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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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Major lightning storm outside. We've been watching with awe the last 20 mins or so. I'll have to miss the garbage truck tomorrow but better to watch than walk a few mins to the street. Lost power for about 5 seconds.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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4 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

May you never have to get into offensive tackles.

We were perilously close to linebackers and centers last season.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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8 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Major lightning storm outside. We've been watching with awe the last 20 mins or so. I'll have to miss the garbage truck tomorrow but better to watch than walk a few mins to the street. Lost power for about 5 seconds.

I have been watching that on radar... pretty impressive over there and might continue for awhile.   The storms are still lined up down into NE OR moving north.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

PDX had a high of 78 today. The last 3 days have been 88/86/78. Last week they also had a 88/86/78 stretch, just separated by 6 days. 

web_PDXTemp_13days-2.jpg.7ccfa690ac38dfe5c260628d55b96caa.jpg

Pulled off a 68 here today.  That was a pleasant surprise.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looks like another big oddity for a Nina summer might be emerging.  The Atlantic is just dead quiet and nothing is in sight.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Rather uninspiring GFS run.  Just like no matter what we torch in August this century.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Ready for night shift this fall? Erry night we go HAM.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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At least the ECMWF gives some hope we won't go into the furnace.  Fairly warm, but not terrible.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Shelton is 54 and clear right now.  Looks like tomorrow will have a lot more sunshine.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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In the latest Ag Weather update... they point to analog years showing a drier than normal fall out here.     But this summer has not fit any analog for a multi-year Nina so who knows.

 

ag8-8.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I think I’m finally acclimated to humidity this year. 90/75 with light winds at 11AM and I’m barely sweating.

Either that or I’m just dehydrated. :lol: 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

In the latest Ag Weather update... they point to analog years showing a drier than normal fall out here.     But this summer has not fit any analog for a multi-year Nina so who knows.

 

ag8-8.png

The regime of ET wavebreaking that was kickstarted by the MJO/deposition of AAM back on mid-May has sustained itself in the face of strong (and strengthening) La Niña forcing.

Quite unusual but hard to say whether it will sustain and/or is indicative of something bigger. Could be as cold season dynamics take over the circulations change again.

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12 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

In Florida there would be a dozen things you hated about the weather for that one advantage.  That having been said thunderstorm action in the EPSL has been abysmal the last two years.  At least I have had some thunder this year unlike last year.

Was just there last week and cannot understand how anyone would want to live there. No cold fronts or airmass changes in the summer, and no variability in terrain or microclimates. 

Sure there are daily thunderstorms during the summer/fall, but the winter/spring are basically a clone of SoCal. No weather at all. 

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10 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like another big oddity for a Nina summer might be emerging.  The Atlantic is just dead quiet and nothing is in sight.

And that is welcome news. Last 5 years have been rough s**t.

I’m skeptical the season actually ends up quiet, though. The ENSO correlations are much stronger in Sep/Oct than Jul/Aug. This one almost feels like the inverse of active +ENSO seasons like 2004, which started off gangbusters but tapered quickly as summer dynamics gave way to autumn.

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8 minutes ago, Phil said:

Was just there last week and cannot understand how anyone would want to live there. No cold fronts or airmass changes in the summer, and no variability in terrain or microclimates.

My theory is you would have to really hate winter. Bonus points if you are into boating or golf. I like winter and am into neither so FL has never appealed to me in the least.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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NWS was right about the high water content for the cells near me. I had .44 inches of rainfall overnight which hopefully reduces fire start potential. We might have more t-storms tonight.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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23 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

My theory is you would have to really hate winter. Bonus points if you are into boating or golf. I like winter and am into neither so FL has never appealed to me in the least.

I like boating and golf.    And I am less enamored with winter as I get older.    The SW coast of Florida might be calling us for vacation home rental property and winter getaway spot.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Latest EPS seasonal projects November as the coldest month relative to average in the PNW.

Verbatim December looks ridgy, January looks like a mishmash of different patterns, and February looks zonal.

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I like boating and golf.    And I am less enamored with winter as I get older.    The SW coast of Florida might be calling us for vacation home rental property and winter getaway spot.  

Don’t drink the poison. A good chunk of my family including my dad live in Sarasota now after starting out as part time residents.

FL drains your ambition and sucks your life force.

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7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Don’t drink the poison. A good chunk of my family including my dad live in Sarasota now after starting out as part time residents.

FL drains your ambition and sucks your life force.

We would not be there in the summer.     Its a great winter getaway place with average highs from 75-80 and lots of sun from November - March.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

Why is this happening???? 

Wide Hadley Cell (yet again) and augmented by persistent wave breaking.

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