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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


The Blob

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Just now, Deweydog said:

It’s the peak of monsoon season.

It's unusually robust this year.  Vegas for instance usually doesn't get the action they have seen this year.  Pretty hard to make the case the big picture isn't as I said.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's unusually robust this year.  Vegas for instance usually doesn't get the action they have seen this year.  Pretty hard to make the case the big picture isn't as I said.

I don’t think it’s been all the unusually robust so far. Maybe on the wetter side of normal for some spots but others are running deficits it seems. As normal, it’s hit or miss.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

I don’t think it’s been all the unusually robust so far. Maybe on the wetter side of normal for some spots but others are running deficits it seems. As normal, it’s hit or miss.

Hopefully it bumps up lake mead a bit. 

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-4

+85s-2

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Hopefully it bumps up lake mead a bit. 

I think Lake Mead is mainly fed and supported by snowmelt. Maybe these monsoons can help slow the lake's seasonal decline?

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

I think Lake Mead is mainly fed and supported by snowmelt. Maybe these monsoons can help slow the lake's seasonal decline?

I think the only positive impact is indirect. Short term reduction in consumption for irrigation, etc.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Down to 78F DP 62F so we should be able to get the windows open and properly cool the house down. What a fuckkin' 8 days...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 16F (Jan 30, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 1.2"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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The 0z GFS has MUCH cooler 850s on Thursday than last night's 0z did.  Nice to see!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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27 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Down to 78F DP 62F so we should be able to get the windows open and properly cool the house down. What a fuckkin' 8 days...

At least it was only 6 days of hell here.  As somebody else said....what a long week.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Oh boy!  This runs shows clear skies and lows dropping into the 40s on Thursday night.  Sounds like pure bliss!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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I'll be absolutely shocked if that cutoff low stays out there as long as the GFS is showing.  That is going to give the models some fits I'm thinking.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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6 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

It'll be August in a few hours. What will the August thread be called?

Good question.  I've really grown to dislike that month is recent years.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Kind of mind blowing October is only 2 months out now.  Time goes so fast.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Just now, Mr Marine Layer said:

Making up for the non-existent monsoon season of 2020.

From what I understand last year had a pretty good monsoon also.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Carbon copy of yesterday though it’s a little cooler tonight than last night.

92/59 on the day.

Currently 62. 
What an amazing stretch of weather this has been!! 

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Looks like the 6000 heights over the GOA have actually verified.  If not for that cutoff low we would probably be going into a really abnormal cool period this week.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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To further explain my last post...Such an intense GOA block would normally have a very deep and cold downstream trough over the NW.  We've all seen cutoff lows off the coast mess up cold patterns in the winter.  Same thing.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt it will.  Where do you think all of the power will come from when we are all ordered to drive electric cars?

Where I live, it's the dams. I'm otherwise a Dem but agree with the locals on the importance of dams esp with electrical needs and commerce for the Snake River region. The dam breeching is the one topic roundly hated from Walla Walla to Lewiston.

Anyway, saw some smoke to the east before sunset. Not sure how it is at the moment. Fall will be here before we know it.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 13.9 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 2.20 inches (12/19/22 & 12/20/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) .10 on 3/08/23

Days with trace or more snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5), 12/14/22 (1.6), 12/18/22 (T), 12/19/22 (2.10), 12/20/22 (.10), 12/23/22 (2.0), 01/03/2023 (T), 1/22/23 (T), 2/21/23 (.10), 2/22/23 (.80), 2/23/23 (.20), 2/24/2023 (.50), 2/28/23 (.90), 3/5/2023 (2.0), 3/8/2023 (.10)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 0F (12/21/2022)

Last sub freezing high:  2/23/23

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location  (I've also had a White Christmas in 2017 when I lived in Stanwood and a White Christmas at a hotel in Moscow, ID in 2020). 

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Looking forward to Thursday. Should be a cool and mostly cloudy day finally.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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7 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

not over here, go thru tomorrow night

A fire weather watch accompanies it here too.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 13.9 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 2.20 inches (12/19/22 & 12/20/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) .10 on 3/08/23

Days with trace or more snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5), 12/14/22 (1.6), 12/18/22 (T), 12/19/22 (2.10), 12/20/22 (.10), 12/23/22 (2.0), 01/03/2023 (T), 1/22/23 (T), 2/21/23 (.10), 2/22/23 (.80), 2/23/23 (.20), 2/24/2023 (.50), 2/28/23 (.90), 3/5/2023 (2.0), 3/8/2023 (.10)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 0F (12/21/2022)

Last sub freezing high:  2/23/23

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location  (I've also had a White Christmas in 2017 when I lived in Stanwood and a White Christmas at a hotel in Moscow, ID in 2020). 

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7 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

You can change font size by highlighting your text in the editor box, then opening the "size" dropdown menu in the upper right.

Whatever size you select will be applied to the highlighted text.

And you can make it any size you want!

I don't have a size option in my editor box.  See image below.  maybe only admins can do that.

Screen Shot 2022-07-31 at 11.58.49 PM.png

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3 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Roll the credits, SHUT IT DOWN!

You don’t have to go home but you can’t stay here…

PDX:

92/59

99/66

102/67

96/67

96/67

100/69

102/69

98/69

SEA:

84/56

87/62

94/65

91/61

94/61

95/63

95/63

95/65

 

 

 

Thank you.  That is pretty incredible.  I remember when the models were saying that Tuesday might be the hottest day.  I can't believe the hotel days came towards the end of the heatwave and just stayed hot.  Even Monday is going to be hot to traditional NW standards.  

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As mentioned in my earlier wildfire/smoke update post, models do show lower level smoke making it's way through much of western Oregon, and eastern Oregon.  We can only hope it blows east, but who knows exactly what will happen.  It is likely the Portland metro will be good for a few days, but the possibility of some high aloft smoke isn't out of the question.  

Washington looks pretty smoke free on all models I've looked at, at least nothing low to the ground.

But models can totally be wrong, they are just ... models... estimates... guesses....

 

 

Screen Shot 2022-08-01 at 12.09.27 AM.png

 

Good bye July, excited to see you AUGUST! 

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Page Az.  In the 90s but just doesn’t really matter.  Been enjoying the constant storms everyday popping up around me. Last night from my hotel room I enjoyed this cell all night long.  Looked to be over the Grand Canyon area.  Sorry about the music in video…neighboring room playing his music. 
attachimg video but I know it usually doesn’t play for some so will attached one still shot. 

EDA6B98F-5F61-4253-A954-93004A61B3ED.png

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8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like the 6000 heights over the GOA have actually verified.  If not for that cutoff low we would probably be going into a really abnormal cool period this week.

Tim is correct that the poleward +U wind is what’s leading to the ULL tendency in the pattern (and is associated with the bloated 4CH).

It’s not that one ULL is altering the entire pattern, more that the nature of the pattern is allowing for the existence of the ULL.

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Its amazing how much difference 5 degrees can make.  I woke up to a most glorious 56 degrees and had a shiver while standing out in the back yard with the dog.  I LOVED IT!

Its getting in to the range for me to start paying attention to the weather in Georgia.  Not looking forward to the heat, but hoping for a proper thunderstorm while I am back there.  Currently 78 with the DP at 73 back there......UGH

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10 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Its amazing how much difference 5 degrees can make.  I woke up to a most glorious 56 degrees and had a shiver while standing out in the back yard with the dog.  I LOVED IT!

Its getting in to the range for me to start paying attention to the weather in Georgia.  Not looking forward to the heat, but hoping for a proper thunderstorm while I am back there.  Currently 78 with the DP at 73 back there......UGH

Wrong thread!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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23 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Its amazing how much difference 5 degrees can make.  I woke up to a most glorious 56 degrees and had a shiver while standing out in the back yard with the dog.  I LOVED IT!

Its getting in to the range for me to start paying attention to the weather in Georgia.  Not looking forward to the heat, but hoping for a proper thunderstorm while I am back there.  Currently 78 with the DP at 73 back there......UGH

I always wish for a massive Summer Thunderboomer when I go home to SC.

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