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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yes. #Masochist

Not really.    It was an enjoyable warm spell for him.   Cooled off every night... never got that hot.   You would have straight up loved it and would not mind a repeat either. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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52 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

I almost lived at Stampede Pass for awhile too. 😱

That would have been fun for the weather*, but a little isolating in all other aspects.

 * not to mention the access to wilderness basically right out one's front door

I’m privileged to have had the experience of living in many of the places I have fantasized about living. It’s meant moving around a fair bit, but I’m still glad to have had the experiences.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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74/53 at KSEA. Almost a throwback kind of day with a cool min, morning clouds, and a mild but not very warm afternoon.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not really.    It was an enjoyable warm spell for him.   Cooled off every night... never got that hot.   You would have straight up loved it and would not mind a repeat either. 

It was absolutely perfect! Upper 80’s to low 90’s for highs and upper 50’s for lows. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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F60078A7-FDA1-4F9F-ACCA-08FAAF609C7C.gif

Stratoform rain signature with precip aloft coming in from the NNW.

God, how I've missed these types of scans 😍

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Nothing to worry about intentional field burning for those who don’t know about it. 

Yeah it put off a lot of smoke today.  It amazes me how well they are at keeping these things under control. Smoke has dissipated this evening and it is very pleasant.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Took this pic looking SW across Klamath Lake towards the McKinney fire. Tons of smoke in Southern Oregon. Quite a few fires burning on the rogue/Umpqua divide. Didn’t seem particularly intense. The one that blew up by Waldo Lake must have been on the other side of the plane. 

BE25BF6A-D6EF-41E1-8C1F-0B4AD6A2B62A.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, Doiinko said:

 

One of the things on my bucket list is to spend a week up there in Utqiaġvik around the summer solstice and also spend another week during the winter solstice. I want to experience what it would feel like to have 24/7 daylight and also 24/7 night and try to have a normal day in the life. Having the sun so close to the horizon all day long would also be surreal. I would imagine I'd only get 2 -3 hours of sleep a night during summer but then probably I'll be sleeping most of the winter days with lots of naps. 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I thought it was supposed to cause the opposite. 

5DD9FEF2-98BD-45F2-8F2F-769A1B942924.jpeg

Sulphide aerosols promote cooling. Most Plinian eruptions are rich in them, but not the Tonga eruption. That ejected mostly water vapor into the upper atmosphere. There really isn’t much to go on for such eruptions (this is the first one in recorded history), so the ultimate effects of this one are, pardon the pun, up in the air.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

One of the things on my bucket list is to spend a week up there in Utqiaġvik around the summer solstice and also spend another week during the winter solstice. I want to experience what it would feel like to have 24/7 daylight and also 24/7 night and try to have a normal day in the life. Having the sun so close to the horizon all day long would also be surreal. I would imagine I'd only get 2 -3 hours of sleep a night during summer but then probably I'll be sleeping most of the winter days with lots of naps. 

I went to Alaska in July 2019 (Not as far north as Utqiagvik though) and it was kind of hard to sleep well. Also it was very warm and there was a lot of wildfire smoke sadly.

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On 7/29/2022 at 8:08 PM, DareDuck said:

Should try and fall to the 6th seed. Probably easier to beat the central winner and the Yankees than asterisks. 

Ahem. 

Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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Wish we could get some rain. Can’t believe a 2nd year in a row now with a major dry lightning outbreak in SW Oregon. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I mentioned this yesterday.   Yesterday and today were a typical set up for the GFS to fail because it assumes too much mixing.   The ECMWF laid a crapload of rotten eggs over the last week in the other direction.   Then you have days when the GFS goes way too cold and looks silly.   That will happen most of the winter.   

Don’t really wanna be mean but it’ll just fall on deaf ears. We’ve literally said MANY times before on a day like today with morning clouds and afternoon sunshine the temps output for the GFS will likely be wrong. 🤷‍♂️ 

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WILDFIRE UPDATE 

NEW Known Wildfires started today! 8/3/22 

Washington - 13 (This is the most amount of new wildfires WA has had so far this year, thirteen in 24hrs.  3 are listed as fast moving, and the state now officially has two large wildfires over 1,000 acres.  One is the Vantage Highway Fire near Vantage, and the other is the Stayman Fire near East Wenatchee.  The good news is they are both contained and not likely to cause damage or spread further.  The three fast-moving new fires are located near Ellensburg, Spokane, and Walla Walla respectively.  Winds are spreading those fires, but their risk to damage property is minimal.  33 is the most fires WA has had so far this year, but with rain in the coming forecast, this will greatly help.  Thankfully, most of these fires are contained and have minimal chance of damage. ) Total: 33

Oregon - 16 (Sadly fires are sprouting up like acne on a teenager in OR the past three days.  A new fast moving fire near Baker City has sprouted and is spreading due to winds.  There is now two major fires in Oregon.  The Willow Creek Fire near Ontario and the new Beech Creek Fire near John Day. The total has exploded from 41 to 60 fires in the state.  The highest so far this year.) Total: 60

Idaho - 0 (No new fires.  Things are going good in Idaho with only four fires in the state.  Two major fires still exist, the Moose Fire and Woodtick Fire in remote locations within the Bitterroot Range. ) Total: 4

British Columbia - 25 (Fires continue to increase, but thankfully many are naturally not spreading as BC Fire Crews are having a poor time at containing any actual fires.  Instead of two major fires, there are now six major fires in BC.  Thanks to the natural snuffing of several small lightning induced blazes, the total has gone down to 63, but with more and more big fires, it is a ticking time bomb with smoke.) Total: 63 

SMOKE UPDATE

Smoke models show the majority of smoke blowing eastward, but possibly around August 5th, winds turn offshore and smoke could blow into the populated areas of the Puget Sound, Willamette Valley, and Lower Mainland.  Regardless, Oregon's Jackson County and Klamath County remain under a poor air quality advisory due to the smoke from fires in California. Smoke from a newly formed fire near Stayton, Oregon may also cause some smoke around the Portland metro area, even though there is currently an eastward bias with the winds.  

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14 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

71/54 today breezy with full sunshine down to 63 already. 

Nice cold front for sure.  Temps have been plunging this evening in most places.  850s have been crashing so it's not just because of onshore flow.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

 

WILDFIRE UPDATE 

NEW Known Wildfires started today! 8/3/22 

Washington - 13 (This is the most amount of new wildfires WA has had so far this year, thirteen in 24hrs.  3 are listed as fast moving, and the state now officially has two large wildfires over 1,000 acres.  One is the Vantage Highway Fire near Vantage, and the other is the Stayman Fire near East Wenatchee.  The good news is they are both contained and not likely to cause damage or spread further.  The three fast-moving new fires are located near Ellensburg, Spokane, and Walla Walla respectively.  Winds are spreading those fires, but their risk to damage property is minimal.  33 is the most fires WA has had so far this year, but with rain in the coming forecast, this will greatly help.  Thankfully, most of these fires are contained and have minimal chance of damage. ) Total: 33

Oregon - 16 (Sadly fires are sprouting up like acne on a teenager in OR the past three days.  A new fast moving fire near Baker City has sprouted and is spreading due to winds.  There is now two major fires in Oregon.  The Willow Creek Fire near Ontario and the new Beech Creek Fire near John Day. The total has exploded from 41 to 60 fires in the state.  The highest so far this year.) Total: 60

Idaho - 0 (No new fires.  Things are going good in Idaho with only four fires in the state.  Two major fires still exist, the Moose Fire and Woodtick Fire in remote locations within the Bitterroot Range. ) Total: 4

British Columbia - 25 (Fires continue to increase, but thankfully many are naturally not spreading as BC Fire Crews are having a poor time at containing any actual fires.  Instead of two major fires, there are now six major fires in BC.  Thanks to the natural snuffing of several small lightning induced blazes, the total has gone down to 63, but with more and more big fires, it is a ticking time bomb with smoke.) Total: 63 

SMOKE UPDATE

Smoke models show the majority of smoke blowing eastward, but possibly around August 5th, winds turn offshore and smoke could blow into the populated areas of the Puget Sound, Willamette Valley, and Lower Mainland.  Regardless, Oregon's Jackson County and Klamath County remain under a poor air quality advisory due to the smoke from fires in California. Smoke from a newly formed fire near Stayton, Oregon may also cause some smoke around the Portland metro area, even though there is currently an eastward bias with the winds.  

It’s much appreciated the in depth updates you give on this. 

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40 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I thought it was supposed to cause the opposite. 

5DD9FEF2-98BD-45F2-8F2F-769A1B942924.jpeg

 

36 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Sulphide aerosols promote cooling. Most Plinian eruptions are rich in them, but not the Tonga eruption. That ejected mostly water vapor into the upper atmosphere. There really isn’t much to go on for such eruptions (this is the first one in recorded history), so the ultimate effects of this one are, pardon the pun, up in the air.

From a NASA article yesterday. Looks like Tonga is in a class of it's own. 🌋 

"Volcanic eruptions rarely inject much water into the stratosphere. In the 18 years that NASA has been taking measurements, only two other eruptions – the 2008 Kasatochi event in Alaska and the 2015 Calbuco eruption in Chile – sent appreciable amounts of water vapor to such high altitudes. But those were mere blips compared to the Tonga event, and the water vapor from both previous eruptions dissipated quickly. The excess water vapor injected by the Tonga volcano, on the other hand, could remain in the stratosphere for several years."

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere

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