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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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And that's another 90F burger!

Bengals Legend A.J. Green Returning to Arizona Cardinals - Sports  Illustrated Cincinnati Bengals News, Analysis and More

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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20 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

How are things in Lake Forest???

Between all the humor on the forum, I forgot to mention that I like the new profile gif you have up. ;)

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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7 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

ref1km_ptype.us_nw.png
NAM 3KM also agrees with convection chances

Way too early to look at details about where storms could end up but this run nails Corvallis with 0.5"+ of rain with that one storm and PWAT values almost at 2".pwat.us_nw.png

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44163A3E-8E90-45BD-BA42-01CA74D4A12A.jpeg

Got a pretty bad wildfire on the west side of Beacon Hill.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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7 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

PDX almost there at 99!

A week ago I said the GFS showed PDX "flirting with 100" on Sunday.   Phil told me that was totally wrong and I should "sit the hell down".    😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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An unfortunate day for residents of Stampede Pass 

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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33 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

This should be Portland's 9th 100 degree day in the past two years, which is more than most decades had before the 1970s!

But... Cliff Mass says, and I quote: "the peak temperature, duration, and frequency of extreme heat events are not rapidly rising in the Northwest."

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Models are looking kind of interesting for thunderstorm potential with the ULL.  It has trended a bit east again after going too far west to give the Puget Sound region much of anything.

1660132800-fvOTFnsIsgk.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Next frame on that lightning map.

1660154400-euBG2rOa6BM.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Models are looking kind of interesting for thunderstorm potential with the ULL.  It has trended a bit east again after going too far west to give the Puget Sound region much of anything.

1660132800-fvOTFnsIsgk.png

Could be a doozy for the coast!

Though in my experience, coverage is usually larger than expected.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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94 in Klamath.

Burger #27 for them. Just an early guess but I think they won't top 40 this year. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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37 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

But... Cliff Mass says, and I quote: "the peak temperature, duration, and frequency of extreme heat events are not rapidly rising in the Northwest."

This will certainly tweak averages. If that sentence had said he doesn't believe it becomes a "new normal" I'd go along with that. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Could be a doozy for the coast!

Though in my experience, coverage is usually larger than expected.

The NAM 3km is now in range, and it showed some strong cells and PWAT values over 2" in some places which is great to see. All of the models agreeing on a general thunderstorm threat is also very good

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5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

100!! 

ECA2A4F8-DFD4-4471-BFFD-E47FB245E1CF.jpeg

Not much cooler on Lake Sammamish this afternoon... into the 90s.  Spectacular day on the water.   And we could watch the Blue Angels from Lake Washington without all the crowds.  

20220807_153816.jpg

20220807_154051.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The 👌 "okay" emoji has been banned due to potential confusion or misuse. It's association with the white power movement is very real, and Andrew's gripe with that makes sense.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 hour ago, Doiinko said:

This should be Portland's 9th 100 degree day in the past two years, which is more than most decades had before the 1970s!

And 11 in the last three years, which is the most Portland has ever seen in a 3 year stretch with the old record being 9. 100 degree days per decade at PDX:

40s: 12

50s: 2

60s: 7

70s: 15

80s: 15

90s: 12

00s: 15

10s: 11

20s: 11 so far

The number of 90 degree days has been trending up significantly but up until now the number of extreme 100+ days has been pretty constant for the last 50 years, though that may be changing.

  

53 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

But... Cliff Mass says, and I quote: "the peak temperature, duration, and frequency of extreme heat events are not rapidly rising in the Northwest."

I don't know what the guy's deal is but he's basically a straight up climate change denier at this point. Several years back I remember him making a blog post about how our fire seasons haven't been changing in length, and his "evidence" was to show March-April-May temperature and precip trends hadn't changed much over the last century. That was when I stopped reading his blog entirely.

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1 minute ago, James Jones said:

And 11 in the last three years, which is the most Portland has ever seen in a 3 year stretch with the old record being 9. 100 degree days per decade at PDX:

40s: 12

50s: 2

60s: 7

70s: 15

80s: 15

90s: 12

00s: 15

10s: 11

20s: 11 so far

The number of 90 degree days has been trending up significantly but up until now the number of extreme 100+ days has been pretty constant for the last 50 years, though that may be changing.

  

I don't know what the guy's deal is but he's basically a straight up climate change denier at this point. Several years back I remember him making a blog post about how our fire seasons haven't been changing in length, and his "evidence" was to show March-April-May temperature and precip trends hadn't changed much over the last century. That was when I stopped reading his blog entirely.

Oh I forgot to include 2020 in this decade's number, thanks for posting the stats by decade. In just three years we've seen as many or more 100 degree days as the entirety of the 2010s, 1950s and 1960s, which is crazy to think about. 

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