On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[Front Ranger]

8 hours ago, Deweydog said:

90 at midnight at The Dalles.

Morning low of 69, though. 

[TacomaWx]

Still warming up fast but we’re not quite matching yesterdays pace. Gonna be a warm day either way 68 currently. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Some high clouds have kept temps in check so far. Just 70F right now.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Only got down to 20.5°C outside and 23.5 inside, even with two window fans running all night. Yuck!

[TacomaWx]

Gfs also showing some precipitation in early august. Not as much as the euro but better than nothing. 

[Meatyorologist]

Actually pretty excited about the convective potential this coming weekend with the transitional setup. Could be interesting.

[ShawniganLake]

No marine air made it in here this morning as of yet. Already up to 80

[smerfylicious]

Ita currently 79 here and there is a surprising amount of haze/smoke in Sky Valley. Wasn't expecting any low level haze but it's settled down to the valley floor here.

[T-Town]

Bellingham and Everett warmer than Portland at 9 am. Don’t see that every day. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Bellingham and Everett warmer than Portland at 9 am. Don’t see that every day. 

I get the feeling we will catch up a bit on temps later today but we should still end up cooler than the north sound. Up to 70 here now. 

[T-Town]

8 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I get the feeling we will catch up a bit on temps later today but we should still end up cooler than the north sound. Up to 70 here now. 

69 here so I’m cooler than you at the moment. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

69 here so I’m cooler than you at the moment. 

The wind being onshore today versus offshore yesterday makes the difference. 

[ShawniganLake]

On an absolutely torrid pace here this morning. 85F at 10am. I think we will almost certainly see a bit of a sea breeze this afternoon though. 

[GobBluth]

Portland currently -6 to yesterday. 

[Meatyorologist]

Quite a bit cooler than yesterday so far in DT. Hovering around 70F... does not feel warm yet. Large tightening of the W-E pressure gradient causing much stronger onshore flow. Could lead to an underperformance today but we'll see. Sometimes thermals can "break" or overpower local sea breezes and spike temps during the afternoon.

Currently running 8F cooler than this time yesterday and gunning for a high in the mid 80s. Seems realistic given the sfc details (onshore flow, high humidity.) With the humidity of the seabreeze though it will not feel nice out there by any means.

[Meatyorologist]

Had a feeling the global models were a bit to overzealous on high temps late this week. Pattern just doesn't really reflect 90F+ temps.

Of course in saying this I am guaranteeing a huge push to 98F this afternoon, just like what the GFS is showing.

[Meatyorologist]

I think @Phil will find this the most funny.... GFS is currently running *14F* too warm on a forecast initialized 4 hours ago...

[Frontal Snowsquall]

46 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

Portland currently -6 to yesterday. 

KPTV forecast for today. Will see if any locations can make it to 100 again. I think most locations will be 97-99.

[TT-SEA]

37 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Had a feeling the global models were a bit to overzealous on high temps late this week. Pattern just doesn't really reflect 90F+ temps.

Of course in saying this I am guaranteeing a huge push to 98F this afternoon, just like what the GFS is showing.

73 at SEA at 11 a.m. with a SW wind does not seem like 90-degree day.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just 83F so this is feeling cooler than yesterday.

[bainbridgekid]

Everett up to 81 at 11am. Two degrees warmer than yesterday when we topped out at 90.

[MossMan]

It’s over. 

[Kayla]

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is less consolidated on Monday... ULL offshore is more disconnected.    Its back to showing mid 80s to low 90s that day.   Might just be a delay though as trough is dropping down from the north by the end of Monday.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

As expected in multi-year Nina situation in which the Nina is rapidly strengthening again.   

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows a nice cool down on Tuesday... but instead of clouds and rain like the 00Z run showed this run is sunny that day.  

 

[Deweydog]

12 minutes ago, Kayla said:

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

Tomorrow and Saturday will be close to 100, but Friday has definitely emerged as another day with spike potential. WRF has even thrown in a touch of mid level downslope. 103-104 seems like a decent call if that comes to pass.

[TT-SEA]

The 12Z ECMWF finally gets there by Thursday with the trough pulling the ULL inland with some rain being shown.  

[Kayla]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Tomorrow and Saturday will be close to 100, but Friday has definitely emerged as another day with spike potential. WRF has even thrown in a touch of mid level downslope. 103-104 seems like a decent call if that comes to pass.

Yeah Friday and Saturday are suddenly looking like the peak of this thing. 12z ECMWF is showing 100, 104, 102 for the next three days. FWIW, the Euro has been running 2-3 degrees cool over the last couple of days. 

[Kayla]

Seems the Euro is back to its old cutoff low bias. Color me skeptical. 

[jakerepp]

Over 2.5 degrees behind where we were yesterday.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

26 minutes ago, Kayla said:

After a slight dip down into the upper 90's today, Thursday-Saturday are now looking like 102-106 at PDX. So 4 out of 5 days well into the 100's. Brutal stretch.

Another thing that has kind of flown under the radar with this heatwave; PDX is going to make a run at a top five hottest month on record by the time we get to Sunday.

I was expecting yesterday to be the hottest and only day PDX would reach triple digits, still remaining hot though through the weekend. I wasn't expecting another spike into the 100s and certainly not with those temperatures. This heatwave has certainly overacheived.

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Yeah Friday and Saturday are suddenly looking like the peak of this thing. 12z ECMWF is showing 100, 104, 102 for the next three days. FWIW, the Euro has been running 2-3 degrees cool over the last couple of days. 

I’d go 100/103/99.

[Kayla]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’d go 100/103/99.

I'd tend to agree with that Saturday forecast with the marine push. I think Friday has a shot at 105-106 though.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I'd tend to agree with that Saturday forecast with the marine push. I think Friday has a shot at 105-106 though.

Yeah, Friday has some real high end potential. Tentative setup though, especially with heights barely exceeding 590dm.

[TacomaWx]

We’re actually catching up with yesterday now…79 now. 

[TacomaWx]

Short term devastating trends but long term improvements I guess. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

48 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Yeah Friday and Saturday are suddenly looking like the peak of this thing. 12z ECMWF is showing 100, 104, 102 for the next three days. FWIW, the Euro has been running 2-3 degrees cool over the last couple of days. 

00z EURO last night had a high of 95 for PDX today. But the 12z run today bumped them up to 97. Will be interesting to see how well it does for today's high.

[TT-SEA]

89 in North Bend now... and surprisingly the dewpoint is up to 70 there.

I though that might be wrong but the station up here is showing a dewpoint of 69.   

It does feel more humid today even though it probably won't get as hot as it did yesterday.  

[Frontal Snowsquall]

26 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Short term devastating trends but long term improvements I guess. 

It would be nice to get a stormy day or two after this heat wave.