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August 2022 Observation & Discussion


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Drought has hit its next level. I’ve been invaded by fire ants seeking water. In the yard and in my kitchen! 😠  

This is one of the curses of summer here. If you don’t poison your property, which pisses me off, you’ll be invaded. I hit it around my foundation and scan frequently for signs.  
The golf course has hit a serious dry point, so they’re going farther afield. 

97* headed for 100.  What a summer.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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A weak thundershower came through here. In terms of thunder one of my weakest ones. But did result in a downpour for 5 minutes. 

Almost at 40 thunder days of 2022!

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.50"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 1
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders
1/3, 1/12

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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We’re forecast on Tuesday for 96 and 40% chance of rain.  
Low of 77!
 

They really shouldn’t tease us like this. 🙁

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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1 hour ago, Andie said:

We’re forecast on Tuesday for 96 and 40% chance of rain.  
Low of 77!
 

They really shouldn’t tease us like this. 🙁

Don't get disappointed. Lol. I really think this is the ending of this ridge. I'm going to be the coolest place in Oklahoma again for August if long-range is to be believed.

Hope I did well on my timing a couple of weeks ago. 

Old Mason Dixon line and Ozarks to E/NE through Appalachia look to cool and "backdoor" cool air in going thru probably 6 wks. Not going to be "summer-ending", but refreshing, for sure.

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This May article just might have nailed it. 
It is just as true now as then. 

Rare triple dip Niña likely ahead. May as well get prepared.  Pacific isn’t showing any signs of weakening   

https://www.weather.com/news/climate/news/2022-05-12-la-nina-triple-dip-possible-impacts

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Hello from the out skirts of the Great Salt Lake!  We arrived just before 6:00pm local time and took us just about 11 hours from the PHX area.  Gosh, it was quite the journey up here and I forgot how tiring it can get driving non stop while only stopping for gas.  I drove up hwy 89 in between the mountain ranges soaking up the scenic views and driving through the small mountain towns along the valleys.  It was a reminder how beautiful this country is out west and the fact that there are still people who live out in these small farm town communities.  Plenty of farmers growing hay, cattle and such that live off the land.  I'd love to spend some time here in the Winter when the mountains are snow capped. 

The Wasatch mountains to my east are impressive as they tower thousands of feet up in the air.  We plan on driving up into Park City, UT for a day or two and enjoy the mountain lifestyle.  Today, our plan is to spend a relaxing day at Crystal Hot Springs and soak in the mineral spa. https://www.crystalhotsprings.net/home/

It contains the highest mineral content in any hot springs in the world!  In a 24 hour period, 940,000 lbs of minerals is carried to the surface with 2.3 million gallons of hot water that comes up from 8,000 ft below.  Fascinating stuff right there.  

On another note, it appears N IL got socked by heavy rains to the SW of MBY.  This morning may bring another round of heavy rains a bit farther north.  Looks like a splendid week of weather once the rains pass to the south.  It's going to be pretty hot out here with highs in the low 90's and clear skies through Wed before the Monsoon fires up Thu through the weekend.  Have a great Monday!

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13 hours ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Don't get disappointed. Lol. I really think this is the ending of this ridge. I'm going to be the coolest place in Oklahoma again for August if long-range is to be believed.

Hope I did well on my timing a couple of weeks ago. 

Old Mason Dixon line and Ozarks to E/NE through Appalachia look to cool and "backdoor" cool air in going thru probably 6 wks. Not going to be "summer-ending", but refreshing, for sure.

Ya, I'm really liking where the pattern is heading for the month of August.  Those east of say, IA/MO region are going to have a wonderful week of weather.  The following week is when some massive changes are brewing due to a significant spike in the +PNA signal.  This could very well be a clue in the weeks and months ahead on how the models will behave in forecasting the extended range. 

In any case, the EPS just did something wild and traps a deep trough underneath a Canadian 500mb ridge.  So much blocking showing up in and around our Continent.  This could be the welcomed signal that @Andie  @Iceresistanceand folks in the Plains have Long awaited.  My gut feeling and personal opinion is this mid/late month cooling trend for the central US has a legit chance of verifying.

0z EPS 500mb Week 2 animation...

image.gif

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

On another note, it appears N IL got socked by heavy rains to the SW of MBY.  This morning may bring another round of heavy rains a bit farther north.

The Freeport area got 4-8" of rain yesterday morning.  This morning they got another 3-5".

Sunday afternoon/night was a dud for much of Iowa.  I only received 0.09" early this morning, boosting my 2-day total to 0.63".

Some locations across southern Iowa have not even received 0.63" over the last thirty days.

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season snowfall: 16.6"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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19 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

The Freeport area got 4-8" of rain yesterday morning.  This morning they got another 3-5".

Sunday afternoon/night was a dud for much of Iowa.  I only received 0.09" early this morning, boosting my 2-day total to 0.63".

Some locations across southern Iowa have not even received 0.63" over the last thirty days.

I got .09 this am after another  night in the 80s.  Horrible  situation  here developing.  A couple  spots west of me have not had 1 drop in 33 days!

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100* today but next 3-4 days in the 96-98 range. 
We have a 30% chance of rain Tues/Wed.   
We’ll take it! 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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A small gift from Mother Nature last night for the Omaha metro as some of us were treated to some surprise showers and thunderstorms. Picked up 0.25" in my backyard overnight... this doubles my rainfall total over the past 4 weeks so I will definitely take it.

The predicted high temperature for today is 81. It is 65 degrees currently and I will say that it feels amazing and refreshing outside, wish it would stick around for more than one day. 

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2 hours ago, Bryan1117 said:

Hawkeye, this map looks eerily similar to this past Winter’s total snowfall accumulation map - crazy how we have been stuck in this pattern for almost a full year now.

Thats true. Although  I did muster 32 inches of snow somehow.  The general  theme since last mid Aug (1 full yr!) is dry dry dry. Ony really  had 3 weeks when above avg precip  occured!

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4 hours ago, Bryan1117 said:

A small gift from Mother Nature last night for the Omaha metro as some of us were treated to some surprise showers and thunderstorms. Picked up 0.25" in my backyard overnight... this doubles my rainfall total over the past 4 weeks so I will definitely take it.

The predicted high temperature for today is 81. It is 65 degrees currently and I will say that it feels amazing and refreshing outside, wish it would stick around for more than one day. 

I ended up with .34”. Was surprised to suddenly hear thunder when I had stopped looking at the radar a couple hours earlier.

I’m mowing today for the first time in 3 weeks and still probably won’t fill up much of the garbage can.

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2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

I ended up with .34”. Was surprised to suddenly hear thunder when I had stopped looking at the radar a couple hours earlier.

I’m mowing today for the first time in 3 weeks and still probably won’t fill up much of the garbage can.

Yeah I was up until around 11:00pm last night watching the storms to the north over Omaha, and I pretty much gave up all hope as we didn’t even get a sprinkle with the first batch. I was pleasantly surprised to wake up with a quarter inch of rain in the gauge this morning. 

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11 hours ago, Andie said:

This May article just might have nailed it. 
It is just as true now as then. 

Rare triple dip Niña likely ahead. May as well get prepared.  Pacific isn’t showing any signs of weakening   

https://www.weather.com/news/climate/news/2022-05-12-la-nina-triple-dip-possible-impacts

A triple dip? That is rare, but we’re likely facing an extremely rare 4th year La Niña!

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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I could find no confidence in a 4th.  
We will have to wait and see if the 3rd materializes.  
We’re certainly in a warmer trend overall.  I may see some rain Wednesday so that will be nice.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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4 days ahead in the mid 90’s. 
96* avg. 30-40% chance of rain.  
 

This is far more typical of this time however I’m sure we’ll plunge back into the oven. Will enjoy while I can. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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We are now back home after our short trip to the Milwaukee area. I was surprised to see just 0.12” of total rain fall in my rain gauge. I thought there would be a lot more so all of that heavy rain in the forecast was really hit and miss. Now one forecast that did play out was the lake forecast from the Grand Rapids NWS for Lake Michigan. The forecast was for 5-to-7-foot waves. Well the trip back from Manitowoc on the Badger could be described as kind of rocky. That may be call a “big boat”, but with a north wind and the waves we had.  It was somewhat rocky more, so than I thought it would and the crew seemed to be surprised that it rolled that much. With the wind and waves hitting the side of the boat it was rocking side to side, not front to back. Anyway it added to the experience.

 

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As day light begins to emerge to my east, it is a bit breezy this morning but a very comfy 66F/36F.  Not much humidity yet but I'm sure that'll return come later this week.  I'll post some pics and vids from our day yesterday a little later.

For now, I'm starting to see and really believe the worst of Summer is heading our way for many on here.  It's nice to see a plan come together when nature decides to cooperate!  By mid month, the "Attack of the Death Ridge" is showing clear signs of happening now.  @Andie @Iceresistance I think ya'll will be out doing rain dances later this month.  Massive blocking and a lucrative pattern is poised to set up a wetter/cooler pattern for the S Plains.

Pretty neat 0z EPS animation showing how the "dry hole" over the central US/TX fills up with precip Week 2...

image.gif

 

Here comes the cooling trend my friends!  From the 15th and beyond don't look like the "dog days of summer"...that's likely whats happening right now for you guys that are torching.

1.gif

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4 minutes ago, Tom said:

As day light begins to emerge to my east, it is a bit breezy this morning but a very comfy 66F/36F.  Not much humidity yet but I'm sure that'll return come later this week.  I'll post some pics and vids from our day yesterday a little later.

For now, I'm starting to see and really believe the worst of Summer is heading our way for many on here.  It's nice to see a plan come together when nature decides to cooperate!  By mid month, the "Attack of the Death Ridge" is showing clear signs of happening now.  @Andie @Iceresistance I think ya'll will be out doing rain dances later this month.  Massive blocking and a lucrative pattern is poised to set up a wetter/cooler pattern for the S Plains.

Pretty neat 0z EPS animation showing how the "dry hole" over the central US/TX fills up with precip Week 2...

image.gif

 

Here comes the cooling trend my friends!  From the 15th and beyond don't look like the "dog days of summer"...that's likely whats happening right now for you guys that are torching.

1.gif

You beat me to it with the cool down coming I am very excited.  Lezak was on TV yesterday talking about a strong cold front next week and some cooler temps that will have many of us thinking about fall.  It was good to see the Ozarks region of Missouri get big rains last night and in some cases too much at once, with some major flooding going on this morning.

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Aside from those in parts of SE NE/S IA, it appears that the Monsoon pattern will likely remove the drought in many locals of the the SW.  I wonder what the media will focus on then?  Instead of the benefits of mother nature delivering rain in Death Valley, they tarnish the benefits of seeing welcomed precipitation!  Sure, there was flash flooding but this is common in the Monsoon season.  I'm sure it has happened in the past when wx records weren't recorded years and years ago.  Meantime, lets focus on the positive effects and what REALLY matters and that is the MOISTURE!  Bring it on Nature!

 

 

image.png

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10 minutes ago, Clinton said:

You beat me to it with the cool down coming I am very excited.  Lezak was on TV yesterday talking about a strong cold front next week and some cooler temps that will have many of us thinking about fall.  It was good to see the Ozarks region of Missouri get big rains last night and in some cases too much at once, with some major flooding going on this morning.

Speaking of Autumn, as the start of met Autumn looms in the not so distant future, Labor Day weekend could be shaping up to be an ideal wx pattern for much of the central U.S. and encompassing a lot of our members.  The JMA weeklies from last week indicate a lock step similar CFSv2 500mb pattern over North America.

Temp/Precip...nice pocket of BN temps over your area and points south....wet signal for the S Plains...

Screen Shot 2022-08-09 at 6.48.16 AM.png

Screen Shot 2022-08-09 at 6.48.24 AM.png

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48 minutes ago, Clinton said:

You beat me to it with the cool down coming I am very excited.  Lezak was on TV yesterday talking about a strong cold front next week and some cooler temps that will have many of us thinking about fall.  It was good to see the Ozarks region of Missouri get big rains last night and in some cases too much at once, with some major flooding going on this morning.

That will be welcome news as HS football practice has started in Nebraska.  My son is now a Junior, wow I feel old, then I think I also have a daughter that will be a Senior in college this Fall.  Whoa.  Starting tomorrow through Sunday the death ridge moves in again.  No rainfall and unfortunately, very light winds can make a football practice in pads pretty tough.  They had their first practice yesterday and my son came home and said it wasn't too bad as the dew point was only in the upper 50's.  I've taught him well.  😂

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7 hours ago, Tom said:

As day light begins to emerge to my east, it is a bit breezy this morning but a very comfy 66F/36F.  Not much humidity yet but I'm sure that'll return come later this week.  I'll post some pics and vids from our day yesterday a little later.

For now, I'm starting to see and really believe the worst of Summer is heading our way for many on here.  It's nice to see a plan come together when nature decides to cooperate!  By mid month, the "Attack of the Death Ridge" is showing clear signs of happening now.  @Andie @Iceresistance I think ya'll will be out doing rain dances later this month.  Massive blocking and a lucrative pattern is poised to set up a wetter/cooler pattern for the S Plains.

Pretty neat 0z EPS animation showing how the "dry hole" over the central US/TX fills up with precip Week 2...

image.gif

 

Here comes the cooling trend my friends!  From the 15th and beyond don't look like the "dog days of summer"...that's likely whats happening right now for you guys that are torching.

1.gif

Could not be more ready. 
Rain dance drums in the distance!!

I am Soooo weary of summer!!  I know that this Niña will repeat next year but we need a break.  
 

I’m being invaded by fire ants seeking water and last night caught a gecko in the house doing the same.  I keep water out for them on the porch.  Every living thing is desperate.

3pm. Rain out there. 
 

C3056627-9A23-408B-95B8-9EAC546E21EF.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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5:30 pm.  It all looks good on radar but all it delivered was thunder, clouds, and some cooler temps.  
Pretty typical of summer storms here unless they have more moisture behind it.  
 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 78/58 there was no rain fall, it was the first time in 9 days that the mean was below average. The overnight low both in MBY and  at GR was 57  For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high of 98 was set in 1944 and the record low of 45 was set in 1972. At the current time it is clear and 63. The several days look to be uneventful with mostly sunny skies and temperatures cooler than average it will continue to be dry.

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Big change thanks to the front.  
Low of 78 last night.  We’ll see 98 today. And low of 77 tonight.  
100’s return Sunday. 
 

What a relief. A much needed break for the mind.  We are all so tired from endless 100-111(our max). 
PS- Send Fall 😎👍

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Gorgeous day today. Highs in the 70s and lows in the low 50s. A few spots might see upper 40s tomorrow nite. Quite nippy for August. Tons of sunshine, until further notice. It stays dry all week ( and no real humid airmasses anytime soon) and 70s look to dominate my area.

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Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23

Oct'22: Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22: 2.5" Above Average /Normal is 1.9"

Dec'22: 5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.9"

Jan'23: 11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.9"

Feb '23:

(Season is @ 18.7")

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97*   41% humidity.  
Nice dark clouds to the S/SE of me. They’re moving away from me but nice to see the atmosphere much more dynamic.  
 

6F668021-01AB-4DC1-8F4B-1330389488DE.jpeg

AEDE9C32-17DF-4EA6-9698-8B65DB571147.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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85 degrees, increasing clouds. Seeing a few building cumulonimbus.

KJKL_loop (22).gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.50"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 1
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders
1/3, 1/12

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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5 hours ago, Andie said:

Big change thanks to the front.  
Low of 78 last night.  We’ll see 98 today. And low of 77 tonight.  
100’s return Sunday. 
 

What a relief. A much needed break for the mind.  We are all so tired from endless 100-111(our max). 
PS- Send Fall 😎👍

Is that your first below 100 in almost a month? ⛈️

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.50"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 1
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders
1/3, 1/12

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Wet evening! 

2022-08-10 18_07_29-Photos.png

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.50"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 1
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders
1/3, 1/12

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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