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11/29 - 11/30 Plains/Midwest Snowstorm


Tom

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Bummer.

 

Looks like things might get exciting for some of you as that heavier band from the south moves northward.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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coming down here the hardest yet, nice huge flakes too. too bad this won't last too long. right now I'm in the middle of the 35-40 dbZ returns, but it looks like it's about a 10 mile wide band that is moving pretty quickly. after this, there's nothing on the radar.

might end up with 3" total. pretty disappointed we couldn't hit 6" to justify the warning, since we didn't have really too much ice last night.

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Frustrated.  The sun has even peeked out a time or two this morning.  Well on to the next storm.  I keep reminding myself it is still November and we have at least got to track several storms, though none around here have given us the results we were anticipating.  Congrats for those that got a little snow, probably will be gone in a couple of days, however.

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I see a lot of areas in Nebraska that were in a Winter Storm Warning did not receive as much ice and or snow as forecasted. That also has been a issue here to the east of you as well the last 10 years or so. It can happen both in the winter and summer time. I can understand the issue with a Lake Effect Snow warning as lake effect is very hard to forecast where and the amounts. But we have had issues with systems snows as well. And most of the time its underperforming.  Maybe the issue is depending too much on the models. And of course there always the err on the side of safety   

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I see a lot of areas in Nebraska that were in a Winter Storm Warning did not receive as much ice and or snow as forecasted. That also has been a issue here to the east of you as well the last 10 years or so. It can happen both in the winter and summer time. I can understand the issue with a Lake Effect Snow warning as lake effect is very hard to forecast where and the amounts. But we have had issues with systems snows as well. And most of the time its underperforming.  Maybe the issue is depending too much on the models. And of course there always the err on the side of safety   

 

I'm glad to report that I've enjoyed a string of over-performers, or at least systems that matched the best amounts any model was throwing around. Last week's system was the most recent. This will come to an end sooner or later, but its been nice to be on a hot streak! ;)

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I teach at our high school.   We just finished lunch and several teachers were talking about why advisories and warnings were issued when very little happened.  I wonder if in this age of litigation that it is probably better to err on the side of caution.  It seems like in the past they only issued warnings for major events.  

 

I would guess there are many school districts around us that are wondering why they called off today or had late starts.  Our superintendent rarely calls off school or has a late start, always says the parents have the right to keep kids home if they like.  He said he gets more complaints when he doesn't call off school than when he does.

 

Darned if you do, darned if you don't.  I wouldn't want those headaches of an administrator.

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Seen busts like that here before too. Usually LOT is good at getting the headlines right.

 

At least you reached your November normal snowfall!

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Looks like I picked up another 3" of snow for the day, pushing my november total to 8". I'll take it, was a tough forecast for the day and I'm just hoping these storms can come together this winter and bury us all. I'm thinking we are in for one heck of a ride; I'm fine with warm bouts in between storms as long as we keep the ground white for most of the winter! 

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0.62" of cold rain here with occasional sleet.

Hopefully tomorrow morning it can snow a bit.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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0.62" of cold rain here with occasional sleet.

Hopefully tomorrow morning it can snow a bit.

Could see some heavy snow showers develope tomorrow morning. Could at least whiten the ground for a bit and make traffic a little difficult in the morning. Better enjoy this as it will remain quiet until late next week.

This from NWS: LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES REMAIN QUITE STEEP WITH EVEN SOME POSITIVE CAPE

OF 20-35 J/KG. THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE LOWERS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND IS WITHIN THE UPPER ZONE OF THE LIFT".

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Could see some heavy snow showers develope tomorrow morning. Could at least whiten the ground for a bit and make traffic a little difficult in the morning. Better enjoy this as it will remain quiet until late next week.

This from NWS: LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES REMAIN QUITE STEEP WITH EVEN SOME POSITIVE CAPE

OF 20-35 J/KG. THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE LOWERS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND IS WITHIN THE UPPER ZONE OF THE LIFT".

 

It would be nice to get some action before a long dull period.

 

 

0.62" of cold rain from this system.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Still snowing hard here.  1 mile visibility in a heavy snow band.  It is now blowing sideways.  Hardest it has snowed for a while.  This was a pleasant surprise.  I will have to check amounts later, but they had said 1-3 which might actually occur.  I have looked at some highway web cams and visibility around this area is poor.  

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Still snowing hard here.  1 mile visibility in a heavy snow band.  It is now blowing sideways.  Hardest it has snowed for a while.  This was a pleasant surprise.  I will have to check amounts later, but they had said 1-3 which might actually occur.  I have looked at some highway web cams and visibility around this area is poor.  

 

Nice back end surprise. You deserved it!

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Thanks jaster, this has been an eventful 6 weeks around here.  Plenty of moisture and some snow, still waiting for the big one.  It does look like a winter wonderland around this area.  Places in north central Nebraska south of Valentine measured over a foot and plenty of places in the 6-10 inch category.

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Good to hear that you guys in Nebraska got some bonus snow from the backlash. 

Might pick up an inch late tonight into the morning here.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Looks like winter again here. RGEM/GEM nailed the snow area perfectly.

2.4" here so far.

 

post-7-0-93268000-1449072826_thumb.jpg

 

post-7-0-22552100-1449072838_thumb.jpg

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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