On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[snow_wizard]

Loving the 0z GFS.  At face value mostly cool and not much rain.

[snow_wizard]

Good Lord.  18z ECMWF showed 79 in SEA on Tuesday while the 0z GFS shows 90.  Probably going to end up right in the middle.

[Doinko]

Found this short old video from the first storm on Feb 6th, 2014. I remember it being pretty windy like this, but some other videos of the storms on the 7th and the 8th are much less windy than the first one in the video. That was a pretty fun event, ended up with ~9" total.

[MossMan]

29 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Found this short old video from the first storm on Feb 6th, 2014. I remember it being pretty windy like this, but some other videos of the storms on the 7th and the 8th are much less windy than the first one in the video. That was a pretty fun event, ended up with ~9" total.

This was my massive total from that event! 

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

This was my massive total from that event! 

Well at least you've made up for it with the 100"+ of snow you've had in recent years!

[Cloud]

Pretty wild differences for the temps on Tuesday between the GFS and Euro. GFS want to create a warm bubble for the Puget Sound areas. 
 

Safe bet is we’ll be in the middle ground for the numbers the 2 models shown. 

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Cloud said:

Pretty wild differences for the temps on Tuesday between the GFS and Euro. GFS want to create a warm bubble for the Puget Sound areas. 
 

Safe bet is we’ll be in the middle ground for the numbers the 2 models shown. 

I think 84 or 85.  If that's a heatwave in July you know we are having a cool summer.

The models appear to be showing a possible round of cool, decently sunny, dry weather during the second half of July.  Been almost impossible to pull that off in recent years.

[Deweydog]

Weak clipper moving through 14 years later TO THE DAY!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Nice morning. Mostly sunny and 61 after a low of 56.

[Timmy Supercell]

If only Kentucky can have lows in the 50's in July.. (45 sounds even better!) 

[TT-SEA]

Surprisingly sunny here this morning... pretty weak marine push.

[T-Town]

Cloudy and 60 here. Blue sky to the south though. 

[MossMan]

Cloudy and 58. Not many mornings so far this season where we have had clear skies in the early am.

[Cascadia_Wx]

00z EPS looks good for a period of average to coolish weather following the heatwave.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

00z EPS looks good for a period of average to coolish weather following the heatwave.

At the surface it should be slightly above average due to mild lows. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Clouds seem to be filling in a bit now.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

At the surface it should be slightly above average due to mild lows. 

However it ends up at the urbanized stations it beats endless heatwaves and zero rainfall opportunity 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

However it ends up at the urbanized stations it beats endless heatwaves and zero rainfall opportunity 

True 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just sucks that October-March are going to be an endless January 2006 redux because of a stupid volcano. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

48 this morning after a 77/52 day yesterday. Climo for July here is 75/50 and we are running 71/51 so far. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just sucks that October-March are going to be an endless January 2006 redux because of a stupid volcano. 

We are pretty lucky to have the world’s leading expert on volcanic climatology in our midst here 

[TT-SEA]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just sucks that October-March are going to be an endless January 2006 redux because of a stupid volcano. 

Yeah... a very active jet stream type of winter is definitely an outlandish idea for a Nina year.   I am sure it will be a warm and dry winter like 2014-15.   

[BLI snowman]

23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just sucks that October-March are going to be an endless January 2006 redux because of a stupid volcano. 

1991-92 was actually a gigantic turd due to Pinatubo, and not the strong El Nino.

 Who knew.

Edited July 10, 2022 by BLI snowman

[MossMan]

It’s over. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... a very active jet stream type of winter is definitely an outlandish idea for a Nina year.   I am sure it will be a warm and dry winter like 2014-15.   

1955-56 was extremely active. 

[RentonHill]

21 years ago today four were lost in the thirty mile fire north of Winthrop

https://www.facebook.com/100064636993988/posts/pfbid0YzgAfu51KmeYQrPSEt5xpzZiuuGpPrnykjdjyqHCJCrViHCTFNdBnedzpMb4zUMvl/?mibextid=2Sb5Jz&fs=e&s=cl

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

21 years ago today four were lost in the thirty mile fire north of Winthrop

https://www.facebook.com/100064636993988/posts/pfbid0YzgAfu51KmeYQrPSEt5xpzZiuuGpPrnykjdjyqHCJCrViHCTFNdBnedzpMb4zUMvl/?mibextid=2Sb5Jz&fs=e&s=cl

If they’d survived they probably would have just come back here and virtue signaled about their firefighting efforts anyway 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

If they’d survived they probably would have just come back here and virtue signaled about their firefighting efforts anyway 

Omg you are as bad as someone who peeled potatoes on a navy ship and now expects us all to bow down. Lol

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Omg you are as bad as someone who peeled potatoes on a navy ship and now expects us all to bow down. Lol

I set the bar pretty low. Not getting a perma ban out of it would have been nice 

[TT-SEA]

Classic Jesse.   Always with a chip on his shoulder.   

Anyways... expected a foggy and drizzly marine layer morning but that did not happen. 

[Doinko]

10 hours ago, Doiinko said:

Found this short old video from the first storm on Feb 6th, 2014. I remember it being pretty windy like this, but some other videos of the storms on the 7th and the 8th are much less windy than the first one in the video. That was a pretty fun event, ended up with ~9" total.

I think we had some freezing rain at the end of it but I don't remember it being that much. I mainly remember the snow and the wind. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

I think we had some freezing rain at the end of it but I don't remember it being that much. I mainly remember the snow and the wind. 

We were living in Stevenson, WA at the time and it was one of the more epic storms I’ve experienced personally. Had a couple highs in the teens and over a foot of snow. All with very strong winds throuout.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Pretty nice trough the end of next weekend on the 12z GFS

[Randyc321]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Nice morning. Mostly sunny and 61 after a low of 56.

Completely socked in here and 59.  It will take a while for this to burn off.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I was not expecting a marine layer and did not get one!

[TT-SEA]

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I was not expecting a marine layer and did not get one!

ECMWF was insisting it would be socked in from Portland northward this morning.    But always showed sunny skies down your way.    So you were right not to expect a marine layer.  

[TacomaWx]

Good lord. Anyways low of 58 marine layer hanging on this morning so far. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 70F. Gorgeous day again.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just sucks that October-March are going to be an endless January 2006 redux because of a stupid volcano. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Classic Jesse.   Always with a chip on his shoulder.   

Anyways... expected a foggy and drizzly marine layer morning but that did not happen. 

I spy a cloud!!