Anti Marine Layer Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 5 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: PDX: 96/65 SEA:86/61 I was a little too cold for all my temps yesterday. Your avatar has been surviving the heat wave well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 Day three will set you free! PDX: 102/67 SEA: 94/65 It’s all (mostly) downhill from here! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Day three will set you free! PDX: 102/67 SEA: 94/65 It’s all (mostly) downhill from here! 18Z EPS for SEA and PDX. Holds pretty steady up here if it's right. Have to see tomorrow after marine push to believe it. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: Day three will set you free! PDX: 102/67 SEA: 94/65 It’s all (mostly) downhill from here! I was 2 degrees too cold on the highs for PDX and SEA. I got 98 next 3 days for PDX so will bust cold again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: 18Z EPS for SEA and PDX. Holds pretty steady up here if it's right. Have to see tomorrow after marine push to believe it. EPS was 2 degrees too cold for PDX today. That means possibly 105 on Friday. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: EPS was 2 degrees too cold for PDX today. That means possibly 105 on Friday. My forecast is busting way too cold it seems 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 10 hours ago, Doiinko said: My forecast is busting way too cold it seems PDX was 75 at 10am, yesterday they were at 79 same time. Our forecast might actually be correct today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 27, 2022 Report Share Posted July 27, 2022 2 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: PDX was 75 at 10am, yesterday they were at 79 same time. Our forecast might actually be correct today. Better onshore flow 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 28, 2022 Report Share Posted July 28, 2022 4 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Better onshore flow PDX only got to 96 today. I was actually a couple degrees too warm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 28, 2022 Author Report Share Posted July 28, 2022 Thankfully my numbers have been a little high. The DPs are making up for the oppressive feeling though lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 28, 2022 Report Share Posted July 28, 2022 The gore for day four: PDX: 96/67 SEA: 91/61 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 28, 2022 Report Share Posted July 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: The gore for day four: PDX: 96/67 SEA: 91/61 PDX: 98/69 SEA: 93/65 Too warm today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 29, 2022 Report Share Posted July 29, 2022 Barely alive through day five: PDX: 96/67 SEA: 94/61 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 29, 2022 Report Share Posted July 29, 2022 Who is winning? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 29, 2022 Report Share Posted July 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Who is winning? Everyone is a winner for participating 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 30, 2022 Report Share Posted July 30, 2022 Sweaty d*cks during day six: PDX: 100/69 SEA: 95/63 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 30, 2022 Report Share Posted July 30, 2022 Unofficial results with 2 days left. I only graded those who submitted both highs and lows. Each number is the total degrees off the hi/lo each day. The lower the total number the better. I did this quickly so double check my numbers. SEA - 1)TacomaWx:1+3+0+9+4+5=22 2)Frontal Snowsquall:2+2+3+6+7+5=25 3)Phil:2+3+2+6+9+8=30 4)BLI snowman:7+4+4+10+8+6=39 PDX - 1)Frontal Snowsquall:0+4+2+4+4+3=17 2)Phil:1+5+3+4+1+5=19 3)Cascadia_Wx:1+6+6+4+2+8=27 3)Kayla:2+4+3+10+7+1=27 5)Deweydog:2+4+5+4+4+9=28 5)GobBluth:3+7+3+4+3+8=28 7)Doiinko:5+5+5+6+8+1=30 8)BLI snowman:7+2+2+4+13+3=31 9)SnowWillarrive:5+5+4+6+11+4=35 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 30, 2022 Report Share Posted July 30, 2022 What's surprising about the numbers is out of all the entries, there have only been 2 correct predictions so far for both the hi/lo of the day. Tacoma with 94/65 on Tuesday for SEA and Frontal with 92/59 for PDX on Sunday. There have been 6 entries just 1 degree off and 10 entries just 2 degrees off though. Just shows you how hard weather forecasting is. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 30, 2022 Report Share Posted July 30, 2022 4 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Unofficial results with 2 days left. I only graded those who submitted both highs and lows. Each number is the total degrees off the hi/lo each day. The lower the total number the better. I did this quickly so double check my numbers. SEA - 1)TacomaWx:1+3+0+9+4+5=22 2)Frontal Snowsquall:2+2+3+6+7+5=25 3)Phil:2+3+2+6+9+8=30 4)BLI snowman:7+4+4+10+8+6=39 PDX - 1)Frontal Snowsquall:0+4+2+4+4+3=17 2)Phil:1+5+3+4+1+5=19 3)Cascadia_Wx:1+6+6+4+2+8=27 3)Kayla:2+4+3+10+7+1=27 5)Deweydog:2+4+5+4+4+9=28 5)GobBluth:3+7+3+4+3+8=28 7)Doiinko:5+5+5+6+8+1=30 8)BLI snowman:7+2+2+4+13+3=31 9)SnowWillarrive:5+5+4+6+11+4=35 Nice job with your forecasts! I'm 7th so far and not doing that well but maybe I can do better for our record breaking arctic outbreak next January! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 30, 2022 Report Share Posted July 30, 2022 7 hours ago, Doiinko said: Nice job with your forecasts! I'm 7th so far and not doing that well but maybe I can do better for our record breaking arctic outbreak next January! Thanks! I always seem to do well in the heatwave/summer forecast contest, not so much in the arctic blast/winter contest. You are doing good for a rookie. You nailed the high temp for PDX yesterday but was just 1 degree off on the low. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 31, 2022 Report Share Posted July 31, 2022 15 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Thanks! I always seem to do well in the heatwave/summer forecast contest, not so much in the arctic blast/winter contest. You are doing good for a rookie. You nailed the high temp for PDX yesterday but was just 1 degree off on the low. Looks like no one did that great for Saturday. I guessed 95 and PDX hit 102. The GFS is also forecasting 101 for today (Euro: 100), while I put 93. Looks like Monday and Tuesday might hit 90 as well, which would tie the record for 90 degree days in a row at PDX. Too late to extend it now I guess but the duration of this heatwave has been impressive. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 31, 2022 Report Share Posted July 31, 2022 Heavenly day sevenly: PDX: 102/69 SEA: 95/63 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 31, 2022 Report Share Posted July 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: Heavenly day sevenly: PDX: 102/69 SEA: 95/63 I was 7 degrees too cold yesterday off the high. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 1, 2022 Report Share Posted August 1, 2022 In a few months snowmen will be walking on treadmills. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 1, 2022 Report Share Posted August 1, 2022 I actually did well with my very general forecast. I went with 88 - 95 for each day for SEA Monday through Friday which was perfect, but I never really made an official forecast for the whole thing. 1 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 1, 2022 Report Share Posted August 1, 2022 Roll the credits, SHUT IT DOWN! You don’t have to go home but you can’t stay here… PDX: 92/59 99/66 102/67 96/67 96/67 100/69 102/69 98/69 SEA: 84/56 87/62 94/65 91/61 94/61 95/63 95/63 95/65 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 On 7/23/2022 at 2:45 PM, SnowWillarrive said: PDX: 7/24: 92/64 7/25: 95/65 7/26: 100/69 7/27: 100/69 7/28: 104/70 7/29: 103/70 7/30: 100/68 7/31: 94/65 Sadly my triple digits were not that far off from reality for PDX. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 Final results! Someone should probably check these numbers as it's 1 am so I probably made a few errors! The numbers are degrees of error of highs + lows, lower is better. PDX: 7/24 7/25 7/26 7/27 7/28 7/29 7/30 7/31 Total Error Hi&Lo 1. Frontal Snowsquall 0 4 2 4 4 3 8 10 35 2. BLI Snowman 7 2 2 4 13 3 7 3 41 3. Phil 1 5 3 5 1 5 12 14 46 4. SnowWillarrive 5 5 4 6 11 4 3 8 46 5. Kayla 2 4 3 10 7 1 11 11 49 6. Doiinko 5 5 5 6 8 1 12 11 53 7. Deweydog 2 4 5 4 4 9 16 17 61 8. Cascadia_wx 1 6 6 4 2 8 17 20 64 9. GobBluth 3 7 3 4 3 8 17 20 65 SEA: 7/24 7/25 7/26 7/27 7/28 7/29 7/30 7/31 Total Error Hi&Lo 1. TacomaWx 1 3 0 9 4 5 6 12 40 2. Frontal Snowsquall 2 2 3 6 7 5 9 14 48 3. Phil 2 3 2 6 9 8 11 14 55 4. BLI Snowman 7 4 4 10 8 6 11 8 58 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 15 hours ago, Doiinko said: Final results! Someone should probably check these numbers as it's 1 am so I probably made a few errors! The numbers are degrees of error of highs + lows, lower is better. PDX: 7/24 7/25 7/26 7/27 7/28 7/29 7/30 7/31 Total Error Hi&Lo 1. Frontal Snowsquall 0 4 2 4 4 3 8 10 35 2. BLI Snowman 7 2 2 4 13 3 7 3 41 3. Phil 1 5 3 5 1 5 12 14 46 4. SnowWillarrive 5 5 4 6 11 4 3 8 46 5. Kayla 2 4 3 10 7 1 11 11 49 6. Doiinko 5 5 5 6 8 1 12 11 53 7. Deweydog 2 4 5 4 4 9 16 17 61 8. Cascadia_wx 1 6 6 4 2 8 17 20 64 9. GobBluth 3 7 3 4 3 8 17 20 65 SEA: 7/24 7/25 7/26 7/27 7/28 7/29 7/30 7/31 Total Error Hi&Lo 1. TacomaWx 1 3 0 9 4 5 6 12 40 2. Frontal Snowsquall 2 2 3 6 7 5 9 14 48 3. Phil 2 3 2 6 9 8 11 14 55 4. BLI Snowman 7 4 4 10 8 6 11 8 58 Thanks Doiinko for grading it! I've been busy the past couple days with work. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Thanks Doiinko for grading it! I've been busy the past couple days with work. Congratulations on winning for PDX! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 16 hours ago, Doiinko said: Final results! Someone should probably check these numbers as it's 1 am so I probably made a few errors! The numbers are degrees of error of highs + lows, lower is better. PDX: 7/24 7/25 7/26 7/27 7/28 7/29 7/30 7/31 Total Error Hi&Lo 1. Frontal Snowsquall 0 4 2 4 4 3 8 10 35 2. BLI Snowman 7 2 2 4 13 3 7 3 41 3. Phil 1 5 3 5 1 5 12 14 46 4. SnowWillarrive 5 5 4 6 11 4 3 8 46 5. Kayla 2 4 3 10 7 1 11 11 49 6. Doiinko 5 5 5 6 8 1 12 11 53 7. Deweydog 2 4 5 4 4 9 16 17 61 8. Cascadia_wx 1 6 6 4 2 8 17 20 64 9. GobBluth 3 7 3 4 3 8 17 20 65 SEA: 7/24 7/25 7/26 7/27 7/28 7/29 7/30 7/31 Total Error Hi&Lo 1. TacomaWx 1 3 0 9 4 5 6 12 40 2. Frontal Snowsquall 2 2 3 6 7 5 9 14 48 3. Phil 2 3 2 6 9 8 11 14 55 4. BLI Snowman 7 4 4 10 8 6 11 8 58 7/30 and 7/31 definitely had the largest discrepancy between forecasts and what actually happened, most of us didn't expect the heatwave to have lasted as long as it did it seems. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 4 hours ago, Doiinko said: Congratulations on winning for PDX! Thanks! Now my next goal is to win one of the Arctic Blast/Winter contest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Thanks! Now my next goal is to win one of the Arctic Blast/Winter contest. Just use the completely accurate and infallible GFS surface temps... 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.