Jump to content

August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

lol

 

image.thumb.png.3dfcc8af3bbae9a0a94e3fe4eb7c8aaa.png

Looks like FLORIDA it is!

 

  • lol 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hard to believe we were sitting here on July 3rd in the 50s and raining with no real warmth in sight and Phil saying its going to turn very troughy by the middle of July again as Nina takes hold... and we end up tying 2015 for the most 90 degree days before the end of August.   That was a serious turnaround this summer.    And we still have a chance to set a new record tomorrow.  

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, skywatcher said:

Pretty cloudless day for most, but not so pretty fire smoke visible on GOES-18. It's that time of year

image.thumb.gif.a40da6e462cae4c3a7264a7680293101.gif

Nice to see my old place smoke free currently. 

  • Like 2

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I hope Jesse is okay. 

  • lol 2
  • Storm 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

lol

 

image.thumb.png.3dfcc8af3bbae9a0a94e3fe4eb7c8aaa.png

I bet there will be 'some' cold/snowy in there for the Ohio Valley but not like they imagine. If the pattern repeats last year, December will have lots of days in the 60's and rain here.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

97 at SLE. Meh. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

88/57 on the day.

currently 82. Couldn’t ask for a nicer day being only a day or so away from the Fall season. A month from now we will be lucky to get above the mid 60’s for highs. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's pretty unreal how dead the models are for Atlantic tropical storms over the next two weeks.  Looks highly possible there will only be one at the absolute peak of the season.  Hard to figure why the Nina isn't making a more favorable environment for storms there.

I've already seen some talk from the experts that they are planning some extensive studies on what has gone "wrong" this season.  The theory is they greatly underestimated what a dampening effect the dry Saharan air and dust ended up having.  You have to wonder if the Tonga volcano could have something to with it in spite of the fact the veil of water vapor has just recently barely reached north of the Equator.  Whatever is going on, something is interfering with the normal effects of the ongoing La Nina.  You need look no further than our hot summer to see that.  We've never had anything close to this deep into a multi year Nina.

Looking ahead...I hope this doesn't end up messing with our prospects for this winter.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

86/59 today…average temp this month is up to 68.6 now with one final hot day to go. We’re +3.2 now this month. 

Just par for the course for August now.  I ended up with 90/56 here.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looking at September this century, it isn't nearly as locked into the warm mode that August is in.  There have been a fair number of cool to normal Septembers, but still on the warm side overall.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

That song has had quite the resurgence.   My son said its played at every college party now and most of the kids know every word by heart.   

Mariners are also doing an entire Earth Wind and Fire fireworks show next week.

  • Like 1

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's pretty unreal how dead the models are for Atlantic tropical storms over the next two weeks.  Looks highly possible there will only be one at the absolute peak of the season.  Hard to figure why the Nina isn't making a more favorable environment for storms there.

I've already seen some talk from the experts that they are planning some extensive studies on what has gone "wrong" this season.  The theory is they greatly underestimated what a dampening effect the dry Saharan air and dust ended up having.  You have to wonder if the Tonga volcano could have something to with it in spite of the fact the veil of water vapor has just recently barely reached north of the Equator.  Whatever is going on, something is interfering with the normal effects of the ongoing La Nina.  You need look no further than our hot summer to see that.  We've never had anything close to this deep into a multi year Nina.

Looking ahead...I hope this doesn't end up messing with our prospects for this winter.

I’m worried we won’t have a winter based on how screwed up our summer has been since the eruption. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

PDX just hit 100 on the inters...

  • Like 3
  • Popcorn 1

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Annnd it's official. PDX hits 100 with a very late push.

  • Like 4
  • Excited 3

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Annnd it's official. PDX hits 100 with a very late push.

Nice... might as well get some credit in the record books.  

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No need to beat a dead horse, so I will only mention this once. Record highs/heat were a lot more exciting when they didn't happen for months on end every single year. 

Meanwhile if we ever break a cold record we need an Earth, Wind, and Fire fireworks show to celebrate the once in a decade accomplishment. 

Its such commonplace now, it really doesn't even bother me much... That part of me died sometime around July 2018. 

  • Like 4

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice... might as well get some credit in the record books.  

The summer of never ending records being broken. I've stopped even looking for out here cause there are too many to keep track of. I know we're about to break the most 90 degree days set in 2007.

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

No need to beat a dead horse, so I will only mention this once. Record highs/heat were a lot more exciting when they didn't happen for months on end every single year. 

Meanwhile if we ever break a cold record we need an Earth, Wind, and Fire fireworks show to celebrate the once in a decade accomplishment. 

Its such commonplace now, it really doesn't even bother me much... That part of me died sometime around July 2018. 

Couldn't agree more.

  • Thanks 1

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The other nice thing is whether or not summer is hot really seems to have no bearing on how the winter turns out. 

IF the long term trend was hotter summers, but also colder winters, with variability in fall and spring, that would be a decent trade off. Doesn't seem to work that way though, it's just summer is warming faster than the other seasons, but we will see how the rest of the decade goes. 

In other news today marks 12 years since I moved back to Oregon. Tomorrow will make 11 years since I moved into this house. We had some real heat over the following week or so, and some legit snow that winter, which we have yet to surpass after all these years. 

  • Like 3

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The other nice thing is whether or not summer is hot really seems to have no bearing on how the winter turns out. 

IF the long term trend was hotter summers, but also colder winters, with variability in fall and spring, that would be a decent trade off. Doesn't seem to work that way though, it's just summer is warming faster than the other seasons, but we will see how the rest of the decade goes. 

In other news today marks 12 years since I moved back to Oregon. Tomorrow will make 11 years since I moved into this house. We had some real heat over the following week or so, and some legit snow that winter, which we have yet to surpass after all these years. 

I just noticed that you had 98.5" of snow in 2011/2012 from your signature! I'm guessing March 2012 was probably very snowy at that elevation, and same with January but that's a lot!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Couldn't agree more.

And yet Bozeman has been smashing all kinds of cold and snow records as well since you moved there.    I feel like you have been buried in snow since you got there except for a few weeks each year.  

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I really think this could be a slow fall and winter very few storms some could be strong but overall a bit quieter, definitely leaning towards slightly warmer than normal for most any potential of real chilly conditions would probably be late Jan or more into February. I'm very certain we are at least one snowfall this winter for Willamette and Puget Sound Regions that marks up to an inch any other snowfalls or greater accumulations I'm not confident on. Just not seeing an all out impressive fall or winter as of now. 

  • Like 1

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

I really think this could be a slow winter and fall few storms some could be strong but overall a bit quieter, definitely leaning towards slightly warmer than normal for most any potential of real chilly conditions would probably be late Jan or more into February. I'm very certain we are at least one snowfall this winter for Willamette and Puget Sound Regions that marks up to an inch any other snowfalls or greater accumulations I'm confident on. Just not seeing an all out impressive fall or winter as of now. 

If I had to guess a timeframe maybe late November or mid January? No logic behind that guess but that's what I'm thinking

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

And yet Bozeman has been smashing all kinds of cold and snow records as well since you moved there.    I feel like you have been buried in snow since you got there except for a few weeks each year.  

In some climates its not so rare to set new cold records. Seems the window of matching those are shortening in the lowland elevations, but significant cold can still occur in the mountains. (no idea what the deal is with Gov Camp lacking extreme lows, but I've mentioned before KLMT has seen a few of their top 10 lows in the last several years)

Take the number of >60 lows these last handful of summers in Portland an example, while summer lows are largely unaffected at my old place. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I’m worried we won’t have a winter based on how screwed up our summer has been since the eruption. 

Who knows....it may actually work in our favor.  Just too many unknowns right now. In general a second or third year Nina with +QBO would be golden for us.  As we've seen in recent years autumn has a tendency to crash pretty hard after these hot summers.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

I just noticed that you had 98.5" of snow in 2011/2012 from your signature! I'm guessing March 2012 was probably very snowy at that elevation, and same with January but that's a lot!

Yes, we also had the only significant November snow in the entire period I have lived here, and a couple inches in April to top things off. March had about 40" of snow which is our 2nd snowiest month in that period (After February 2019), and January had 32.5". We had 21" in one day on 1/17/12 and a storm total of 32" with that event, also 20.5" with the late March snow event, and 16" 12/29-3/1, and a 10" event around 3/10. November through mid-April was very active, though December was pretty dull though, we had no snow that month. December 2012 was pretty decent too, so for the calendar year of 2012 we had a little over 100" of snow, and about 103" of precip. Though for my records I go October 1-September 30th. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Who knows....it may actually work in our favor.  Just too many unknowns right now. In general a second or third year Nina with +QBO would be golden for us.  As we've seen in recent years autumn has a tendency to crash pretty hard after these hot summers.

Yeah, I am more of the mind that the hot summer has really had nothing to do with the volcanic eruption. It's just a convenient scapegoat. Back in May it was being blamed for our cool/wet spring. 

  • Like 3

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...