Jump to content

On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


The Blob

More original name title?  

21 members have voted

  1. 1. More original name title?

    • Yes
      8
    • No
      4
    • Preferance Wars
      9

This poll is closed to new votes


Recommended Posts

There isn't going to be a heat wave... its not meant to be this summer.    I am just hoping we can hit our stride with consistent dry weather and afternoon sun now with pleasant temps.  

  • Confused 1
  • Sad 1
  • Weenie 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The forecast here looks absolutely perfect after today... no more rain every other day and no spike into the 90s and then a crash into the 60s like we just saw.    This would be ideal.  

Screenshot_20220706-060810_Google.jpg

  • Like 2
  • Rain 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Mild morning... and does not look like it rained overnight more than just sprinkles.    61 here and at SEA.   Dewpoint is 59 at SEA this morning so that will make temps in the low to mid 70s today feel warmer.  

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

You want your cost per swing to be as low as possible.   The cost is fixed... so better take lots of swings!  

EXACTLY!!!  I got my start in the "white collar" world as an estimator/cost analyst, so I'm all about getting the best bang for your buck!

For a while, the "lost ball" co-efficient really screwed up the math, even though I used free golf balls (benefits of being on the company tournament committee) and playing on a lot of 4 man scramble tournaments.

Now I only lose 1-2 a round, most of my score is due to putting, topping the ball or sending the beaver pelt farther than the ball.  I just need to play more....I get lucky every once in a while, I have won a straightest drive competition, and I "nailed
" a KTP competition at 16", only to get beat by a 10" shot by the 2nd to the last group.  I was playing more frequently back then.

 

 

 

On the weather front, we had a brief shower at some point during the night, and it looks like is sprinkled/misted at some point.  Currently 59 under a heavy overcast sky.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

06z GFS is a great case scenario.

  • Rain 1
  • Sick 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Another mild night, but it comes with a nice helping of rain. 0.19 since midnight, 0.36” total.

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

What is this rain thing everyone is talking about?  

20220706_073747.jpg

Life giving abundance from on high. We still haven’t had 1” in July since 2011.

  • Like 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

 That is really nice and refreshing to not have gray and rain, especially after hearing how this spring has been over there. Just not our cup of tea. Although the constant heat and humidity is whole other thing.

As for the other stuff here, I'll just say we definitely agree more with how things are done here vs WA but it's still not without it's flaws. Don't believe everything the Governor sells ya.

 

 

I have seen this posted a few times in the last few days by my friends and relatives in Minnesota.     The only issue consistently raised in the comments is that the 'Freeze My a** Off' section should be about 75% of the year rather than half.  😀

290566861_601113531553085_4014349119131842565_n.jpg

  • Excited 1
  • lol 4
  • scream 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Getting some sticking rainfall here this morning. Up to .05” out there with a fairly mild low of 62. Looks like a nice moisture train moving out of the south on radar too. Aligned well with the I-5 corridor.

.02 so far here and still aligned with I-5 with nudges to the east.

62* 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TacomaWx said:

Low of 60 here our 3rd +60 low of the season. We’ve picked up 0.06” since midnight with more coming in now. 0.17” MTD. 

We have not had anything more than a few sprinkles since yesterday... everything just false apart as it approaches.    We have only had measurable precip on one day in July so far.   That was Sunday when it rained/drizzled most of the day.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

We have not had anything more than a few sprinkles since yesterday... everything just false apart as it approaches.    We have only had measurable precip on one day in July so far.   That was Sunday when it rained/drizzled most of the day.

Yeah we just have been in the right spot…could tell we would do good on precip based on the models the last few days. Surprised nothings fallen up there but probably will at some point. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah we just have been in the right spot…could tell we would do good on precip based on the models the last few days. Surprised nothings fallen up there but probably will at some point. 

Not expecting much of anything here... which is fine because its not really needed at all.    After this morning, the models are showing much less in the way of showers except for along the coast and in the mountains.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

I have seen this posted a few times in the last few days by my friends and relatives in Minnesota.     The only issue consistently raised in the comments is that the 'Freeze My a** Off' section should be about 75% of the year rather than half.  😀

290566861_601113531553085_4014349119131842565_n.jpg

I have been there twice to visit family. Once in July and once in October. October was absolutely perfect for the most part as we had an awesome thunderstorm when landing and heading to the house, otherwise low 70’s and sun until my final day there we had rain/snow mix! July was just god awful and I wanted to die. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I have been there twice to visit family. Once in July and once in October. October was absolutely perfect for the most part as we had an awesome thunderstorm when landing and heading to the house, otherwise low 70’s and sun until my final day there we had rain/snow mix! July was just god awful and I wanted to die. 

Sounds like you were there for the few days they call "autumn" which is that short period between hot and humid and 9 months of snow.  😀

  • Excited 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Couple of interesting stats…up to 11.41” of rain since April 1st now. We’re also at just 13 +70 days this year compared to 40 +70 days by this date in 2021. 

25 days above 70 in North Bend so far this year... which I assume is also way less than last year at this time.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Couple of interesting stats…up to 11.41” of rain since April 1st now. We’re also at just 13 +70 days this year compared to 40 +70 days by this date in 2021. 

Only 7 days above 70F here. And kind of crazy that 5 days into July and I still haven't been above 71F this month. Rain for that same time period has been 9.84" about half of which fell last month.

  • Excited 1

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said:

Only 7 days above 70F here. And kind of crazy that 5 days into July and I still haven't been above 71F yet. Rain for that same time period has been 9.84" about half of which fell last month.

So far we’ve maxed out at 73 this month. 

  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Amazing how toned down the upcoming heat has gotten over the past 24 hours. Probably going to get a couple 90s at PDX (Sorry Dewey), but does not look like an extended run of heat. 

  • Like 4
  • Excited 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

EURO could get us into the 95-100 range early next week. Starting to look a lot like what we saw at the end of June with a pretty quick crash. 

  • Popcorn 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

May be an image of map

  • Like 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

EURO could get us into the 95-100 range early next week. Starting to look a lot like what we saw at the end of June with a pretty quick crash. 

Any offshore flow will be brief and fairly weak. Longwave progression is pretty similar to late June, but we’re missing the burley, unusual inland pressure rises we saw with the departing clipper(mania).

  • Like 2

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, 1000'NorthBend said:

Moderate rainfall has begun in North Bend, looks like it may be short-lived. 67°F at home. 

Still no rain here.   I am guessing the ridge is keeping it away.    In fact the sun is sort of out here.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Amazing how toned down the upcoming heat has gotten over the past 24 hours. Probably going to get a couple 90s at PDX (Sorry Dewey), but does not look like an extended run of heat. 

I pretty much expected this. Probably going to be two or three hot days followed by a crash again.

Something is definitely different this year. Either the Niña background state combined with Hunga Tonga is so strong it’s just overpowering every other forcing mechanism, or something has legit changed in the large scale system state.

  • Like 3
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

OT, but wow this is very early for coastal GA!

Heat/humidity usually doesn’t peak until mid-August there. Seeing temps exceed 100°F in June is nuts.

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I pretty much expected this. Probably going to be two or three hot days followed by a crash again.

Something is definitely different this year. Either the Niña background state combined with Hunga Tonga is so strong it’s just overpowering every other forcing mechanism, or something has legit changed in the large scale system state.

I am sure we end up with an above average July. It's been relatively cool the first week of the month, but because of the very mild lows, most of us are just barely below average. Won't be as bad as 2021 or 2018 though. 

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I am sure we end up with an above average July. It's been relatively cool the first week of the month, but because of the very mild lows, most of us are just barely below average. Won't be as bad as 2021 or 2018 though. 

Sunriver just had a low of 52, which is actually… pretty pathetic for here. Even on hot days lows in the 30s are usually pretty common.

The coldest anomalies this month so far have actually been focused into CA from the looks of it. Encouraging that can even happen anymore. Which you’d think Tim would be cheering on considering he talked about it a lot this spring. Anything that staves off fire season down there is a win.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Sunriver just had a low of 52, which is actually… pretty pathetic for here. Even on hot days lows in the 30s are usually pretty common.

The coldest anomalies this month so far have actually been focused into CA from the looks of it. Encouraging that can even happen anymore. Which you’d think Tim would be cheering on considering he talked about it a lot this spring. Anything that staves off fire season down there is a win.

There, and the Arctic wasteland known as SeaTac airport. Currently running a -3.8°F on the month there.

  • Like 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...