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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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7 hours ago, Doiinko said:

Looks like both the ICON and ECMWF show areas North of Portland doing good, I hope that moves south a bit.

 

7 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

It really is a primo setup for storms, particularly nocturnal ones. Can't ask for too much more this time of the year than a <570dm height cutoff trough rotating up from the south directly off the coast over a hot, unstable airmass across the region. With great PWAT values and strong diffluence aloft. 

Seems like the summer version of a transition event. This time instead of warmer air colliding with colder air already in place it's the opposite. Gonna be exciting on Tuesday and Wednesday. 

ec-fast_T850a_wus_4.thumb.png.68dfbe295053afe2b896daa80673972c.png

ec-fast_T850a_wus_5.thumb.png.28da7eb1043df23157cc61f7d20b768b.png

ec-fast_T850a_wus_6.thumb.png.235a2c95101b95e65f26b080c214763b.png

 

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18Z EPS keeps Seattle just below 90 on Sunday and Monday.   Probably 91 or 92 at best those days.    But any more 90-degree days moves us up in the rankings and closer to the 2015 record.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

 

Seems like the summer version of a transition event. This time instead of warmer air colliding with colder air already in place it's the opposite. Gonna be exciting on Tuesday and Wednesday. 

ec-fast_T850a_wus_4.thumb.png.68dfbe295053afe2b896daa80673972c.png

ec-fast_T850a_wus_5.thumb.png.28da7eb1043df23157cc61f7d20b768b.png

ec-fast_T850a_wus_6.thumb.png.235a2c95101b95e65f26b080c214763b.png

 

Yeah... pretty classic set up.   I hope it dumps a bunch of rain with the convection. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

On the North Dakota - Montana border.   Beach ND.   

Hundreds of miles of mid-level clouds with no rain or storms.    Gloomy!   Can't wait to get to the Seattle sunshine.    Should be home by dawn.

20220805_163815.jpg

Plenty of rain and storms in the clouds out here today. Picked up 0.20” with another storm currently pushing through.
 

CPC has us under a marginal risk for flooding tomorrow and highs only in the 60’s. Dynamic!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... pretty classic set up.   I hope it dumps a bunch of rain with the convection. 

For what its worth, when I lived in K-Falls I never had a dry t'storm in August. They typically happened in the first half of summer only for some reason in that area. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z EPS keeps Seattle just below 90 on Sunday and Monday.   Probably 91 or 92 at best those days.    But any more 90-degree days moves us up in the rankings and closer to the 2015 record.

Decided to leave the AC off for the duration of the 6 days furnace blast. That was fun! Said enough is enough this time. It’s up! 

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2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Sorry fellas. My kids are definitely the best of all time. 

BF1A4251-7BEF-490B-9F4F-3502CBD3FC71.gif

Crap.   I will break the news to my kids.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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To the original point. Having spent most of my first summer in a climatologically warmer place than the PNW, and I think Oklahoma would be too hot for many. I bet they don't get dry heat either. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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21 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

For what its worth, when I lived in K-Falls I never had a dry t'storm in August. They typically happened in the first half of summer only for some reason in that area. 

That's good, dry thunderstorms now would probably be very bad for fires.

Unrelated but I don't remember the last warm core thunderstorm we've had, I think September 2019 which produced a nearby tornado and 2 inches of rain in an hour the next day was a cold core setup, not sure though. Maybe we'll see something here next week

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3 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

To the original point. Having spent most of my first summer in a climatologically warmer place than the PNW, and I think Oklahoma would be too hot for many. I bet they don't get dry heat either. 

Hawkstwelve seems to have a renewed appreciation for PNW summers now.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Gonna make the angels look like the astros after taking 2 from the yanks. Typical!

Angels are a disgrace 😥

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Gonna make the angels look like the astros after taking 2 from the yanks. Typical!

Need some offense here. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, RentonHillTC said:

I assume your wife is an As fan?

She is 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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44 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Plenty of rain and storms in the clouds out here today. Picked up 0.20” with another storm currently pushing through.
 

CPC has us under a marginal risk for flooding tomorrow and highs only in the 60’s. Dynamic!

Interesting.    We are about an hour east of Bozeman now.   Hoping for at least a little rain to wash the bugs off the windshield.   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

@Kayla we just hit rain.     We are almost to Big Timber now.  

Yeah it has now just pushed east of here. Looks like more is incoming overnight into tomorrow morning though. Drive safe.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

At this point it is personal. My wife is descended directly from the tribes of Northern California, 99% of whom where exterminated by the European settlement and the on the maternal side the Japanese... and we know what happened there. These kinds of attitudes will lead to the same thing all over again if we let them. When he knowingly flashed the white power sign last night just to assert his dominance then it was war. He can ban me if he wants, but I’m not just going to sit back and take it when he comes after my family! 

Where?

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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I thought last night's jab towards SEA's post was just a weird joke. I'm trying to remember anything he said that was even close to racist. Scratching my head too. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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4 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Yeah it has now just pushed east of here. Looks like more is incoming overnight into tomorrow morning though. Drive safe.

Hard to tell how long it will last... radar coverage is bad here.   Really coming down.   Enough that we have slowed down considerably. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yes I'm am sorry that standing up to an avowed racist offends you. 

Time to drop it.

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