On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[MossMan]

Today = Perfection. 
79/47 on the day. 
Currently 65.

.48” for the month, 34.21” for the year. 

[bainbridgekid]

NWS already forecasting 90 for Seattle next Tuesday.

[The Swamp]

OMG OMG hide the women and children! We might get a nice sunny warm period. Oh the horrors.

[RentonHill]

3 hours ago, T-Town said:

 

Ya @Deweydog pointed this out several times during this past winter. It’s like 15 miles off on its coastline boundary 

[Front Ranger]

16 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

NWS already forecasting 90 for Seattle next Tuesday.

Summer 1954 redux averted.

[Front Ranger]

5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Are you mad that I don't like clouds and drizzle all summer either?   So sorry. 

Side note... I ran the satellite loop for July and August of 2010 a few weeks ago and it was really not that bad.   It cleared out almost every afternoon.   Waiting until 1 or 2 p.m. to see sunshine most days is still annoying in the summer... but at least it did clear out.  

So you admit you overreacted.

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, The Swamp said:

OMG OMG hide the women and children! We might get a nice sunny warm period. Oh the horrors.

This is the kind of stuff that’s going to get me banned again eventually 

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

This is the kind of stuff that’s going to get me banned again eventually 

I’ll see you in Valhalla brother!!!

[Cascadia_Wx]

00z GFS looking pretty reasonable through day 7 so far. A week from today is the first 90+ and we barely scrape 100 that day. Euro meanwhile had Monday in the mid-100s and Tuesday pushing 110.

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

So you admit you overreacted.

In 2010... yes.     It only rained on 3 days after the 4th of July through mid September.  

The mid-May through mid-June period was a mess... but 30 days of rain seems like child's play compared to about 80 days from late March through June 20th this year.    And the 4th of July was horrible in 2010.    But after that it was not really that bad.   

Even though I dread a week of extremely hot weather coming again... I would also be annoyed with a cloudy and drizzly summer.    Go figure.   I don't want either extreme.    Both make enjoying summer challenging.    But a day like today?    Heavenly.    

[Cascadia_Wx]

10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

This is the kind of stuff that’s going to get me banned again eventually 

Now I can’t tell if people are in agreement with me or love the idea of me being banned again

[TacomaWx]

79/55 today…hopefully it ends up being 120 in the swamp this week. 

[TT-SEA]

23 minutes ago, The Swamp said:

OMG OMG hide the women and children! We might get a nice sunny warm period. Oh the horrors.

Flirting with a 100 in Seattle for several days is not really a nice sunny period.    This week is a nice sunny period.  At this point I am just hoping the ECMWF is wrong or we might be headed towards even worse.

[Deweydog]

00z looks D**n near like a heatwave that could have pretty easily happened before my balls dropped. Next… 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Three days around 100 next Tuesday-Thursday so far on the 00z GFS. Honestly I could live with that. Just please please please please please none of the 105-110+ crap again.

[TacomaWx]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Flirting with a 100 in Seattle for several days is not really a nice sunny period.    This week is a nice sunny period.  At this point I am just hoping the ECMWF is wrong or we might be headed towards even worse.

If the gfs was showing these temps and the euro was on the cool side I wouldn’t be so worried. 

[RentonHill]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

00z looks D**n near like a heatwave that could have pretty easily happened before my balls dropped. Next… 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

If the gfs was showing these temps and the euro was on the cool side I wouldn’t be so worried. 

Yeah... the GFS is pretty reasonable.   The 12Z ECMWF run seriously bothered me and have been thinking about it all day.   

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the GFS is pretty reasonable.   The 12Z ECMWF run seriously bothered me and have been thinking about it all day.   

[Deweydog]

Canadian is pretty toasty but brings in REAL RELIEF for Friday!

[Doinko]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the GFS is pretty reasonable.   The 12Z ECMWF run seriously bothered me and have been thinking about it all day.   

And it wasn't that much of an outlier which was crazy, the ensemble mean for one of the days was 103 at Portland, with its cool bias.

[Front Ranger]

4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And we have another 90F-burger!!

Weak sauce for late July.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the GFS is pretty reasonable.   The 12Z ECMWF run seriously bothered me and have been thinking about it all day.   

I spent all day thinking seriously about taking some time off next week for some jetsking and boating heatwave fun! I was not bothered by that. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

I seriously don't give a sh*t what you think.    I would hate to repeat what happened last year and the 12Z ECMWF was way too close.

[Phil]

CMC sort of caved to the Euro.  

[NWbyNW]

Runs are slowly coming in.  Here is the GFS.  This is the "cool down" after the 29th.

Look how insanely hot the temperatures all all across north America!  Even in the north. 

[Front Ranger]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I spent all day thinking seriously about taking some time off next week for some jetsking and boating heatwave fun! I was not bothered by that. 

110 at SEA is like 90 at your place, so sorta understandable.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I spent all day thinking seriously about taking some time off next week for some jetsking and boating heatwave fun! I was not bothered by that. 

Yeah... water activities are great for a regular heat wave.   The event last year was hunker down crap though.  And watch the trees get burnt on the sun-facing sides.    

[TacomaWx]

Yeah it’d be great to repeat last year with all the heat related deaths for people with no AC. 

[Doinko]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

CMC sort of caved to the Euro.  

The GFS hasn't yet, I'm hoping the ridge position shifts slightly west on future Euro runs

[Front Ranger]

5 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Runs are slowly coming in.  Here is the GFS.  This is the "cool down" after the 29th.

Look how insanely hot the temperatures all all across north America!  Even in the north. 

69 here. I'll take it!

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

69 here. I'll take it!

Gross.

[NWbyNW]

While GFS shows cooling on the 29th, the EURO is showing it will actually get HOTTER in Portland.  EURO is showing high 80s and low 90s for much of the Seattle metro.  Tacoma is consistently the hot spot in the 90s, Seattle in the high 80s and Everett in the mid 80s. Since no one is posting, I will share the maps for those who would like to see.  

 

 

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

CMC sort of caved to the Euro.  

FWIW the 00z UKMET for next Monday.

[Anti Marine Layer]

50 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

This is the kind of stuff that’s going to get me banned again eventually 

You can return as Coastal Wind Reversal.

[MV_snow]

I normally don’t care about daylight savings delaying the Euro run one hour, since it’s not winter so who cares anyway… but I’m curious to see how well it holds serve tonight.

[NWbyNW]

The GFS is doing some odd stuff.

Through it's run it isn't as hot for Portland metro.  It shows cooler weather for the north with Everett being low 80s.  It has Seattle being hotter than the EURO in the low 90s, but it has Tacoma cooler than EURO in the mid to low 90s.  Then randomly later in the run, it shows high 90s for Seattle and Tacoma after the "cool down" which isn't really a cool down.  Even so, we can't see long enough into the future at the region actually cooling down. 

 

[NWbyNW]

How does Crescent City always stay so cool?  During the peak of this heat wave, the GFS shows Crescent City chilling at 57F-59F.  

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, NWbyNW said:

How does Crescent City always stay so cool?  During the peak of this heat wave, the GFS shows Crescent City chilling at 57F-59F.  

It’s pretty unheard of for the Northern California and southern Oregon coast to spike hot during mid summer.  Coastal inversions couple with the massive thermal gradients make it almost impossible.

[snow_wizard]

The models are really looking interesting for early August.  Might be a shot at some cool continental air making its way in.