On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[Doinko]

https://twitter.com/MarkNelsenKPTV/status/1544901761734848512?s=20&t=pr9XXLoKVob_-mqW6lXg8g

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Mossman 100% would. Maybe Tim as well.

There it is lol

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Mossman 100% would. Maybe Tim as well.

THERE IT IS

[Phil]

FWIW I think we can expect the GFS to trend cooler.

Note the bias again towards cutting off the trough vs the GEFS.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

8 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

5pm temps of 92/103/91 for Mon-Wed on the 00z GFS for PDX. It would be the second heatwave of the summer if it were to verify.

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Convection over Carl’s!

 

Is that a scene from Ghostbusters?

[TacomaWx]

The last 9 days since the heatwave have been pretty nice. 0.34” of rain in that timeframe not bad…might get a little more tonight or tomorrow we will see. 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Is that a scene from Ghostbusters?

That’s funny. We’re watching the new one right meow.

[Doinko]

23 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Portland is as hot as Medford In this 

[MossMan]

Nifty Fifties! 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Nifty Fifties! 

[Meatyorologist]

00z GFS is absolute trash. Reverts back to 2013-21 summer climo

[Phil]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

00z GFS is absolute trash. Reverts back to 2013-21 summer climo

Very obvious it’s wrong again. Wasn’t long ago it showed this happening right now. 

[Omegaraptor]

21 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Portland is as hot as Medford In this 

Offshore fleaux

[Cascadia_Wx]

16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

00z GFS is absolute trash. Reverts back to 2013-21 summer climo

Truly a putrid run. At least the ensembles look a lot better than the operational.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Seeing some lightning off to the north and east this evening. Probably the cells in SW Yakima County.

Down to a refreshing 63 with some clearing.

[Front Ranger]

25 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Back when white people could dance!

[Meatyorologist]

Yakima just got nailed.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Turning into a pretty decent nocturnal light show to the east. 

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Back when white people could dance!

Fueled by a January 1950 adrenaline rush which sustained for the better part of a decade.

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Turning into a pretty decent nocturnal light show to the east. 

I seen one!

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I seen one!

I’ve seen a couple dozen individual strikes now but we have a good view.

[Deweydog]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’ve seen a couple dozen individual strikes now but we have a good view.

Ours is pretty sketchy. We can walk about a half mile east and get a great view though.

[NWbyNW]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

That’s funny. We’re watching the new one right meow.

 

[Meatyorologist]

Not many view to the eest in this area. Inglewood-Finn standing proud at 500' tall kind of obscures any vantage point anyways.

[Cloud]

Yikes... the 00z run brought the century mark to PDX Tuesday.  Even warmer overall, let's hope this is not a trend. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Luckily the 00z Euro is looking much better than the GFS through Tuesday 

[Cloud]

Euro is only about 20 freaking degrees cooler for PDX for Tuesday. lmfao. 

And pretty much say screw you heatwave west of the Cascades. 

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Euro is only about 20 freaking degrees cooler for PDX for Tuesday. lmfao. 

And pretty much say screw you heatwave west of the Cascades. 

That’s because the GFS is back-digging the NPAC trough early in the run. Chronic bias that culminates in a spurious cutoff.

[Meatyorologist]

Some larger hail in Sunnyside.

[Skagit Weather]

2 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

We actually didn’t too too bad in the 2013-2018 period…not as great as the last few years but we had some good ones in there especially 2016-2017 and 2017-2018. 

2013-2018 was absolutely miserable up here. I thought someone had built a snow prevention dome over my area. I can't speak to 2016-17 which was the only winter in that 5 winter stretch that had above average snowfall (and which I wasn't here for), but the rest of the years were just depressing. Basically nothing more than a trace 12-13, 14-15, and 15-16 while 17-18 almost managed to break the inch barrier for the entire winter. And then 2013-14 had January 2014 which was okay (picked up just over 6" which is only slightly below normal), but I remember being pretty depressed as the heavy snow was slamming the south sound and only brought flurries up here.

[Skagit Weather]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Some larger hail in Sunnyside.

Was just going to mention that. Some of the strongest returns I've seen in a while in WA.

[Doinko]

6 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

2013-2018 was absolutely miserable up here. I thought someone had built a snow prevention dome over my area. I can't speak to 2016-17 which was the only winter in that 5 winter stretch that had above average snowfall (and which I wasn't here for), but the rest of the years were just depressing. Basically nothing more than a trace 12-13, 14-15, and 15-16 while 17-18 almost managed to break the inch barrier for the entire winter. And then 2013-14 had January 2014 which was okay (picked up just over 6" which is only slightly below normal), but I remember being pretty depressed as the heavy snow was slamming the south sound and only brought flurries up here.

Last winter seems to have been good in your location at least!

[Meatyorologist]

4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Was just going to mention that. Some of the strongest returns I've seen in a while in WA.

Completely unforecast, too. CAM's were blank earlier this afternoon. CAPE values severely underestimated. I wonder if they underestimated the moist layer around 850mb?

[Meatyorologist]

7 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

2013-2018 was absolutely miserable up here. I thought someone had built a snow prevention dome over my area. I can't speak to 2016-17 which was the only winter in that 5 winter stretch that had above average snowfall (and which I wasn't here for), but the rest of the years were just depressing. Basically nothing more than a trace 12-13, 14-15, and 15-16 while 17-18 almost managed to break the inch barrier for the entire winter. And then 2013-14 had January 2014 which was okay (picked up just over 6" which is only slightly below normal), but I remember being pretty depressed as the heavy snow was slamming the south sound and only brought flurries up here.

Glad I wasn't the only one 

Even Whatcom county cashed in on overrunning events, especially during 2016-17 iirc

[Deweydog]

#one90july

[Doinko]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Glad I wasn't the only one 

Even Whatcom county cashed in on overrunning events, especially during 2016-17 iirc

How much snow did your location get in 2008/09, 2009/10, 2010/2011 and 2011/2012? I didn't live here those winters but from NWS snow totals reports it seems I had 25", 3", 2", and 4.5"

[Skagit Weather]

19 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Last winter seems to have been good in your location at least!

Oh yeah, last winter was one of my favorite winter's I've ever experienced! Probably only behind 2008-09 and 2010-11! It's not ever winter I get 20"+ of snow and have multiple lows in the single digits!

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Oh yeah, last winter was one of my favorite winter's I've ever experienced! Probably only behind 2008-09 and 2010-11! It's not ever winter I get 20"+ of snow and have multiple lows in the single digits!

I've yet to eclipse 20" of snow in a winter yet. Not sure about coldest low temp since the wind usually keeps temps kind of higher here but according to PRISM data my coldest low was 11 in Dec 2013. Surprisingly Jan 2017 was warmer, I apparently only dropped to 15 while Hillsboro dropped to 3 but I don't know for sure.

[bainbridgekid]

53 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Some larger hail in Sunnyside.

I’ve never seen radar echoes that strong in the state of Washington before. Seriously impressive. My good friend’s parents live on a farm in Sunnyside so hopefully it wasn’t damaged much.