December Observations and Discussions

[Maxim]

Yeah last December it was cold and dry, and this month it is mild and wet. Can't seem to win very good in December lately.

Last December was pretty mild. Believe many locations finished with +4 to +6 departures that month.

[Geos]

Last December was pretty mild. Believe many locations finished with +4 to +6 departures that month.

 

That is nothing compared to this month though. +3.4° departure last year. Most highs were between freezing and the 40s. This month has had a lot more 40s and 50s.

Down to +9.5° departure for this month now.

[Geos]

People are on edge here lately. If you don't like comments someone makes then just ignore it. Even if the same comments persist. It's a waste of energy.

 

 

Start a banter/complaint thread. Problem solved.

 

Started a thread for banter and complaints. Expend that energy over there.

[Niko]

This cold was a shocker to my system these last 2 days and this was only average temperatures. I could only imagine if it were below average. Anyways, warmer weather on the way back and it will stay for a time. December looks like a snowless month.

 

Saw a few squalls last night, but only made driving annoying. 2.5 more months to go and Spring is here folks. Unbelievable.

[Geos]

Even though it was cold today, I was outside for awhile. Took a walk down by the lake late today and captured these shots. In Racine County.

 

 

 

 

[westMJim]

While there is snow in parts of Michigans UP. Munising is not one of them yet

http://www.exploremunising.com/web-cams/

and

http://www.jamadots.com/#!webcams/cw2a

Yesterday was the first below average day of this month so far. (not looking like we will have a whole lot more) So still on track for the warmest December on record here in GR. (and many other locations) Also still at only 0.6” of snow for the month so there is also a good chance that GR will be in the top 10 or higher for the least amount of December snow fall. In looking at just monthly mean temps there are several winters in the past that have been similar to the winter (so far) and they are 1982/83, 1931/32, 1923/24 and 1889/90. All of the above winters were warmer then average with low snow fall amounts. But they all did have colder snowier weather in March.

[Tom]

12z GFS painting some snow in E NE/IA/MN on Wednesday...

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015122012/gfs_asnow_ncus_15.png

[bainbridgekid]

12z GFS is way more amped up and snowy for some with Wednesday's storm.

 

Huge changes compared to the 00z. 

 

12z has it at 980mb with quite a bit of snow on the back side:

 

00z had it at 990mb with all rain:

 

[bainbridgekid]

Then the 12z also has a bunch of snow the 26th for the same areas it hammers on Wednesday (Iowa, Southern Minnesota, and Northern Wisconsin.)

 

12z:

 

00z:

 

Actually pretty amazing differences.

[jcwxguy]

i fully expect we will see models go back and forth and shift north and south  as we close in on this system.

 

cmc should be out soon

[CentralNebWeather]

Gfs has shifted many hundreds of miles in the last 4 days

[jcwxguy]

12z gem

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

Great images jcwxguy thanks.

[Tom]

For those who are interested in "ignoring" posts from any individual member, see below how you can adjust your Profile Settings:

 

1) Go to My Settings

2) Click on "ignore" Preferences...add members as you wish

 

The feature ignores posts, but not quoted posts.  Hope this helps.

[Geos]

12z gem

 

Thanks for posting the animation.

Wish that high to the north would hold it's ground and deflect it more ENE.

[jaster220]

Even though we soared from 21*F up to 43 today, there was still a surprising amount to remnant snow and I saw a bunch of various sized ponds all ice covered. Gonna get another warm week, but these are sure signs of winter. Not a totally open winter at least. January holds some promise for more sustained conditions.

[Geos]

Might need to start a thread if there is better agreement on this system. Eastern Nebraska to the western UP looks to get hit.

 

[bud2380]

NAM is very progressive with the midweek system.  Not much in the way of snow, if any at all. 

[CentralNebWeather]

00z has snow in Nebraska Christmas Eve. Maybe a 1-3 inch amount. Excited to see the how the rest of the run looks and changes.

[bud2380]

Gfs destroys New Mexico and the ok and tx panhandle region with 2-3' of snow post Christmas. Low appears to. Get cutoff and just snows forever.

[CentralNebWeather]

I posted map through 177 hours at 5 day.

[Maxim]

00z GFS is pretty much rain for everybody, no surprises there.

[bainbridgekid]

Raining pretty hard here in Evanston, IL.

 

I can hear it pounding on the roof and it looks to continue for a while.

[bud2380]

Euro shows several rounds of heavy rain for Iowa over the next week plus.

[GDR]

[GDR]

Euro shows several rounds of heavy rain for Iowa over the next week plus.

06z GFS is showing a healthy rain maker. Could you imagine all the snow we would have if the temperatures are a few degrees cooler this year.

[GDR]

[jcwxguy]

06z gfs 

[FarmerRick]

06z gfs 

 

 

Omadome in full force.. 

[westMJim]

Boy with the rain and temps in the low to mid 40’s it does not feel like late December in fact with the green grass and rain it looks more like March.  And in many years the grass does not turn green until April. Even in the UP there are areas with no snow on the ground and there may be several areas even there with a snowless Christmas this year  

[Tom]

It's not much, but 12z GFS showing some light snow for S NE/IA Christmas Eve.  Would be enough to put you in the holiday mood I guess.

[Tom]

12z GFS might be a better run for KS/NE peeps...

[jcwxguy]

so close 

[Andrew NE]

Just not enough cold air to work with it in lincoln and omaha so far

[gosaints]

Severe weather chances in chicago in a couple days???

[gosaints]

Decent freezing rain signal

[Tom]

Severe weather chances in chicago in a couple days???

Really???  Temps in the low 40's don't stand a chance...heavy rain more likely

[Tom]

Check that, low 50's...I was thinking you were implying for the post Christmas storm.  Anyway, I don't think we're going to see severe weather.  Maybe a rumble of thunder or two on Wednesday.

[NEJeremy]

Severe weather chances in chicago in a couple days???

there's a 5% risk area in southern IL and over into IN. not in Chicago though

[jcwxguy]

12z gfs