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August 2022 Observation & Discussion


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Same radar signature that happened before the dust/haboob-like storm in May. Assuming that's the storm outflow?

I can see the leading edge of it just to my NW. Looks like a big shelf cloud. Too bad it's dark, can't get a good picture. 

Screenshot_20220802-211441_RadarScope.jpg

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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35 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Same radar signature that happened before the dust/haboob-like storm in May. Assuming that's the storm outflow?

I can see the leading edge of it just to my NW. Looks like a big shelf cloud. Too bad it's dark, can't get a good picture. 

Screenshot_20220802-211441_RadarScope.jpg

Definitely outflow! Even though haboobs are cool, if one happened in mid-summer that's a sign the ground is still really dry, so hoping that doesn't spawn one. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 39
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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12 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Definitely outflow! Even though haboobs are cool, if one happened in mid-summer that's a sign the ground is still really dry, so hoping that doesn't spawn one. 

It didn't, thankfully. Just coincided with a nice kick up in wind gusts. 

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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Temps are still in the low 80s across my area this morning.  Looking forward to a cold front moving through tonight that should knock the humidity and temps back down to average.  Storm chances look to be scattered and better to my east.  Also KC hit 100 degrees yesterday for the second time this summer.

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Happy Hump Day!  The pattern continues to cycle...check this out, remember how we opened up Met Summer way up near Hudson Bay?  They had a rare Summer Snow storm back then and as we open August we see an identical pattern.  This time, however, it may be a bit to warm to snow but the same pattern is cycling (63 days later).  #HudsonBayVortex

image.gif

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

Went from heat and drought conditions yesterday to a flood advisory this morning! About 1.5 inches have fell in the last hour and they are expecting more showers and storms throughout the day 

I bet the cooler air feels nice after yesterday's roasting.  I hope some of those storms make it this way this afternoon. 

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A week ago models were forecasting a significant heatwave with little or no rain all week.  Instead, I just got my third strong storm in three days and we have not hit 90º once.

This storm just now is warned for wind.  It did get quite gusty, perhaps 50 mph, but not quite severe.  It was a thin line so, while the rain was quite heavy, my gauge only has 0.34".

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Our forecast is mind numbing  repetitive.  
104 today, 103 tomorrow, then 9 days of 100*.  

9 days. 

Can we get into the 90’s?  It’s like the computer is stuck!

What are long range models saying?  
Texas is having a hard time.  
Migraine levels are high right now.  
That’s me.  And I’m begging for relief.  
But a 2 week string of 100 is hammering me.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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At the end of last week, models/locals/NWS had today being the big 100º day.  Instead, it's 76º.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Models are trending toward a front slowly sagging south across the upper midwest this weekend into early next week.  A widespread soaker could be the result.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Here we go:

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 514
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM EDT WED AUG 3 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

MIC005-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-049-057-059-063-065-067-
075-077-081-087-091-093-099-111-115-117-125-139-145-147-149-151-
155-157-159-161-163-040100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0514.220803T1825Z-220804T0100Z/

MI
.    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGAN              BARRY               BAY
BERRIEN              BRANCH              CALHOUN
CASS                 CLINTON             EATON
GENESEE              GRATIOT             HILLSDALE
HURON                INGHAM              IONIA
JACKSON              KALAMAZOO           KENT
LAPEER               LENAWEE             LIVINGSTON
MACOMB               MIDLAND             MONROE
MONTCALM             OAKLAND             OTTAWA
SAGINAW              SANILAC             SHIAWASSEE
ST. CLAIR            ST. JOSEPH          TUSCOLA
VAN BUREN            WASHTENAW           WAYNE
$$



 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
401 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-040900-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
401 AM EDT Wed Aug 3 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heat and humidity today will push heat indices to around 100 degrees
this afternoon. A heat advisory is in effect for the entire Detroit
Metro Area and points south. Refer to the heat advisory statement for
further details.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon
and evening between noon and midnight. The best chance for severe
storms is between 1-6 PM. Damaging winds to 65 mph and hail larger
than 1 inch in diameter are the main threats. An isolated tornado
can not be ruled out with the first storms that develop Wednesday
afternoon, likely north of M-59. Torrential rainfall will also occur
with the strongest thunderstorms, which could lead to urban and low
lying flooding. Storm motion looks to be east around 25 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A chance of thunderstorms continues for Thursday and Thursday evening,
especially toward the southern Michigan border, with locally heavy
rainfall being the main hazard.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Dispatchers please notify your
emergency managers immediately.

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

$$


 

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Wow. Look at this giant line. 

KILX_loop.gif

KIWX_loop.gif

KDTX_loop.gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 39
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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6 hours ago, Tom said:

@OttumwaSnomow are you finally getting some rain?

We managed .23  many around me got more.   As  noted  today was predicted  to be in uppee 90s. But barely could muster 80f with clouds and showera much of day.   Drought  continues  and the heat wave continues  to be way overhyped  here. 17 90 degrees days by aug 3rd not bad!

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Tell me somethings going to change in No Tx, pleeeez!

I have a migraine and it seems to want to camp out. Bad air and heat. 😪

104 today. Gnarly air.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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No way!!   Far out!  
There will be neighbors dancing naked in the streets! 
Ewww!  
But how cool?  If only we could keep it!

Heres local’s call 

 

B9B041AC-C8B3-49BB-9C37-6D7372CD4779.jpeg

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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17 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Big noisy storms here overnight dropped 2.75 inches of rainfall.  What a great surprise I was not expecting much.  4 and 5 inch totals being reported just to my south and a Flood warning is in effect from mby and the countries to my south and east.

Awesome!  Glad to see this front delivered for your area...how is the crop in general doing in the state of MO?

 

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Locals finally put mid week rain and 96* temps in the forecast.  Makes you wonder if they’re on “auto-heat” mode. 


Everyone is begging for good news. 
Rain and mid 90’s makes you dance after 104*!

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 87/71 the official rain fall amount was 0.70” and there was just 11% of sunshine. Here in MBY I recorded 0.49” of rain fall yesterday. It was much warmer to the south and east of Grand Rapids and as has been the case many times this past year. To the west with more clouds and a wind off the lake it was cooler (thought humid) with highs of 82 at Muskegon and 86 at Holland. It was a warm night with the low in MBY of 72 and the official low at GRR also 72.  I will be in Wisconsin and will try to give a report now and then as to how the weather is on the other side of the Lake.

 

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

Yesterday was a Big Severe wx day for our Michiganders

The storms were north of me early in the day and to the south of me later in the day. Here there was some rain (heavy at times) but no wind. At this time there are about 50000 without power from Consumers Power one of the power companies here in Michigan.

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9 hours ago, westMJim said:

The storms were north of me early in the day and to the south of me later in the day. Here there was some rain (heavy at times) but no wind. At this time there are about 50000 without power from Consumers Power one of the power companies here in Michigan.

Same here. I had no wind at all, just brief hvy rains and some lightning. I think I heard a far thunder a couple of times and that's about it. Quite odd, considering the radar was lid.

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Dewpoint back home reached 81.3°F today with a high of 96°F. 🤮 

Looks like DCA just gusted to 58mph. That storm just collapsed and put out a gust front.

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104* today. Then a week of 100’s. 
Tues/Wed has a 20% chance of rain. 

Frankly I think they’re just bored copying and pasting yesterdays forecast.  😴

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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6 hours ago, Phil said:

Dewpoint back home reached 81.3°F today with a high of 96°F. 🤮 

Looks like DCA just gusted to 58mph. That storm just collapsed and put out a gust front.

What started off as a amazingly borning severe thunderstorm season has literally turned into one of the best summer thunderstorm patterns in a long while in this resgion

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The Monsoon seasons has been incredible thus far for the state of AZ.  95% of the valley has received over 1" of rain which is AN through this period of the season.  There is a LOT more to come.  The pattern is going to fire back up this weekend and then again the following weekend.  I'm excited to capture some pictures while I'm out here and some videos.  One thing I noticed right away while flying over the mountains was how lush and green they looked from up top.  That was not the case when I left here back in the Spring. 

Very early yesterday morning morning there was a massive cluster of strong storms that erupted over the valley around 3:00am local time that swept the valley from East to West causing flooding and wind damage.  The high temp was a very cool 93F (106F is Normal).  Heading up into the low 100's today and its quite humid...it's like I never left the soupy air from back home.

Of note, current DP at Scottsdale is 70F...make it a Fantastic Friday!

image.png

 

Current-Valley-Dew-Point.jpg

 

 

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It's going to be a hot sticky weekend around here with highs in the 90s and heat index values near 110.  I am head into the Ozarks on a float trip this weekend.  I'll be on the Current River which is part of the Ozark National Scenic Riverways.  Next week brings a cold front with rain and cooler temperatures, highs look to me in the low to mid 80s.  Looking forward to the drier and more refreshing air.

image.thumb.png.25d54032762e420cee45841f0ab478dd.png

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9 minutes ago, Clinton said:

It's going to be a hot sticky weekend around here with highs in the 90s and heat index values near 110.  I am head into the Ozarks on a float trip this weekend.  I'll be on the Current River which is part of the Ozark National Scenic Riverways.  Next week brings a cold front with rain and cooler temperatures, highs look to me in the low to mid 80s.  Looking forward to the drier and more refreshing air.

image.thumb.png.25d54032762e420cee45841f0ab478dd.png

Awesome!  Have fun on the water and stay cool my friend!

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The rain has shut off around here the last week. The humidity trudges on, unfortunately. We will hope for some rainfall from Saturday night through Monday night, though chances aren’t high. If we don’t get anything, it looks dry for another week after. It is not uncommon for us to go an entire month of August and have little to no rain. Dryland crops probably need another couple of rains to have a good yield. Irrigated crops look amazing and will be fine. Not much dryland farming in this immediate area. 

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