Hawkeye Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Grizzcoat said: looks like the heat advisory in E.IA was a bust -- though humid-- just a typical summer day for ambient Our high temp has been over-forecasted all summer. We had two 90º highs in July. The NWS and locals all had mid 90s today and were way off. They all had 100º for Wednesday. Now the NWS has upper 90s Saturday. Ugh! It is never that hot. Stop forecasting it to be that hot. Jeez. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 24 minutes ago, Clinton said: Nastiest day of the year imo. Currently I have a temp of 98 with a Heat Index of 111. On the plus side there is a 20mph wind lol. Plain awful! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 The 104F+ temps ( and record heat wave in general) forecasted for C.IA is a bust, this - from 4-5 days out. This includes omitting the horrible GFS ,This would be = to -15F to -20F in the winter for lows , which is NEVER forecasted that far out apples to apples. Is there a bias in some NWS forecasts? You bet. And most lean too warm, esp summer here in IA. Still waiting on that 100F in DSM this summer which has been forecasted 6-7 times. Hmmm.. Gotta give the NWS credit though for calling out the GFS for it's 110-115F Al Gore like temps , but they are still too warm,, no records broken for heat this summer ( KDSM) but the local media makes it out to be like 1936, not understanding what happened in 1936 with 15 consecutive days 100F or above. None yet in 2022. 4 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Posted this over in the PNW thread with the old homies, but wanted to share here too with the new homies. Yesterday we welcomed Daisy as the newest member of our family. We will soon get to experience a SD winter for the first time together. What a cute dog! I’m sure she will enjoy the snow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 I topped off at 100.9 with a max heat index of 112 IMBY. 2nd time hitting 100+ IMBY this year so far. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Stats for Austin, TX in July 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 1 minute ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Stats for Austin, TX in July That’s beyond ridiculous… holy heat wave for our Texas peeps. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Totally normal…. Meanwhile, I broke down and started watering my grass today before it totally dies. Only had 1/2” of rain since 7/7. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted August 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 35 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Same radar signature that happened before the dust/haboob-like storm in May. Assuming that's the storm outflow? I can see the leading edge of it just to my NW. Looks like a big shelf cloud. Too bad it's dark, can't get a good picture. Definitely outflow! Even though haboobs are cool, if one happened in mid-summer that's a sign the ground is still really dry, so hoping that doesn't spawn one. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Temps are still in the low 80s across my area this morning. Looking forward to a cold front moving through tonight that should knock the humidity and temps back down to average. Storm chances look to be scattered and better to my east. Also KC hit 100 degrees yesterday for the second time this summer. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Happy Hump Day! The pattern continues to cycle...check this out, remember how we opened up Met Summer way up near Hudson Bay? They had a rare Summer Snow storm back then and as we open August we see an identical pattern. This time, however, it may be a bit to warm to snow but the same pattern is cycling (63 days later). #HudsonBayVortex 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 They keep adjusting us up! 104* today and 103* mañana! Enough already. 2 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 84/62 there was no rain fall and the sun was out 92% of the time. The official overnight low at GR so for looks to be 70 that was at 1AM. Here at my house I had warmer low of 72. At the current time there is a on going shower here and 74. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Went from heat and drought conditions yesterday to a flood advisory this morning! About 1.5 inches have fell in the last hour and they are expecting more showers and storms throughout the day 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: Went from heat and drought conditions yesterday to a flood advisory this morning! About 1.5 inches have fell in the last hour and they are expecting more showers and storms throughout the day I bet the cooler air feels nice after yesterday's roasting. I hope some of those storms make it this way this afternoon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, Clinton said: I bet the cooler air feels nice after yesterday's roasting. I hope some of those storms make it this way this afternoon. It should feel a lot better today outside of the humidity. Hopefully the rain makes it over to you this afternoon! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 @OttumwaSnomow are you finally getting some rain? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 A week ago models were forecasting a significant heatwave with little or no rain all week. Instead, I just got my third strong storm in three days and we have not hit 90º once. This storm just now is warned for wind. It did get quite gusty, perhaps 50 mph, but not quite severe. It was a thin line so, while the rain was quite heavy, my gauge only has 0.34". 1 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Potential for some storms today and tanite. In the meantime, very hot temps forecasted for today w readings in the mid to possibly upper 90s. Realfeel in the triple digits. Yuck! Nice cooldown coming next week. Possibly highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Hello from El Paso. Didn't get too far yesterday but oh well. My fiancee sent me this photo of our weather station from back at home in MN last night during a storm up there. Haha 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Only 3 tropical systems so far this year. Hurricane season is off to a slow start. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 88 at 5a this morning at the airport. Had .05” of rain IMBY shortly thereafter but now it’s back to 93/104 at 1115 in the morning. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Our forecast is mind numbing repetitive. 104 today, 103 tomorrow, then 9 days of 100*. 9 days. Can we get into the 90’s? It’s like the computer is stuck! What are long range models saying? Texas is having a hard time. Migraine levels are high right now. That’s me. And I’m begging for relief. But a 2 week string of 100 is hammering me. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 At the end of last week, models/locals/NWS had today being the big 100º day. Instead, it's 76º. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Models are trending toward a front slowly sagging south across the upper midwest this weekend into early next week. A widespread soaker could be the result. 2 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Here we go: Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 514 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 225 PM EDT WED AUG 3 2022 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MIC005-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-049-057-059-063-065-067- 075-077-081-087-091-093-099-111-115-117-125-139-145-147-149-151- 155-157-159-161-163-040100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0514.220803T1825Z-220804T0100Z/ MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGAN BARRY BAY BERRIEN BRANCH CALHOUN CASS CLINTON EATON GENESEE GRATIOT HILLSDALE HURON INGHAM IONIA JACKSON KALAMAZOO KENT LAPEER LENAWEE LIVINGSTON MACOMB MIDLAND MONROE MONTCALM OAKLAND OTTAWA SAGINAW SANILAC SHIAWASSEE ST. CLAIR ST. JOSEPH TUSCOLA VAN BUREN WASHTENAW WAYNE $$ Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 401 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-040900- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 401 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Heat and humidity today will push heat indices to around 100 degrees this afternoon. A heat advisory is in effect for the entire Detroit Metro Area and points south. Refer to the heat advisory statement for further details. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening between noon and midnight. The best chance for severe storms is between 1-6 PM. Damaging winds to 65 mph and hail larger than 1 inch in diameter are the main threats. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out with the first storms that develop Wednesday afternoon, likely north of M-59. Torrential rainfall will also occur with the strongest thunderstorms, which could lead to urban and low lying flooding. Storm motion looks to be east around 25 mph. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday A chance of thunderstorms continues for Thursday and Thursday evening, especially toward the southern Michigan border, with locally heavy rainfall being the main hazard. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Dispatchers please notify your emergency managers immediately. Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening. $$ 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted August 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Wow. Look at this giant line. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 6 hours ago, Tom said: @OttumwaSnomow are you finally getting some rain? We managed .23 many around me got more. As noted today was predicted to be in uppee 90s. But barely could muster 80f with clouds and showera much of day. Drought continues and the heat wave continues to be way overhyped here. 17 90 degrees days by aug 3rd not bad! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Clouds and sprinkles have kept temps in the upper 80s. Currently steamy 89 with a dew point 76 and a Heat Index of 101. Hope some thunderstorms form but the best chance looks to be off to my SE. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 Tell me somethings going to change in No Tx, pleeeez! I have a migraine and it seems to want to camp out. Bad air and heat. 104 today. Gnarly air. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Andie said: Tell me somethings going to change in No Tx, pleeeez! I have a migraine and it seems to want to camp out. Bad air and heat. 104 today. Gnarly air. 10 day Euro gets cooler and wetter for you later next week. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 No way!! Far out! There will be neighbors dancing naked in the streets! Ewww! But how cool? If only we could keep it! Heres local’s call Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 Big noisy storms here overnight dropped 2.75 inches of rainfall. What a great surprise I was not expecting much. 4 and 5 inch totals being reported just to my south and a Flood warning is in effect from mby and the countries to my south and east. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 17 minutes ago, Clinton said: Big noisy storms here overnight dropped 2.75 inches of rainfall. What a great surprise I was not expecting much. 4 and 5 inch totals being reported just to my south and a Flood warning is in effect from mby and the countries to my south and east. Awesome! Glad to see this front delivered for your area...how is the crop in general doing in the state of MO? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 Yesterday was a Big Severe wx day for our Michiganders...hope you guys out east faired well...some might not have power from all the wind reports... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 Locals finally put mid week rain and 96* temps in the forecast. Makes you wonder if they’re on “auto-heat” mode. Everyone is begging for good news. Rain and mid 90’s makes you dance after 104*! 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 87/71 the official rain fall amount was 0.70” and there was just 11% of sunshine. Here in MBY I recorded 0.49” of rain fall yesterday. It was much warmer to the south and east of Grand Rapids and as has been the case many times this past year. To the west with more clouds and a wind off the lake it was cooler (thought humid) with highs of 82 at Muskegon and 86 at Holland. It was a warm night with the low in MBY of 72 and the official low at GRR also 72. I will be in Wisconsin and will try to give a report now and then as to how the weather is on the other side of the Lake. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Tom said: Yesterday was a Big Severe wx day for our Michiganders The storms were north of me early in the day and to the south of me later in the day. Here there was some rain (heavy at times) but no wind. At this time there are about 50000 without power from Consumers Power one of the power companies here in Michigan. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 9 hours ago, westMJim said: The storms were north of me early in the day and to the south of me later in the day. Here there was some rain (heavy at times) but no wind. At this time there are about 50000 without power from Consumers Power one of the power companies here in Michigan. Same here. I had no wind at all, just brief hvy rains and some lightning. I think I heard a far thunder a couple of times and that's about it. Quite odd, considering the radar was lid. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 11 hours ago, Tom said: Awesome! Glad to see this front delivered for your area...how is the crop in general doing in the state of MO? Doing good for the most part. Should be a good year for many. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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