On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's unusually robust this year.  Vegas for instance usually doesn't get the action they have seen this year.  Pretty hard to make the case the big picture isn't as I said.

I don’t think it’s been all the unusually robust so far. Maybe on the wetter side of normal for some spots but others are running deficits it seems. As normal, it’s hit or miss.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

I don’t think it’s been all the unusually robust so far. Maybe on the wetter side of normal for some spots but others are running deficits it seems. As normal, it’s hit or miss.

Hopefully it bumps up lake mead a bit. 

[TacomaWx]

19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

79 now!

76 there 84 here. 

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Hopefully it bumps up lake mead a bit. 

I think Lake Mead is mainly fed and supported by snowmelt. Maybe these monsoons can help slow the lake's seasonal decline?

[Deweydog]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

I think Lake Mead is mainly fed and supported by snowmelt. Maybe these monsoons can help slow the lake's seasonal decline?

I think the only positive impact is indirect. Short term reduction in consumption for irrigation, etc.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 78F DP 62F so we should be able to get the windows open and properly cool the house down. What a fuckkin' 8 days...

[TT-SEA]

GFS shows PDX flirting with 100 next weekend again.    Ugghhhh.

[snow_wizard]

The 0z GFS has MUCH cooler 850s on Thursday than last night's 0z did.  Nice to see!

[snow_wizard]

27 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Down to 78F DP 62F so we should be able to get the windows open and properly cool the house down. What a fuckkin' 8 days...

At least it was only 6 days of hell here.  As somebody else said....what a long week.

[SnowWillarrive]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Nice to see how much the dp has dropped today.  Should cool off a bit faster this evening.

Temps definitely dropping faster here tonight. 

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, Doiinko said:

2nd shade of blue! 

[snow_wizard]

Oh boy!  This runs shows clear skies and lows dropping into the 40s on Thursday night.  Sounds like pure bliss!

[Anti Marine Layer]

It'll be August in a few hours. What will the August thread be called?

[snow_wizard]

I'll be absolutely shocked if that cutoff low stays out there as long as the GFS is showing.  That is going to give the models some fits I'm thinking.

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

It'll be August in a few hours. What will the August thread be called?

Good question.  I've really grown to dislike that month is recent years.

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

It’s the peak of monsoon season.

Making up for the non-existent monsoon season of 2020.

[snow_wizard]

Kind of mind blowing October is only 2 months out now.  Time goes so fast.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Mr Marine Layer said:

Making up for the non-existent monsoon season of 2020.

From what I understand last year had a pretty good monsoon also.

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Kind of mind blowing October is only 2 months out now.  Time goes so fast.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/qz.com/1516804/physics-explains-why-time-passes-faster-as-you-age/amp/

[Chewbacca Defense]

91/61 today, currently 74.  Have I mentioned I am looking forward to things cooling off for a bit?

[MossMan]

Carbon copy of yesterday though it’s a little cooler tonight than last night.

92/59 on the day.

Currently 62. 
What an amazing stretch of weather this has been!! 

Edited August 1, 2022 by MossMan

[Meatyorologist]

[snow_wizard]

Looks like the 6000 heights over the GOA have actually verified.  If not for that cutoff low we would probably be going into a really abnormal cool period this week.

[snow_wizard]

To further explain my last post...Such an intense GOA block would normally have a very deep and cold downstream trough over the NW.  We've all seen cutoff lows off the coast mess up cold patterns in the winter.  Same thing.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

5 hours ago, Doiinko said:

The KPTV forecast fire smoke forecast keeps the smoke east of the Cascades. I hope it's correct.

[LowerGarfield]

8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt it will.  Where do you think all of the power will come from when we are all ordered to drive electric cars?

Where I live, it's the dams. I'm otherwise a Dem but agree with the locals on the importance of dams esp with electrical needs and commerce for the Snake River region. The dam breeching is the one topic roundly hated from Walla Walla to Lewiston.

Anyway, saw some smoke to the east before sunset. Not sure how it is at the moment. Fall will be here before we know it.

[Meatyorologist]

Looking forward to Thursday. Should be a cool and mostly cloudy day finally.

[LowerGarfield]

7 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

not over here, go thru tomorrow night

A fire weather watch accompanies it here too.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Kind of mind blowing October is only 2 months out now.  Time goes so fast.

Before we know it we will start seeing frost! ❄ 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Bye July. Was actually a relatively “normal” feeling and pleasant summer month until the last week at which point everything went to hell. Par for the course for any summer month these days.

[NWbyNW]

7 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

You can change font size by highlighting your text in the editor box, then opening the "size" dropdown menu in the upper right.

Whatever size you select will be applied to the highlighted text.

And you can make it any size you want!

I don't have a size option in my editor box.  See image below.  maybe only admins can do that.

[NWbyNW]

3 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Roll the credits, SHUT IT DOWN!

You don’t have to go home but you can’t stay here…

PDX:

92/59

99/66

102/67

96/67

96/67

100/69

102/69

98/69

SEA:

84/56

87/62

94/65

91/61

94/61

95/63

95/63

95/65

 

 

 

Thank you.  That is pretty incredible.  I remember when the models were saying that Tuesday might be the hottest day.  I can't believe the hotel days came towards the end of the heatwave and just stayed hot.  Even Monday is going to be hot to traditional NW standards.  

[NWbyNW]

As mentioned in my earlier wildfire/smoke update post, models do show lower level smoke making it's way through much of western Oregon, and eastern Oregon.  We can only hope it blows east, but who knows exactly what will happen.  It is likely the Portland metro will be good for a few days, but the possibility of some high aloft smoke isn't out of the question.  

Washington looks pretty smoke free on all models I've looked at, at least nothing low to the ground.

But models can totally be wrong, they are just ... models... estimates... guesses....

 

 

 

Good bye July, excited to see you AUGUST! 

[Blizzard777]

Page Az.  In the 90s but just doesn’t really matter.  Been enjoying the constant storms everyday popping up around me. Last night from my hotel room I enjoyed this cell all night long.  Looked to be over the Grand Canyon area.  Sorry about the music in video…neighboring room playing his music. 
attachimg video but I know it usually doesn’t play for some so will attached one still shot. 

[Phil]

8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like the 6000 heights over the GOA have actually verified.  If not for that cutoff low we would probably be going into a really abnormal cool period this week.

Tim is correct that the poleward +U wind is what’s leading to the ULL tendency in the pattern (and is associated with the bloated 4CH).

It’s not that one ULL is altering the entire pattern, more that the nature of the pattern is allowing for the existence of the ULL.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Its amazing how much difference 5 degrees can make.  I woke up to a most glorious 56 degrees and had a shiver while standing out in the back yard with the dog.  I LOVED IT!

Its getting in to the range for me to start paying attention to the weather in Georgia.  Not looking forward to the heat, but hoping for a proper thunderstorm while I am back there.  Currently 78 with the DP at 73 back there......UGH

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Its amazing how much difference 5 degrees can make.  I woke up to a most glorious 56 degrees and had a shiver while standing out in the back yard with the dog.  I LOVED IT!

Its getting in to the range for me to start paying attention to the weather in Georgia.  Not looking forward to the heat, but hoping for a proper thunderstorm while I am back there.  Currently 78 with the DP at 73 back there......UGH

Wrong thread!

[Phishy Wx]

23 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Its amazing how much difference 5 degrees can make.  I woke up to a most glorious 56 degrees and had a shiver while standing out in the back yard with the dog.  I LOVED IT!

Its getting in to the range for me to start paying attention to the weather in Georgia.  Not looking forward to the heat, but hoping for a proper thunderstorm while I am back there.  Currently 78 with the DP at 73 back there......UGH

I always wish for a massive Summer Thunderboomer when I go home to SC.

[Phishy Wx]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

I always wish for a massive Summer Thunderboomer when I go home to SC.

maybe even some Tropical WX action

[Chewbacca Defense]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wrong thread!

Oh yeah I guess it is August LOL!

[Blizzard777]

Grand Falls near Flagstaff with monsoon runoff! 
I also have these lovely  mammatus clouds overhead as well at my Airbnb in Flagstaff!  Great day all around. Loving this trip so far 

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Grand Falls near Flagstaff with monsoon runoff! 
I also have these lovely  mammatus clouds overhead as well at my Airbnb in Flagstaff!  Great day all around. Loving this trip so far 

Really nice stuff but it’s August now.

[Blizzard777]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really nice stuff but it’s August now.

I reposted a moment ago….lol

[Dave]

It's fcuking roasting down here. I thought we had a few days of relief. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

39 minutes ago, Dave said:

It's fcuking roasting down here. I thought we had a few days of relief. 

It's August 2.