On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[TT-SEA]

A warmer than normal July appears to be a lock at this point.    Might be significantly warmer than normal in many places.

Also... June was only -0.9 at SEA and that is with the new higher averages so June wasn't really cold.     

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A warmer than normal July appears to be a lock at this point.    Might be significantly warmer than normal in many places.

Also... June was only -0.9 at SEA and that is with the new higher averages so June wasn't really cold.     

We were +1.7F for June so not really a cool month.

[Cloud]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A warmer than normal July appears to be a lock at this point.    Might be significantly warmer than normal in many places.

Also... June was only -0.9 at SEA and that is with the new higher averages so June wasn't really cold.     

June and the first week of July was perfect

[MossMan]

13 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Brrr. 

[MossMan]

54 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

OMG

Meh…Next. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

24 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I don’t think Bend has ever even seen 5 100+ days in one month before, let alone consecutively.

July 2021?

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Cloud said:

June and the first week of July was perfect

Looking back now... the faucet turned off around June 20th.   Not totally... but that is when dry days became the default.     And July has become very dry which is what I was expecting here after such a ridiculously wet spring and early summer.    It seemed very unlikely that we would see a July like 2016 or 2019 when there was relatively frequent rain.     North Bend is likely going to finish July with just .31 and rain on 4 days.   Much less than a July like 2016 which ended up with 1.47 inches and rain on 13 days. 

[Omegaraptor]

Sunriver is back on Mesowest!

[BLI snowman]

59 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows 80s in northern MN where we will be by the end of next weekend.  

Duluth?

[BLI snowman]

25 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We were +1.7F for June so not really a cool month.

10th consecutive warm JJA is pretty much a lock at this point.

[RentonHill]

20 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Meh…Next. 

You better be in entiat for it!

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Duluth?

Nisswa.   Gull Lake... one of the best lakes in MN.   

Glad we aren't there this weekend and early next week... lots of mid 70s with showers in the forecast.     80s would be ideal.  

[Jbolin]

When does the death ridge set my house ablaze?

Asking for a friend.

[Anti Marine Layer]

13 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

[Phishy Wx]

looks like we 'MIGHT' touch 100 next Thursday you guys

[Phil]

Upwelling wave continues to surface.

[snow_wizard]

Can't wait until we get to this.  Looks like about 5 solidly warm to hot days next week though.  I'm thinking SEA will top out at 95.  Actually pretty hot.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Upwelling wave continues to surface.

After that little warm blob dissipates we will probably see Nino 3.4 drop to about -1.0.

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Upwelling wave continues to surface.

Next round of trades about to begin as well.

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

looks like we 'MIGHT' touch 100 next Thursday you guys

Good bet over there, although your elevation should knock the edge off.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Next round of trades about to begin as well.

I'm thinking early cold this autumn.  This coming pattern has a summer 1985 vibe to it, and that autumn got cold early and often.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Can't wait until we get to this.  Looks like about 5 solidly warm to hot days next week though.  I'm thinking SEA will top out at 95.  Actually pretty hot.

Looks pretty nice... still likely in the low 80s with that pattern.  

[MV_snow]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

It will snow at your house next January.

MLK! We’re due for a good January.

[T-Town]

5 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

We only had 5 +90 highs in the summers of 2009,2015 and 2021. That’s the most I’ve recorded here but if these mornings runs are right about extending the duration could pass those years up. Both models show a few low to mid 90s. (Very short window for heat)

Have you recorded any 90s this year?  I can’t remember if you topped out in the upper 80s in our brief heat wave a couple weeks ago. 

[MossMan]

36 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

You better be in entiat for it!

Actually I might be there for a quick trip to try out the new to me jetski since my uncle needs a hand with a few things over there. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Had a Lake Sammamish moment today. Gf and I went swimming in the Potomac to cool off during a hike earlier and holy f**king crap it was literally bathwater. No relief at all.

Figured a running river would be relatively cool, but no dice. Checked the gauge at Little Falls and sure enough it reads 87°F. Maybe Tim’s depth finder isn’t as faulty as I thought.

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/01646500/#parameterCode=00010F&timeSeriesId=252060&period=P1Y

You should try the Salmon River in Idaho.  That would refresh you quite nicely.

[Jbolin]

28 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm thinking early cold this autumn.  This coming pattern has a summer 1985 vibe to it, and that autumn got cold early and often.

For all the flack you receive year after year Jim, your optimism going into any given winter is nice to see. 

Disregard your "detractors", (ahem) and keep that vibe going my man. 

[Phil]

The NH needs winter to start ASAP. Basically everyone in the middle latitudes is torching right now.

[TacomaWx]

43 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Have you recorded any 90s this year?  I can’t remember if you topped out in the upper 80s in our brief heat wave a couple weeks ago. 

We hit 91 on 6/27…so if we get 4 90s which seems likely we will be at 5 with august still to get through. 

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

The NH needs winter to start ASAP. Basically everyone in the middle latitudes is torching right now.

Meteorological winter begins in just a smidge over 132 days.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

The NH needs winter to start ASAP. Basically everyone in the middle latitudes is torching right now.

Luckily... winter usually starts in July in the NH.    

[Phil]

Just now, Deweydog said:

Meteorological winter begins in just a smidge over 132 days.

Too far away. Need a strong high latitude blocking pattern to establish this autumn.

[Phil]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Luckily... winter usually starts in July in the NH.    

Need to root for Yellowstone to blow at this point.

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Need to root for Yellowstone to blow at this point.

I probably wouldn’t ever have to have my first colonoscopy if that happens! Count me in!

[weatherfan2012]

3 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Looks like this year has the largest sea ice area at this point in the Arctic since 2009. And it's not too far behind 2008/2009 at that, with a favorable looking pattern for the next couple weeks.

Would be really nice to see this year finish with the highest summer extent since before the big dropoff in 2007.

Larry Cosgrove is pretty excited about the potential this  winter he has been talking about it some on his facebook page and weather America each weekend,

[TacomaWx]

77 here…should end up between 79 and 81 this afternoon. Not a bad day still. 

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Need to root for Yellowstone to blow at this point.

Yes... nothing solves death ridges like killing every living thing on the planet.    Excellent plan.

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... nothing solves death ridges like killing every living thing on the planet.    Excellent plan.

Acceptable losses

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

2 minutes ago, weatherfan2012 said:

Larry Cosgrove is pretty excited about the potential this  winter he has been talking about it some on his facebook page and weather America each weekend,

Excited for the east coast?  Is he still predicting a Nino?

[Deweydog]

Everyone ready to sweat out the 18z????