregon are currently producing smoke with any large impact. Surprisingly fires in California are not producing much smoke, including a large blaze along the CA-OR border.  But there still is some smoke and ash in the southern regions of OR, especially Ashland and Medford. There is smoke producing fires in souther California, but guidance models do not show them blowing north.

The big concern is currently fires British Columbia with a fire producing smoke north of Campbell River and the Lytton fire producing smoke.  These are impacting the valleys they are located in and produce the risk of flowing into populated areas such as Vancouver BC and Seattle Metro if winds change to Offshore. A new major fire has grown near Okanogan Falls BC, and it will likely produce smoke that drifts into the Okanogan Valley of Washington as well. 

 

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3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

KHQM finally got up to 70° again since the start of this warmer than normal spell.  Got to 86° here, currently 82°.

Typo, it is currently 72° here.  Very plessant evening. 

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Day #5 of >100 highs at KLMT. 102 today, daily record was 101 in 1988.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Next few days may get iffy as far as the fire situation goes as rounds of thunderstorms impact areas of parch dry fuels-- obviously any area can get lucky with a good downpour but the inverse goes for a strike of lightning causing a spark. I would expect at least a few fire starts and in areas such as southern and central OR, where things won't quite cool down substantially for a while, these could get problematic. Really wish that low is pushing in instead of meandering off the coast.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Just sit in your pool lounger and wait for the cocktail server to come by. 

I am still waiting, service here sucks!

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pic from back seat as my sons are doing the driving now.    Beautiful Bozeman... 93 degrees per car and no smoke!  

20220730_183541.jpg

Topped out at 89F south of town today (in the hills at your 1 o’clock in that pic!) Couple more hot days then hopefully we cool down and get some rain next week! 

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Cold Season 2022/23:

Total snowfall: 44"

Highest daily snowfall: 18"

Deepest snow depth: 16"

Coldest high: 8ºF

Coldest low: -7ºF

Number of subzero days: 6

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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There have only been 3 summers with more 90+ days in Seattle.   

1958

2015

2018

#ninapaybacksummer

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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A little progress. 

B2A10F19-D8B3-45E2-AEB9-F46A0C1CD520.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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91/63 today. We will see if we hit 90 again tomorrow could be a close call here. Either way 5 in a row is the most I’ve seen. Down to 87 now. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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  • Longtimer
41 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Time to talk to the manager!!

I have met her…Think I will keep waiting patiently and not say a word. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A little progress. 

B2A10F19-D8B3-45E2-AEB9-F46A0C1CD520.jpeg

Make sure your Subarus are in tip top shape, they are going to get a massive workout this winter! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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2 hours ago, RentonHillTC said:

but serious, i'm curious what you are seeing? #study #studentoflife #praisegod

The 12z had that insane blocking north of the Aleutians in goober range. No way it verifies, but it’s a sign of lengthening wavelengths and the fact they allow for more truly meridional patterns.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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25 minutes ago, T-Town said:

The Mariners actually beat the Astros. 

This should be a lesson to those who think midsummer troughing is impossible.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

The 12z had that insane blocking north of the Aleutians in goober range. No way it verifies, but it’s a sign of lengthening wavelengths and the fact they allow for more truly meridional patterns.

Same reason we are capable of hot weather in September. Large blocking highs with very warm temps aloft formed by decreasing wavenumbers

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Same reason we are capable of hot weather in September. Large blocking highs with very warm temps aloft formed by decreasing wavenumbers

Kind of like a summer musical chairs…someone gets stuck with the last heat blob??

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