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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


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Some high clouds have kept temps in check so far. Just 70F right now.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 22, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 1 (Most recent: Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Actually pretty excited about the convective potential this coming weekend with the transitional setup. Could be interesting.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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Quite a bit cooler than yesterday so far in DT. Hovering around 70F... does not feel warm yet. Large tightening of the W-E pressure gradient causing much stronger onshore flow. Could lead to an underperformance today but we'll see. Sometimes thermals can "break" or overpower local sea breezes and spike temps during the afternoon.

Currently running 8F cooler than this time yesterday and gunning for a high in the mid 80s. Seems realistic given the sfc details (onshore flow, high humidity.) With the humidity of the seabreeze though it will not feel nice out there by any means.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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Had a feeling the global models were a bit to overzealous on high temps late this week. Pattern just doesn't really reflect 90F+ temps.

Of course in saying this I am guaranteeing a huge push to 98F this afternoon, just like what the GFS is showing.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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74E9EBB1-016B-457B-A184-ECFF37F26BB0.png

I think @Phil will find this the most funny.... GFS is currently running *14F* too warm on a forecast initialized 4 hours ago... 😬

  • lol 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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37 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Had a feeling the global models were a bit to overzealous on high temps late this week. Pattern just doesn't really reflect 90F+ temps.

Of course in saying this I am guaranteeing a huge push to 98F this afternoon, just like what the GFS is showing.

73 at SEA at 11 a.m. with a SW wind does not seem like 90-degree day.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just 83F so this is feeling cooler than yesterday.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 22, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 1 (Most recent: Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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12Z ECMWF is less consolidated on Monday... ULL offshore is more disconnected.    Its back to showing mid 80s to low 90s that day.   Might just be a delay though as trough is dropping down from the north by the end of Monday.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

As expected in multi-year Nina situation in which the Nina is rapidly strengthening again.   🤨

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF shows a nice cool down on Tuesday... but instead of clouds and rain like the 00Z run showed this run is sunny that day.  

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-9484800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-clouds_fourpanel-9484800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 minutes ago, Kayla said:

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

Tomorrow and Saturday will be close to 100, but Friday has definitely emerged as another day with spike potential. WRF has even thrown in a touch of mid level downslope. 103-104 seems like a decent call if that comes to pass.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Tomorrow and Saturday will be close to 100, but Friday has definitely emerged as another day with spike potential. WRF has even thrown in a touch of mid level downslope. 103-104 seems like a decent call if that comes to pass.

Yeah Friday and Saturday are suddenly looking like the peak of this thing. 12z ECMWF is showing 100, 104, 102 for the next three days. FWIW, the Euro has been running 2-3 degrees cool over the last couple of days. 

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Seems the Euro is back to its old cutoff low bias. Color me skeptical. 

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Over 2.5 degrees behind where we were yesterday.

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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26 minutes ago, Kayla said:

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

I was expecting yesterday to be the hottest and only day PDX would reach triple digits, still remaining hot though through the weekend. I wasn't expecting another spike into the 100s and certainly not with those temperatures. This heatwave has certainly overacheived.

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6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Yeah Friday and Saturday are suddenly looking like the peak of this thing. 12z ECMWF is showing 100, 104, 102 for the next three days. FWIW, the Euro has been running 2-3 degrees cool over the last couple of days. 

I’d go 100/103/99.

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’d go 100/103/99.

I'd tend to agree with that Saturday forecast with the marine push. I think Friday has a shot at 105-106 though.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I'd tend to agree with that Saturday forecast with the marine push. I think Friday has a shot at 105-106 though.

Yeah, Friday has some real high end potential. Tentative setup though, especially with heights barely exceeding 590dm.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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48 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Yeah Friday and Saturday are suddenly looking like the peak of this thing. 12z ECMWF is showing 100, 104, 102 for the next three days. FWIW, the Euro has been running 2-3 degrees cool over the last couple of days. 

00z EURO last night had a high of 95 for PDX today. But the 12z run today bumped them up to 97. Will be interesting to see how well it does for today's high.

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89 in North Bend now... and surprisingly the dewpoint is up to 70 there.

I though that might be wrong but the station up here is showing a dewpoint of 69.   

It does feel more humid today even though it probably won't get as hot as it did yesterday.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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