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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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3 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

^ We might have an Indian summer deep into September? 

Sep/Oct 2014!!

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Warm Season Stats

Thunders: 50
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/8, 7/12, 7/17, 7/18
7/21, 7/23, 7/27, 7/31, 8/1, 8/4, 8/5, 8/6, 8/7, 8/9
8/10, 8/11, 8/14, 8/21, 8/26, 8/29, 8/30, 9/3, 9/4, 9/6

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 3
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1, 
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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And that's a 90F burger!

WATCH: Josh Allen waits and waits, finds Stefon Diggs for Bills TD

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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32 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Very hot north wind for BA

image.jpg

I see some Blue Angels loops in the distance there.

And a couple palm trees.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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ECMWF did not perform well today... only showed 79 at SEA and the actual high was 84.    The GFS actually showed 84 and nailed it.   The GFS usually does great on days that start out clear and timing of clearing is not an issue.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

PDX up to 90 as of 3pm as well. Astoria and Tillamook overachieving today on the Coast. 

web_temperature_ORWA-4.jpg.37caf603f99e6630145de9329f141313.jpg

web_fcst_coast-2.jpg.26c0e793f903001ff81fa3657c79b7ee.jpg

Astoria ended up getting to 82, 9 degrees above forecast. There's been a few times this summer where Astoria and Tillamook have really overachieved with their highs. PDX got to 93 as forecasted.

web_ORWA_HIGHS_Today-7.jpg.2924ec6dd57ce4900a80761a24d31ec2.jpg

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31 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Astoria ended up getting to 82, 9 degrees above forecast. There's been a few times this summer where Astoria and Tillamook have really overachieved with their highs. PDX got to 93 as forecasted.

web_ORWA_HIGHS_Today-7.jpg.2924ec6dd57ce4900a80761a24d31ec2.jpg

Yeah Tillamook got very hot during the June heatwave I think

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Astoria ended up getting to 82, 9 degrees above forecast. There's been a few times this summer where Astoria and Tillamook have really overachieved with their highs. PDX got to 93 as forecasted.

web_ORWA_HIGHS_Today-7.jpg.2924ec6dd57ce4900a80761a24d31ec2.jpg

The NWS really phones it in when it comes to coastal forecasts. Hard to call it over/underachieving on these warm northerly flow days when there can easily be 10 degree swings in 2-3 miles.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

 

WILDFIRE UPDATE   (Droppin' Like A Rock Edition)

NEW Known Wildfires started today! 8/6/22 

Washington - 0 (Two days of no new fires.  Several fires including one major one has been put out. The remaining large fires are the Cow Canyon Fire, Vantage Highway Fire, and Williams Lake Fire. Total fires statewide has dropped from 19 to 12, the lowest level since I've been doing this for about two weeks. ) Total: 12

Oregon - 0 (No new fires in OR today. There are three large fires in the state. Many fires have been put out in the past 24hrs. The main concern is the spread of fires from Northern CA that are still raging and their embers are causing smaller fires. The total has dropped from 42 to 35.) Total: 42

Idaho - 0 (No new fires in the state. All the fires around the Boise metro that sparked yesterday have been put out.  Two major fires still exist, the Moose Fire and Woodtick Fire in remote locations within the Bitterroot Range. The total number of fires drops from 8 to 3, the lowest amount we've seen so far. ) Total: 3

British Columbia - 6 (The least amount of new fires in BC since we've begun recording, with only six. The Keremeos Creek Fire has become extremely dangerous, requiring the evacuation of much of Keremeos, over 1,600 properties.  BC mapping has admitted they are days behind at mapping and keeping up with wildfire growth, which today revealed there are now more large wildfires in the state them the previous six we expected.  There are now eight large wildfires in BC. The total amount of fires in the province drops slightly from 58 to 56.) Total: 56

SMOKE UPDATE

Smoke is currently blowing eastward with all smoke being produced either from fires in California or fires in British Columbia.  Smoke from these fires extent into Montana and Wyoming and as far south as Nevada. Western Washington and Oregon are smoke free, except for Jackson County and Klamath County with are under smoke advisories.  Unhealthy levels of smoke are flowing from Canada's Okanogan and into eastern Washington effecting communities such as Oroville and Omak.  BC valleys around wildfires and socked in with smoke.

For Eastern Washington and Oregon, most of the smoke is high and aloft, and not degrading air quality at the surface level.  

Thank you for these wildfire and smoke updates! I really enjoy reading them

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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Down to 60F. Very pleasant night.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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Wow no one look at the LR on the 06Z unless scorching heat is your passion 💀

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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7 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

 

WILDFIRE UPDATE   (Droppin' Like A Rock Edition)

NEW Known Wildfires started today! 8/6/22 

Washington - 0 (Two days of no new fires.  Several fires including one major one has been put out. The remaining large fires are the Cow Canyon Fire, Vantage Highway Fire, and Williams Lake Fire. Total fires statewide has dropped from 19 to 12, the lowest level since I've been doing this for about two weeks. ) Total: 12

Oregon - 0 (No new fires in OR today. There are three large fires in the state. Many fires have been put out in the past 24hrs. The main concern is the spread of fires from Northern CA that are still raging and their embers are causing smaller fires. The total has dropped from 42 to 35.) Total: 42

Idaho - 0 (No new fires in the state. All the fires around the Boise metro that sparked yesterday have been put out.  Two major fires still exist, the Moose Fire and Woodtick Fire in remote locations within the Bitterroot Range. The total number of fires drops from 8 to 3, the lowest amount we've seen so far. ) Total: 3

British Columbia - 6 (The least amount of new fires in BC since we've begun recording, with only six. The Keremeos Creek Fire has become extremely dangerous, requiring the evacuation of much of Keremeos, over 1,600 properties.  BC mapping has admitted they are days behind at mapping and keeping up with wildfire growth, which today revealed there are now more large wildfires in the state them the previous six we expected.  There are now eight large wildfires in BC. The total amount of fires in the province drops slightly from 58 to 56.) Total: 56

SMOKE UPDATE

Smoke is currently blowing eastward with all smoke being produced either from fires in California or fires in British Columbia.  Smoke from these fires extent into Montana and Wyoming and as far south as Nevada. Western Washington and Oregon are smoke free, except for Jackson County and Klamath County with are under smoke advisories.  Unhealthy levels of smoke are flowing from Canada's Okanogan and into eastern Washington effecting communities such as Oroville and Omak.  BC valleys around wildfires and socked in with smoke.

For Eastern Washington and Oregon, most of the smoke is high and aloft, and not degrading air quality at the surface level.  

Not at home this weekend since I'm enjoying the 73 degree weather and cool temps in the low 50's in CA, but the smoke has been manageable at my locale. There's a fire about twenty miles north -other side of the Snake -on the way to Pullman but from what the radar indicates, smoke is blowing the opposite direction or is high aloft.

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Beautiful morning here this morning after a low of 41F. Only had a high of 65F yesterday with 0.46" of stratiform rain over the last couple of days. Number of stations broke their daily low highs for the day yesterday as well.

Just lovely late summer weather until we heat back up again tomorrow!

1418331580_ScreenShot2022-08-07at9_17_18AM.png

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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A 2-week wait for that ULL offshore and it might not actually ever make it inland.    Coolest day this week in Seattle per the 12Z GFS is Wednesday with a high of 77.     And it still shows a decent chance at convection on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-1659873600-1659873600-1660370400-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A 2-week wait for that ULL offshore and it might not actually ever make it inland.    Coolest day this week in Seattle per the 12Z GFS is Wednesday with a high of 77.     And it still shows a decent chance at convection on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-1659873600-1659873600-1660370400-10.gif

It's really nice to see the consistency between models on convection chances for Tuesday night.

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A 2-week wait for that ULL offshore and it might not actually ever make it inland.    Coolest day this week in Seattle per the 12Z GFS is Wednesday with a high of 77.     And it still shows a decent chance at convection on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-1659873600-1659873600-1660370400-10.gif

HUGE OUTLIER

1CAD7994-C891-40D8-89CB-6E508BC3D5BB.jpeg

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4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

HUGE OUTLIER

1CAD7994-C891-40D8-89CB-6E508BC3D5BB.jpeg

That's the 06z though I think

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

HUGE OUTLIER

1CAD7994-C891-40D8-89CB-6E508BC3D5BB.jpeg

In what regard?

You are using the 06Z GEFS and I posted the 12Z GFS through just Saturday.     That 06Z graph actually shows the the 06Z GFS was an outlier bringing the ULL inland and now the 12Z run seems to have corrected that.    What happens after that is something entirely different.   The 12Z GFS is not out that far.   But overall there seems to be consensus that it will warm up again.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The GFS has clearly been trending warmer for next week over the last few runs going back a couple days.     The 12Z run is no exception.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

In what regard?

You are using the 06Z GEFS and I posted the 12Z GFS through just Saturday.     That 06Z graph actually shows the the 06Z GFS was an outlier bringing the ULL inland and now the 12Z run seems to have corrected that.    What happens after that is something entirely different.   The 12Z GFS is not out that far.   But overall there seems to be consensus that it will warm up again.  

 

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  • Longtimer

Looks like our next hot spell is already taking shape on the models. Energy to our west just can’t bust through. Going to end up a VERY cool summer for the Gulf of Alaska.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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15 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

HUGE OUTLIER

1CAD7994-C891-40D8-89CB-6E508BC3D5BB.jpeg

The mean still gets us to like +18F.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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