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July 2022 heatwave forecast contest.


TacomaWx

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I like all these forecasts showing SEA not even getting close to 100.

You gonna throw your hat in the ring?

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I would just go 3 degrees higher than the ECMWF.   

Have a little fun, man. None of us will be anywhere close. :lol: 

  • lol 1
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PDX:

7/24 93/58

7/25 98/63

7/26 101/65

7/27 103/70

7/28 99/71

7/29 99/69

7/30 94/66

7/31 93/63

 

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Update:

PDX

7/24: 92/60

7/25: 95/65

7/26: 99/67

7/27: 99/68

7/28: 96/68

7/29: 97/67

7/30: 94/65

7/31: 91/62

 

SEA

7/24: 84/59

7/25: 85/63

7/26: 93/64

7/27: 93/65

7/28: 90/66

7/29: 88/64

7/30: 85/64

7/31: 83/63

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21 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

I'll have my final submission with lows tomorrow. 

SEA

7/24: 83

7/25: 85

7/26: 91

7/27: 93

7/28: 91

7/29: 92

7/30: 90

7/31: 86

PDX

7/24: 91

7/25: 94

7/26: 97

7/27: 98

7/28: 99

7/29: 99

7/30: 98

7/31: 94

My final submission with lows. Good luck to all!

SEA

7/24: 82/57

7/25: 86/61

7/26: 92/64

7/27: 93/65

7/28: 91/65

7/29: 91/64

7/30: 86/63

7/31: 84/62

 

PDX

7/24: 92/59

7/25: 96/65

7/26: 100/67

7/27: 98/69

7/28: 98/69

7/29: 98/68

7/30: 95/68

7/31: 91/66

  • Thanks 1
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On 7/22/2022 at 10:48 AM, Deweydog said:

Sunday: 91/61

Monday: 96/64

Tuesday: 98/67

Wednesday: 98/68

Thursday: 99/69

Friday: 97/68

Saturday: 94/67

Sunday: 88/64

image.gif

Sunday: 91/60

Monday: 96/65

Tuesday: 98/68

Wednesday: 99/68

Thursday: 98/69

Friday: 93/67

Saturday: 90/65

Sunday: 86/65
 

image.gif

 

  • Storm 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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8 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

I'm interested to see how well I do. I got Tuesday being the hottest day at PDX with them getting to 100. Only day I think PDX reaches the century mark, we will see. 🍿 

I put Thursday and Friday as the hottest which probably was a mistake looking back, but let's see what happens!

  • Popcorn 1
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14 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Read ‘em and weep!

7/24:

PDX: 92/59

SEA: 84/57

At least I got the highs right.

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12 hours ago, Doiinko said:

I got the high right for PDX but the low way too warm

I thought I’d be too cool with the lows if anything.

Keep forgetting PNW isn’t DC and it actually cools at night there.

  • scream 1
  • Weenie 5
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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

I thought I’d be too cool with the lows if anything.

Keep forgetting PNW isn’t DC and it actually cools at night there.

You keeping forgetting that huh?     I never noticed.  😀

  • lol 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You keeping forgetting that huh?     I never noticed.  😀

I still wonder if it’s just less H2O in the boundary layer or some other factor that helps it cool there/other places in the West. Because even during monsoon season SW AZ cools 20+ degrees at night, and there’s plenty of humidity there.

Meanwhile it warmed from 81°F to 86°F here last night between 10pm to 2AM under clear skies and calm winds. Don’t understand how that happens without strong WAA (which there wasn’t any). Flummoxing.

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10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Wow, people were throwing out 100s for SEA? I guess after last June nothing seems unreasonable, but doesn't seems like there was ever real model support for something of that magnitude.

There were a couple rogue Euro runs last week that showed basically a junior version of last June. After what happened last year I think people were expecting those really hot runs to lead the charge while all the other models jumped on board. Especially considering it was the Euro.

  • Weenie 1

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

There were a couple rogue Euro runs last week that showed basically a junior version of last June. After what happened last year I think people were expecting those really hot runs to lead the charge while all the other models jumped on board. Especially considering it was the Euro.

I admit I almost fell for that, simply because it was the Euro. That model is d**n good.

If the EPS had showed the same thing, I would’ve 100% jumped on board.

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

I admit I almost fell for that, simply because it was the Euro. That model is d**n good.

If the EPS had showed the same thing, I would’ve 100% jumped on board.

Hopefully it’s similarly wrong with the lack of a quick cooldown on the back end of this thing 

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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32 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Wow, people were throwing out 100s for SEA? I guess after last June nothing seems unreasonable, but doesn't seem like there was ever real model support for something of that magnitude.

Where’s your forecast??

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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12 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully it’s similarly wrong with the lack of a quick cooldown on the back end of this thing 

I suspect it’s wrong only because none of the other guidance (including EPS mean) shows such an evolution, and there’ve been no trends in that direction either.

But if the EPS caves to the operational all bets are off.

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2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

There were a couple rogue Euro runs last week that showed basically a junior version of last June. After what happened last year I think people were expecting those really hot runs to lead the charge while all the other models jumped on board. Especially considering it was the Euro.

Think it was 3 days of runs where it was going for 100. If it was the gfs I wouldn’t have taken it seriously but considering it wasn’t just a one off run I definitely thought that’s where we were going for a bit thankfully that was wrong. 

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