CentralNebWeather Posted January 14, 2016 Report Share Posted January 14, 2016 You are correct. I think we have had between 6 and 10 inches depending on exact location, with most coming as little 1 inch systems, and a storm that was close to 3. Maybe I expected more el nino driven storms that would be rain or snow producers but they have been few and far between in this part of the state and even less to our south. Panhandle, Northern and parts of Eastern and Northeastern Nebraska have done much better. I know Lincoln hasn't had much either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 14, 2016 Report Share Posted January 14, 2016 This would make for an interesting solution http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016011412/ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_10.pnglol disaster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 14, 2016 Report Share Posted January 14, 2016 Turning into an east coast bomb now. Low is in the gulf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yeah, it's been yet another dud of a winter here in Central Nebraska. Not sure how many more of these I can take. It's literally pretty much been a total dud this entire DECADE. Just 1 real winter is all I ask..JUST 1. Atleast it's been somewhat mild instead of frigid and bone dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Weeklies not looking great? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 You are right clintbeed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yeah i feel for you guys basically west of fullerton to GI down to Hastings. I have had snow on the ground since x mas. The way it sounds now my area is basically the only area left with snow on the ground in the CWA according to the disco from today. By my guess, it looks like we have 2-3" of snow left after these past couple days in the 40's. Still waiting for that monster storm, usually in an El Nino season we see that later in the winter. TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON (NORMAL HIGHSAVERAGE IN THE MID 30S) DUE TO GOOD MIXING OF A WARM AIRMASS...AIDED BY INSOLATION AND DOWNSLOPE WINDS. MOST AREAS HAVE REACHEDTHE 50S AND EVEN AREAS WITH SNOW HAVE CLIMBED TO THE UPPER 40S.VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE ERODING SNOW FIELD...NOWGENERALLY CONFINED TO LOCATIONS EAST OF A LINE FROM FULLERTON TOAURORA TO CLAY CENTER...WITH THE MORE SOLID SNOW FIELD STILLRESIDING IN EASTERN POLK COUNTY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 I'd prefer at this point to lock into NW flow for a couple weeks and hope we get lucky with a clipper or two. I'm hoping Saturday night we get a surprise inch or two with the clipper coming through, but right now it looks like southern Iowa is in the best spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Weeklies not looking great?Have you seen them? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Have you seen them?Nope havent seen them just read bits and pieces about teleconnections going the wrong way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lcp Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 I'd prefer at this point to lock into NW flow for a couple weeks and hope we get lucky with a clipper or two. I'm hoping Saturday night we get a surprise inch or two with the clipper coming through, but right now it looks like southern Iowa is in the best spot. Ditto. Seems the way we usually build a good snowpack is through a bunch of 2-5" clippers. Yeh, a big storm is nice but just doesn't happen that often. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Disaster GFS run. Would be a total waste of what will probably the most favorable pattern temp wise we'll have the rest of winter. It torches after the 21st for a while. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Weeklies not looking great? EURO is on an island by itself with that cut off low from what I heard. This isn't the winter to trust the EURO in the mid to long range. GFS doesn't look like it on this run. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 GGEM: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/models/ggem/20160115/00Z/f234/acc10_1snowconus.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Next week was looking bleak, now we have yet another system to track on Tuesday and Wednesday. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 00z Euro... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Dr. Cohen is getting nervous Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Dr. Cohen is getting nervousRegarding??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Regarding???SSW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 SSWSo far its going as planned according to his forecast. SSW isn't supposed to take over now, but more towards end of January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 So far its going as planned according to his forecast. SSW isn't supposed to take over now, but more towards end of January.he through it up on twitter this morning..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Likes Tom Snow map above solid 8 plus here if it were pan out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 GFS showing the 30 day repeat storm from my post-Christmas flood. Don't doubt that there will be a storm around the 25th but doubting temperatures in that period. If I had a dollar for every monster fantasy snowstorm this year already, I could've paid a month of my weatherbell subscription at least! Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 he through it up on twitter this morning.....Ahh...gotcha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Things may be looking up for my area, but I'm having a hard time trusting the models much past 3 days this winter. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS/2016011512/USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_180.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 15, 2016 Report Share Posted January 15, 2016 Tuesday has become more of a spread the wealth type storm on the GFS, widespread 2-4 at least.http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160115/18Z/f120/acckucherasnowmw.png 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 This cold and stormy pattern seems to be missing a component. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 This cold and stormy pattern seems to be missing a component.The 220 rainstorm on the gfs would even piss me off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 The 220 rainstorm on the gfs would even piss me off No kidding. Have had enough with these types of storm tracks.Good thing that it is 220 hours away. I would be fine with Clippers the rest of the winter, if it meant no more pointless 1 to 2 day warm ups that wipe out half the snow cover. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 Looking at the snowfall prediction thread is pretty funny in hindsight. I'll be lucky to see ten inches on the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 00z Euro prob had a fluke run...noticed the NAO spike way positive that run...the current 10mb/30mb warming that is happening may be wrecking havoc in the modeling. Bubble is about to burst over the polar regions. Noticed that the polar vortex is pretty disorganized in the lower part of the stratosphere already. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 No kidding. Have had enough with these types of storm tracks.Good thing that it is 220 hours away. I would be fine with Clippers the rest of the winter, if it meant no more pointless 1 to 2 day warm ups that wipe out half the snow cover. You would think differently if you lived here where the best we can muster is a 2" or so accumulation from a clipper (and since it's dry snow, it settles/disappears rather quickly). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 You would think differently if you lived here where the best we can muster is a 2" or so accumulation from a clipper (and since it's dry snow, it settles/disappears rather quickly). How much of a base is leftover from the snow and sleet storm? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 lol, how does the GFS go from 15 degrees 18zhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160115/18Z/f234/sfctconus.png to 40 rain? 00Zhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160116/00Z/f228/sfctconus.pngThats the consistency we want to see! Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 Lol, o no it's taking after the EURO! Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 Looking like the EURO cyclops low taps into some cold air late next week.Would guess there would be snow north of the I-70 corridor. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 lol long-range gfs is a torch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 lol, how does the GFS go from 15 degrees 18zhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160115/18Z/f234/sfctconus.png to 40 rain? 00Zhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160116/00Z/f228/sfctconus.pngThats the consistency we want to see!because it's nearly 10 days out? sorry no computer model is consistent that far out.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 16, 2016 Report Share Posted January 16, 2016 Question for Tom: what happened to this active pattern that was supposed to develop through the middle of the country? Besides the 6" storm I had back on December 28th, meteorological winter has featured at most 2" type events. I was saying and thinking a year or two back that you'd be talking up any pattern as an active/snowy one, and it seems I was right. If you don't like that I just use my backyard, ask just about anyone on this forum, and they will say it has not been a good pattern for snow, and only recently a decent one for cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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