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August 2022 Observation & Discussion


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Waking up this morning to cool and comfy temps (74F/68F) along with the fresh smell in the air from the welcomed rains yesterday.  We will have a little break today in the valley from the storms but more will be in the forecast tomorrow and Wednesday.  I was at the pool yesterday and it felt like I was in Florida.  It just baffles me that the Monsoon is so friggin' active this year and some of you in the Plains can't get a drop!  It's crazy how the weather pattern impacts one region and not the other.

Well, this is certainly a sign of the times...

Screen Shot 2022-08-22 at 5.09.47 AM.png

 

 

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I’m hearing totals will hit 4-6”. 
With what I’m seeing it likely will be the high end.  
I’ll hit 4” by noon.  
The heavens just open up.
I couldn’t see 75 yards a moment ago.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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1 minute ago, james1976 said:

@Tom I typically don't pay a lot of attention to the Monsoon but this year seems like it's been way more active from stuff I've seen and heard. 

You got that right!  I'm telling ya, I just went for a walk around the fountain and it feels like a day back home in the humidity or living in Florida.  The DP's have been consistently in the upper 60's to low 70's.  The mountains are seeing daily chances of storms.  Usually, what we see out here is a day or two of the Monsoon and then drier air moves in.  This year has been consistently flooded with abundant moisture in the atmosphere that provides the fuel for storm development.  I think this will end up being a record setting Monsoon for parts of the valley and the state.  Some spots will have the drought completely reversed which is a monumental achievement if you think about where the season started out.  

 

Now the Monsoon is hitting UT and CO pretty hard and also into W Cali where its also needed badly.  Nature has her way of balancing things out on her own time!  This is pure gut feeling and based on what I have been experiencing but don't be surprised we see a very active STJ this coming winter with an active Jet pounding Cali into the 4 corners.  I think UT/CO will see a MUCH better snow season.

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Day 5 of Covid. Feeling good....almost back to normal. Up at the MN home. Absolutely perfect weather. Mowed the lawn and trimmed up the trees today. Power washed front of the house. Took the dog for a walk. Now having a great bonfire out back. Cicadas and crickets being loud!

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Totals finalized. From NWS:  We made history. This is official  other areas put this in the shade    

 

C5ED5109-F707-4634-9139-804B3FA2A0F7.png

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Just a kind of warm 82 today with a low of 67. The worst of the muggy days must be over, we're starting to manage some afternoons with dewpoints in the 60's. 

Haven't had a hot day in a full two weeks as well (92 on 8/9)!

Each week brings different notes in the bug sounds too. There is now a strong dominance on cricket chirping vs. anything else. The nearest katydid is further down the street, crickets make up about 2/3rds of the night time noises.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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They keep adjusting numbers- higher.
Officially 9.55” DFW airport  

A 1 in a 1000 year Deluge.  An awesome sight!  But many are shouting “climate change”.  Down here we call it a rare rain event. 

There have been 5-1 in 1000 yr rain events this year, pretty much along the 30 degree parallel.  That tells me it’s a cycle   Tells climate changers the world is ending.  I don’t buy it   

Its Louisiana’s turn now. 
High water rescues already occurring.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The very pleasant late summer weather continues. Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 80/63 there was no rain fall and 86% of possible sunshine was reported. The overnight low here in MBY was 55 the official overnight low at GRR was 57. At the current time it is 64 at GRR and 66 here in MBY with sunny skies. For today the average H/L is 80/61 the record high of 96 was recorded in 1947 and the record low of 43 was set in back to back years of 1951 and again in 1952.

 

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1 hour ago, Andie said:

They keep adjusting numbers- higher.
Officially 9.55” DFW airport  

A 1 in a 1000 year Deluge.  An awesome sight!  But many are shouting “climate change”.  Down here we call it a rare rain event. 

There have been 5-1 in 1000 yr rain events this year, pretty much along the 30 degree parallel.  That tells me it’s a cycle   Tells climate changers the world is ending.  I don’t buy it   

Its Louisiana’s turn now. 
High water rescues already occurring.  

Climate change is real.  Get over it already.  Almost everyone accepts it no matter the political belief.  Mountains of evidence.  So weird your political beliefs won't let you accept a simple fact.   

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Change yes. Cause no.  
I don’t believe man is the major cause.  
The entire solar system is experiencing some degree of change.  
I was over it a long time ago. Just not what you think ‘it’ is. 😄

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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2 hours ago, tStacsh said:

Climate change is real.  Get over it already.  Almost everyone accepts it no matter the political belief.  Mountains of evidence.  So weird your political beliefs won't let you accept a simple fact.   

calm down bro

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2 hours ago, tStacsh said:

Climate change is real.  Get over it already.  Almost everyone accepts it no matter the political belief.  Mountains of evidence.  So weird your political beliefs won't let you accept a simple fact.   

Unfortunately, I would say political beliefs determine whether one believes in man made climate change or not. Much like COVID, and that’s pretty sad. 

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2 hours ago, Andie said:

Change yes. Cause no.  
I don’t believe man is the major cause.  
The entire solar system is experiencing some degree of change.  

It's still a gray area for me too. I'd like to see hypothetical cow populations on a planet not farming beef, vs. right now. 

I'm reading about how we're trying to reduce methane production specifically by changing a cows diet. Now, lets consider an environment where humans aren't doing anything to cows. Won't they still produce methane? Back in the days when times were far simpler; what stopped a cow from eating grass in one big open field?

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Currently sitting at 91, which is our first 90+ degree reading since 8/12. It was a nice run of normal/below normal temps.

Luckily, today looks to be the hottest of the next week or so as we head back down to the 70s and 80s for the foreseeable future. 

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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2 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It's still a gray area for me too. I'd like to see hypothetical cow populations on a planet not farming beef, vs. right now. 

I'm reading about how we're trying to reduce methane production specifically by changing a cows diet. Now, lets consider an environment where humans aren't doing anything to cows. Won't they still produce methane? Back in the days when times were far simpler; what stopped a cow from eating grass in one big open field?

There is very real egregious harm being done by the tons of carbon belched out by China’s factories.

. Not talking politics, just tons of carbon. That needs to stop.  
But the millions of volcanos and fumerols deep in the ocean can not be stopped.  I wish we knew what was happening under the ice on the outer planets and moons.  The comparison would be fascinating.  The ice  that is melting in Antarctica is being studied currently to locate the source of heat under the ice shelf’s.  They suspect a volcano or volcanic ridge that’s become active.  
But scientists know the solar system is experiencing change and warming.  It’s a fascinating subject once the politics takes a hike. 

Edit:  change on other planets 

https://www.space.com/33001-mars-ice-age-ending-now.html

So what’s warming THEM up?  
Martian SUVs?

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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2 hours ago, james1976 said:

I've been impressed with how quiet the tropics have been so far this year. Idk what that means moving forward but good there hasn't been any destructive storms so far.

I heard a met on a weather channel comment identically today.  
Very different season.  Maybe they’ll squeak one out before the seasons over.   

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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6 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It's still a gray area for me too. I'd like to see hypothetical cow populations on a planet not farming beef, vs. right now. 

I'm reading about how we're trying to reduce methane production specifically by changing a cows diet. Now, lets consider an environment where humans aren't doing anything to cows. Won't they still produce methane? Back in the days when times were far simpler; what stopped a cow from eating grass in one big open field?

When the vast majority of the scientific world agrees, I tend to go with that. Especially when you consider that includes NASA scientists and the world’s top scientists at scientific institutions and universities around the world.

I tend not to believe the talking heads on Faux News, GOP congressmen, and people like Tom and Andy on a random winter blog.😂😂

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4 hours ago, Andie said:

There is very real egregious harm being done by the tons of carbon belched out by China’s factories.

. Not talking politics, just tons of carbon. That needs to stop.  
But the millions of volcanos and fumerols deep in the ocean can not be stopped.  I wish we knew what was happening under the ice on the outer planets and moons.  The comparison would be fascinating.  The ice  that is melting in Antarctica is being studied currently to locate the source of heat under the ice shelf’s.  They suspect a volcano or volcanic ridge that’s become active.  
But scientists know the solar system is experiencing change and warming.  It’s a fascinating subject once the politics takes a hike. 

Edit:  change on other planets 

https://www.space.com/33001-mars-ice-age-ending-now.html

So what’s warming THEM up?  
Martian SUVs?

Ain’t it great that causes for climate change can vary?

So many deniers think it’s only one or the other.

No one on the HUMAN CAUSED CLIMATE CHANGE side is denying the earth didn’t change before humans, they’re saying 7+ BILLION humans on not that big of a rock are the cause now.

Much like the Earth’s climate has changed over millions of years, Mars’s can too without humans.

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4 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Ain’t it great that causes for climate change can vary?

So many deniers think it’s only one or the other.

No one on the HUMAN CAUSED CLIMATE CHANGE side is denying the earth didn’t change before humans, they’re saying 7+ BILLION humans on not that big of a rock are the cause now.

Much like the Earth’s climate has changed over millions of years, Mars’s can too without humans.

It’s so complex and people react so politically.  Ice ages come and go. The earth has its life. We do affect it yes. Population growth is a problem  


My very real man made disaster on the horizon that frightens me for mankind’s sake is the destruction of our oceans through human pollution. Particularly plastics.  

My sister was an oceanographer. I’ve known a few. It worries them something fierce. Destroy  the ocean and we’re right behind it. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Like a broken record yesterday was yet another very nice late summer day with a official H/L of 82/60 at Grand Rapids. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 84% of the time. The overnight low here in MBY was 60 and it looks like the official overnight low at GRR was 61. At the current time it is 62 here with clear skies. For today the average H/L is now down to 80/60 The record high of 98 was set in 1947 and 1948 the record low of 40 was set in 1942 and again in 1946. Great late summer weather looks to continue for the next several days with a chance of a few showers tomorrow.

 

 

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7 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Let's try and keep political and climate change related talk confined to their respective threads, yeah?

18z GFS had a beauty of a trough dipping into the Upper Midwest in the long range. Some -16c 850mb anomalies were showing up with that thing. It would be a nice taste of fall. A man can dream...

gfs_z500a_namer_53.pnggfs_T850a_ncus_52.png

This would be thing of beauty if it verifies.  We really need some moisture to go along with this change, but we'll take what we can get.

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74* heading for 87*
Humidity currently 87%…..right

Clap your hands and it rains! Miserable.

10” of rain has its consequences. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Yards really getting stressed in town that I drive by.  You just can't put enough water on them.  Of course this makes them more susceptible to disease.  We are 4 days away from going 1 month with only about .06" of rainfall with hot temperatures most of the time.   I hate droughts of any sort. 

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COME ON! GFS looks quite wet next week in KC starting Sunday morning through next Saturday, looks quite unsettled across the midsection. I'm still around 5 inches of rain short for the summer and running about 2 degrees above average on temps. 

Looking forward to fall.

 

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1 hour ago, MIKEKC said:

COME ON! GFS looks quite wet next week in KC starting Sunday morning through next Saturday, looks quite unsettled across the midsection. I'm still around 5 inches of rain short for the summer and running about 2 degrees above average on temps. 

Looking forward to fall.

 

Ottumwa Iowa has a 14 inch deficit  for 2022.  We have had steady deficits since April 1st. These are rough estimates 

April 1.5 inch below avg

May 2.5 inch below avg

June 2 inch below avg

July 2.0 inch  below avg

Aug 3 inch below avg

Its only rained  over 1 inch once in 2022. That was 1.08 in late may in 11 minutes.

Lawns basically  burned up since june.

We will probably  have a 6 inch rain one nite in September.  Thats how this place got its ridiculous high averages. 

Otherwise  were pretty  much west nebraska. 

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The weather this week has been fantastic here with temperatures in the mid 80s.  The GFS keeps trending wetter for KC area as well as Iowa over the next 10 days, really hope those that need the rain get it.

qpf_acc.us_c.png

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We still have about an hour or so of scissor grinders (between 7:30-8:30pm) on our street.

76 degrees at time of recording, with a high of 86. Mild evening and there is noticeably more of a cool-off from the highs nowadays. I hope Septembers are usually this nice. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Today was the 30th day at/above 90°F this summer in DC. Pattern isn’t changing much going forward, either, so we’ll be steadily adding to that total.

Lower sun angles definitely noticeable now, though. Some trees are dropping interior leaves (as they always do in August) and cicadas are screaming from the trees. A sure sign summer is growing old and will soon yield to autumn.

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Yesterday was a very warm late summer day here in Grand Rapids. The official H/L was 85/60. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 85% of the time. The overnight low here in MBY was 65 and the official low at GRR looks to have been 64. At the current time it is cloudy here and 66. There are some showers to the west over Lake Michigan that should be moving in in a little while. For today average H/L is 80/60. The record high of 94 was set in 1948 and again in 1959. The record low of 41 was set in 1942.

 

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Only 0.09" here last night.  I hope this weekend can produce more widespread rain.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I was just thinking this morning, I don't remember the last time I've seen a cloud in the sky.  Probably at least 10 days ago when we had some fog.  Every day is the same weather, 85-90 degrees, little to no wind, with a dew of 60.  Just such a frustrating pattern we are in. Still sitting at .06" in the last 28 days.  

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2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I was just thinking this morning, I don't remember the last time I've seen a cloud in the sky.  Probably at least 10 days ago when we had some fog.  Every day is the same weather, 85-90 degrees, little to no wind, with a dew of 60.  Just such a frustrating pattern we are in. Still sitting at .06" in the last 28 days.  

Most of the past 10 days have had some passing clouds, but almost no rain to speak of. Farms surrounding Lincoln are mostly dryland and don't look good at all, outside of random localized spots that have gotten multiple storms. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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